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相关论文: Zero-Shot Forecasting Mortality Rates: A Global St…

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Foundation models have revolutionized AI, yet they struggle with zero-shot deployment in real-world industrial settings due to a lack of high-quality, domain-specific datasets. To bridge this gap, Superb AI introduces ZERO, an…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-10 Sangbum Choi , Kyeongryeol Go , Taewoong Jang

Societal and industrial infrastructures and systems increasingly leverage sensors that emit correlated time series. Forecasting of future values of such time series based on recorded historical values has important benefits. Automatically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Xinle Wu , Xingjian Wu , Dalin Zhang , Miao Zhang , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Christian S. Jensen

We study the modeling and forecasting of high-dimensional functional time series (HDFTS), which can be cross-sectionally correlated and temporally dependent. We introduce a decomposition of the HDFTS into two distinct components: a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-14 Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón , Ying Sun , Han Lin Shang

Time series has been left behind in the era of pre-training and transfer learning. While research in the fields of natural language processing and computer vision are enjoying progressively larger datasets to train massive models, the most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-06 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Akshat Kumar , Doyen Sahoo

Understanding alignment techniques begins with comprehending zero-shot generalization brought by instruction tuning, but little of the mechanism has been understood. Existing work has largely been confined to the task level, without…

This study presents a machine learning-based framework for heart disease prediction using the heart-disease dataset, comprising 303 samples with 14 features. The methodology involves data preprocessing, model training, and evaluation using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-16 Ali Azimi Lamir , Shiva Razzagzadeh , Zeynab Rezaei

The recent development of fact verification systems with natural logic has enhanced their explainability by aligning claims with evidence through set-theoretic operators, providing faithful justifications. Despite these advancements, such…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-10-07 Marek Strong , Rami Aly , Andreas Vlachos

This research arises from the need to predict the amount of air pollutants in meteorological stations. Air pollution depends on the location of the stations (weather conditions and activities in the surroundings). Frequently, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-05 Miriam Fdez-Díaz , José Ramón Quevedo , Elena Montañés

Time series data is being used everywhere, from sales records to patients' health evolution metrics. The ability to deal with this data has become a necessity, and time series analysis and forecasting are used for the same. Every Machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-29 Rameshwar Garg , Shriya Barpanda , Girish Rao Salanke N S , Ramya S

Pre-trained models have become pivotal in enhancing the efficiency and accuracy of time series forecasting on target data sets by leveraging transfer learning. While benchmarks validate the performance of model generalization on various…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-08 Claudia Ehrig , Benedikt Sonnleitner , Ursula Neumann , Catherine Cleophas , Germain Forestier

The accelerating shift toward low and ultra-low fertility has intensified the debate over whether countries now undergoing rapid decline are approaching stabilization or entering a more persistent low-fertility regime. Existing projection…

In this paper, we introduce zero-shot cost models which enable learned cost estimation that generalizes to unseen databases. In contrast to state-of-the-art workload-driven approaches which require to execute a large set of training queries…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2022-01-04 Benjamin Hilprecht , Carsten Binnig

Forecasting how 3D medical scans evolve over time is important for disease progression, treatment planning, and developmental assessment. Yet existing models either rely on a single prior scan, fixed grid times, or target global labels,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-19 Nico Albert Disch , Saikat Roy , Constantin Ulrich , Yannick Kirchhoff , Maximilian Rokuss , Robin Peretzke , David Zimmerer , Klaus Maier-Hein

In many countries life expectancy gains have been substantially higher than predicted by even recent forecasts. This is primarily due to increasing rates of improvement in old-age mortality not captured by existing models. In this paper we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-07 Søren Fiig Jarner

A robust multilevel functional data method is proposed to forecast age-specific mortality rate and life expectancy for two or more populations in developed countries with high-quality vital registration systems. It uses a robust multilevel…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-09-27 Han Lin Shang

Time series foundation models excel at diverse time series forecasting tasks, but their capacity for continuous improvement through incremental learning remains unexplored. We present the first comprehensive study investigating these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Jia Liu , Cheng Jinguo , Xia Fang , Zhenyuan Ma , Yuankai Wu

This paper introduces Mamba4Cast, a zero-shot foundation model for time series forecasting. Based on the Mamba architecture and inspired by Prior-data Fitted Networks (PFNs), Mamba4Cast generalizes robustly across diverse time series tasks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-15 Sathya Kamesh Bhethanabhotla , Omar Swelam , Julien Siems , David Salinas , Frank Hutter

Despite rapid progress in increasing the language coverage of automatic speech recognition, the field is still far from covering all languages with a known writing script. Recent work showed promising results with a zero-shot approach…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-07-26 Jinming Zhao , Vineel Pratap , Michael Auli

Modelling and forecasting homogeneous age-specific mortality rates of multiple countries could lead to improvements in long-term forecasting. Data fed into joint models are often grouped according to nominal attributes, such as geographic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-05 Chen Tang , Han Lin Shang , Yanrong Yang

\noindent The modal age at death is an increasingly used measure for understanding longevity and mortality patterns. However, existing estimation methods focus on point estimates, overlooking the inherent variability and uncertainty in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Silvio C. Patricio , Paola Vazquez-Castillo