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Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) estimation, at the heart of counterfactual reasoning, is a crucial challenge for causal modeling both theoretically and applicatively, in domains such as healthcare, sociology, or advertising.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-27 Armand Lacombe , Michèle Sebag

Given only data generated by a standard confounding graph with unobserved confounder, the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is not identifiable. To estimate the ATE, a practitioner must then either (a) collect deconfounded data;(b) run a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-09 Kyra Gan , Andrew A. Li , Zachary C. Lipton , Sridhar Tayur

This paper proposes a new method for estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATE) in randomized experiments. We adopt inverse probability weighting (IPW) for identification; however, IPW-transformed outcomes are known to be…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-14 Mingqian Guan , Komei Fujita , Naoya Sueishi , Shota Yasui

We consider the problem of estimating the effects of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome of interest from observational data in the absence of confounding by unmeasured factors. We provide a new estimator of the population average…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-04 James Robins , Mariela Sued , Quanhong Lei-Gomez , Andrea Rotnitzky

Many machine learning applications are based on data collected from people, such as their tastes and behaviour as well as biological traits and genetic data. Regardless of how important the application might be, one has to make sure…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-04-11 Joonas Jälkö , Onur Dikmen , Antti Honkela

We propose a new method for estimating causal effects in longitudinal/panel data settings that we call generalized difference-in-differences. Our approach unifies two alternative approaches in these settings: ignorability estimators (e.g.,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-12 Denis Agniel , Max Rubinstein , Jessie Coe , Maria DeYoreo

Generative machine learning models are being increasingly viewed as a way to share sensitive data between institutions. While there has been work on developing differentially private generative modeling approaches, these approaches…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2022-10-13 Yixi Xu , Sumit Mukherjee , Xiyang Liu , Shruti Tople , Rahul Dodhia , Juan Lavista Ferres

Causal inference typically assumes centralized access to individual-level data. Yet, in practice, data are often decentralized across multiple sites, making centralization infeasible due to privacy, logistical, or legal constraints. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Rémi Khellaf , Aurélien Bellet , Julie Josse

We revisit the classical causal inference problem of estimating the average treatment effect in the presence of fully observed confounding variables using two-stage semiparametric methods. In existing theoretical studies of methods such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-23 Steve Yadlowsky

The projected increase of genotyping in the clinic and the rise of large genomic databases has led to the possibility of using patient medical data to perform genomewide association studies (GWAS) on a larger scale and at a lower cost than…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2016-04-18 Sean Simmons , Cenk Sahinalp , Bonnie Berger

Background: Randomized controlled trials are often used to inform policy and practice for broad populations. The average treatment effect (ATE) for a target population, however, may be different from the ATE observed in a trial if there are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-19 Trang Quynh Nguyen , Benjamin Ackerman , Ian Schmid , Stephen R. Cole , Elizabeth A. Stuart

Average Treatment Effect (ATE) estimation is a well-studied problem in causal inference. However, it does not necessarily capture the heterogeneity in the data, and several approaches have been proposed to tackle the issue, including…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Raghavendra Addanki , Siddharth Bhandari

We give an approach for characterizing interference by lower bounding the number of units whose outcome depends on selected groups of treated individuals, such as depending on the treatment of others, or others who are at least a certain…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-04 David Choi

We present associative and causal views of differential privacy. Under the associative view, the possibility of dependencies between data points precludes a simple statement of differential privacy's guarantee as conditioning upon a single…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2019-07-09 Michael Carl Tschantz , Shayak Sen , Anupam Datta

Training reliable deep learning models which avoid making overconfident but incorrect predictions is a longstanding challenge. This challenge is further exacerbated when learning has to be differentially private: protection provided to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Stephan Rabanser , Anvith Thudi , Abhradeep Thakurta , Krishnamurthy Dvijotham , Nicolas Papernot

Differential Privacy (DP) provides a rigorous framework for releasing statistics while protecting individual information present in a dataset. Although substantial progress has been made on differentially private linear regression, existing…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-16 Getoar Sopa , Marco Avella Medina , Cynthia Rush

The Private Aggregation of Teacher Ensembles (PATE) is a machine learning framework that enables the creation of private models through the combination of multiple "teacher" models and a "student" model. The student model learns to predict…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-22 Cuong Tran , Ferdinando Fioretto

Unmeasured confounding is a threat to causal inference in observational studies. In recent years, use of negative controls to mitigate unmeasured confounding has gained increasing recognition and popularity. Negative controls have a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-05 Xu Shi , Wang Miao , Jennifer C. Nelson , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Private regression has received attention from both database and security communities. Recent work by Fredrikson et al. (USENIX Security 2014) analyzed the functional mechanism (Zhang et al. VLDB 2012) for training linear regression models…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2015-12-22 Xi Wu , Matthew Fredrikson , Wentao Wu , Somesh Jha , Jeffrey F. Naughton

Violations of the positivity assumption can render conventional causal estimands unidentifiable, including the average treatment effect (ATE), the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT), and the average treatment effect on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-14 Yi Liu , Yuan Wang , Ying Gao , Tonia Poteat , Roland A. Matsouaka