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Spatial prediction refers to the estimation of unobserved values from spatially distributed observations. Although recent advances have improved the capacity to model diverse observation types, adoption in practice remains limited in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-10 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

Causal discovery aims to uncover cause-and-effect relationships encoded in causal graphs by leveraging observational, interventional data, or their combination. The majority of existing causal discovery methods are developed assuming…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Lai Wei , Murat Kocaoglu , Mahsa Ghasemi

A fundamental problem in network experiments is selecting an appropriate experimental design in order to precisely estimate a given causal effect of interest. In this work, we propose the Conflict Graph Design, a general approach for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Vardis Kandiros , Charilaos Pipis , Constantinos Daskalakis , Christopher Harshaw

Causal discovery is a fundamental problem with applications spanning various areas in science and engineering. It is well understood that solely using observational data, one can only orient the causal graph up to its Markov equivalence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-29 Zihan Zhou , Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Murat Kocaoglu

We consider a potential outcomes model in which interference may be present between any two units but the extent of interference diminishes with spatial distance. The causal estimand is the global average treatment effect, which compares…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-16 Michael P. Leung

We study the estimation of the ATE in randomized controlled trials under a dynamically evolving interference structure. This setting arises in applications such as ride-sharing, where drivers move over time, and social networks, where…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-11 Su Jia , Peter Frazier , Nathan Kallus , Christina Lee Yu

We consider design-based causal inference for spatial experiments in which treatments may have effects that bleed out and feed back in complex ways. Such spatial spillover effects violate the standard ``no interference'' assumption for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-06 Ye Wang , Cyrus Samii , Haoge Chang , P. M. Aronow

We propose a new methodology to estimate the spatial reuse of CSMA-like scheduling. Instead of focusing on spatial configurations of users, we model the interferences between users as a random graph. Using configuration models for random…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2014-11-04 Paola Bermolen , Matthieu Jonckheere , Federico Larroca , Pascal Moyal

Spatial confounding poses a significant challenge in scientific studies involving spatial data, where unobserved spatial variables can influence both treatment and outcome, possibly leading to spurious associations. To address this problem,…

This manuscript unites causal inference and spatial statistics, presenting novel insights for causal inference in spatial data analysis, and drawing from tools in spatial statistics to estimate causal effects. We introduce spatial causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Georgia Papadogeorgou , Srijata Samanta

Traditional covariate selection methods for causal inference focus on achieving unbiasedness and asymptotic efficiency. In many practical scenarios, researchers must estimate causal effects from observational data with limited sample sizes…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-17 Nadja Rutsch , Sara Magliacane , Stéphanie van der Pas

We study the problem of causal structure learning from a combination of observational and interventional data generated by a linear non-Gaussian structural equation model that might contain cycles. Recent results show that using mere…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-05 Ehsan Sharifian , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

Many events and policies (treatments) occur at specific spatial locations, with researchers interested in their effects on nearby units. I approach the spatial treatment setting from an experimental perspective: What ideal experiment would…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-27 Michael Pollmann

This article studies the benefits of using spatially randomized experimental designs which partition the experimental area into distinct, non-overlapping units with treatments assigned randomly. Such designs offer improved policy evaluation…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Ying Yang , Chengchun Shi , Fang Yao , Shouyang Wang , Hongtu Zhu

e consider the experimental design problem in an online environment, an important practical task for reducing the variance of estimates in randomized experiments which allows for greater precision, and in turn, improved decision making. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-07 David Arbour , Drew Dimmery , Tung Mai , Anup Rao

We study causal effect estimation under interference from network data. We work under the chain-graph formulation pioneered in Tchetgen Tchetgen et. al (2021). Our first result shows that polynomial time evaluation of treatment effects is…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-10 Sohom Bhattacharya , Subhabrata Sen

Collaborative decision-making is an essential capability for multi-robot systems, such as connected vehicles, to collaboratively control autonomous vehicles in accident-prone scenarios. Under limited communication bandwidth, capturing…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-11-01 Peng Gao , Yu Shen , Ming C. Lin

We consider experimentation in the presence of non-stationarity, inter-unit (spatial) interference, and carry-over effects (temporal interference), where we wish to estimate the global average treatment effect (GATE), the difference between…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-28 Su Jia , Nathan Kallus , Christina Lee Yu

We consider the minimum cost intervention design problem: Given the essential graph of a causal graph and a cost to intervene on a variable, identify the set of interventions with minimum total cost that can learn any causal graph with the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-30 Erik M. Lindgren , Murat Kocaoglu , Alexandros G. Dimakis , Sriram Vishwanath

Causal graphs may inform covariate adjustment for estimating causal effects and improve estimation efficiency by exploiting the graphical structure. In many applications, however, the target causal parameter may not be point-identified due…

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