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An important challenge facing modern machine learning is how to rigorously quantify the uncertainty of model predictions. Conveying uncertainty is especially important when there are changes to the underlying data distribution that might…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-17 Sangdon Park , Edgar Dobriban , Insup Lee , Osbert Bastani

Statistical machine learning methods often face the challenge of limited data available from the population of interest. One remedy is to leverage data from auxiliary source populations, which share some conditional distributions or are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-11 Hongxiang Qiu , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Edgar Dobriban

As shown in recent research, deep neural networks can perfectly fit randomly labeled data, but with very poor accuracy on held out data. This phenomenon indicates that loss functions such as cross-entropy are not a reliable indicator of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-13 Yiding Jiang , Dilip Krishnan , Hossein Mobahi , Samy Bengio

We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-10 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

Machine learning models used in medical applications often face challenges due to the covariate shift, which occurs when there are discrepancies between the distributions of training and target data. This can lead to decreased predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Mingyang Cai , Thomas Klausch , Mark A. van de Wiel

In this work, the probability of an event under some joint distribution is bounded by measuring it with the product of the marginals instead (which is typically easier to analyze) together with a measure of the dependence between the two…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-10-22 Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Michael Gastpar , Ibrahim Issa

While many real-world data streams imply that they change frequently in a nonstationary way, most of deep learning methods optimize neural networks on training data, and this leads to severe performance degradation when dataset shift…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-02 Wonju Lee , Seok-Yong Byun , Jooeun Kim , Minje Park , Kirill Chechil

Performance estimation under covariate shift is a crucial component of safe AI model deployment, especially for sensitive use-cases. Recently, several solutions were proposed to tackle this problem, most leveraging model predictions or…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-04-11 Mélanie Roschewitz , Ben Glocker

This paper explores a multimodal co-training framework designed to enhance model generalization in situations where labeled data is limited and distribution shifts occur. We thoroughly examine the theoretical foundations of this framework,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-10 Tianyu Bell Pan , Damon L. Woodard

A common pursuit in modern statistical learning is to attain satisfactory generalization out of the source data distribution (OOD). In theory, the challenge remains unsolved even under the canonical setting of covariate shift for the linear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-14 Yuanshi Liu , Haihan Zhang , Qian Chen , Cong Fang

Unsupervised Domain Adaptation aims to learn a model on a source domain with labeled data in order to perform well on unlabeled data of a target domain. Current approaches focus on learning \textit{Domain Invariant Representations}. It…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-30 Victor Bouvier , Philippe Very , Céline Hudelot , Clément Chastagnol

In open-world scenarios, where both novel classes and domains may exist, an ideal segmentation model should detect anomaly classes for safety and generalize to new domains. However, existing methods often struggle to distinguish between…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-11-07 Zhitong Gao , Bingnan Li , Mathieu Salzmann , Xuming He

Domain generalization is the problem of machine learning when the training data and the test data come from different data domains. We present a simple theoretical model of learning to generalize across domains in which there is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-14 Vikas K. Garg , Adam Kalai , Katrina Ligett , Zhiwei Steven Wu

We address the problem of unsupervised domain adaptation when the source domain differs from the target domain because of a shift in the distribution of a latent subgroup. When this subgroup confounds all observed data, neither covariate…

Though remarkable progress has been achieved in various vision tasks, deep neural networks still suffer obvious performance degradation when tested in out-of-distribution scenarios. We argue that the feature statistics (mean and standard…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-04-25 Xiaotong Li , Yongxing Dai , Yixiao Ge , Jun Liu , Ying Shan , Ling-Yu Duan

Covariate-shift generalization, a typical case in out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization, requires a good performance on the unknown test distribution, which varies from the accessible training distribution in the form of covariate shift.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-18 Renzhe Xu , Xingxuan Zhang , Zheyan Shen , Tong Zhang , Peng Cui

We propose a novel framework for incorporating unlabeled data into semi-supervised classification problems, where scenarios involving the minimization of either i) adversarially robust or ii) non-robust loss functions have been considered.…

This work invokes the notion of $f$-divergence to introduce a novel upper bound on the Bayes error rate of a general classification task. We show that the proposed bound can be computed by sampling from the output of a parameterized model.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-15 Mohammadreza Tavasoli Naeini , Ali Bereyhi , Morteza Noshad , Ben Liang , Alfred O. Hero

Trustworthy deployment of ML models requires a proper measure of uncertainty, especially in safety-critical applications. We focus on uncertainty quantification (UQ) for classification problems via two avenues -- prediction sets using…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-08 Aleksandr Podkopaev , Aaditya Ramdas

Domain generalization is the problem of assigning labels to an unlabeled data set, given several similar data sets for which labels have been provided. Despite considerable interest in this problem over the last decade, there has been no…

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