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Using optimal detection techniques with climate model simulations, most of the observed increase of near surface temperatures over the second half of the twentieth century is attributed to anthropogenic influences. However, the partitioning…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-08-03 Gareth S. Jones , Peter A. Stott , John F. B. Mitchell

In recent years, great progress has been made in the field of forecasting meteorological variables. Recently, deep learning architectures have made a major breakthrough in forecasting the daily average temperature over a ten-day horizon.…

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

The prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), a massive tropical weather event with vast global socio-economic impacts, has been infamously difficult with physics-based weather prediction models. Here we construct a machine…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-01-04 Tamaki Suematsu , Kengo Nakai , Tsuyoshi Yoneda , Daisuke Takasuka , Takuya Jinno , Yoshitaka Saiki , Hiroaki Miura

Post-processing typically takes the outputs of a Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model and applies linear statistical techniques to produce improve localized forecasts, by including additional observations, or determining systematic…

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

High temporal resolution CO2 emission data are crucial for understanding the drivers of emission changes, however, current emission dataset is only available on a yearly basis. Here, we extended a global daily CO2 emissions dataset…

In this work we improve forecasting of Sea Surface Height (SSH) and current velocity (speed and direction) in oceanic scenarios. We do so by resorting to Random Forests so as to predict the error of a numerical forecasting system developed…

Accurately predicting long-term rainfall is challenging. Global climate indices, such as the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation, are standard input features for machine learning. However, a significant gap persists regarding local-scale indices…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-20 Kiattikun Chobtham

In this paper, we describe the design of an inexpensive and agile climate sensor system which can be repurposed easily to measure various pollutants. We also propose the use of machine learning regression methods to calibrate CO2 data from…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-11 Travis Barrett , Amit Kumar Mishra

Many machine learning (ML) approaches are widely used to generate bioclimatic models for prediction of geographic range of organism as a function of climate. Applications such as prediction of range shift in organism, range of invasive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-06-19 Maumita Bhattacharya

The parameterization of moist convection contributes to uncertainty in climate modeling and numerical weather prediction. Machine learning (ML) can be used to learn new parameterizations directly from high-resolution model output, but it…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-11-30 Paul A. O'Gorman , John G. Dwyer

Wind speed forecasting models and their application to wind farm operations are attaining remarkable attention in the literature because of its benefits as a clean energy source. In this paper, we suggested the time series machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-29 G. V. Drisya , Valsaraj P. , K. Asokan , K. Satheesh Kumar

Air pollution constitutes a global problem of paramount importance that affects not only human health, but also the environment. The existence of spatial and temporal data regarding the concentrations of pollutants is crucial for performing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-13 Teresa Bernardino , Maria Alexandra Oliveira , João Nuno Silva

This article identifies the factors that drove house prices in 13 advanced countries over the past 35 years. It does so based on Breiman s (2001) random forest model. Shapley values indicate that annual house price growth across countries…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-10 Emanuel Kohlscheen

The rising air temperature caused by Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect has become a problem for Singapore, it not only affects the thermal comfort of outdoor microclimate environment, but also increases the cooling energy consumption of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-07-23 Zhongqi Yu , Shisheng Chen , Nyuk Hien Wong , Marcel Ignatius , Jiyu Deng , Yueer He , Daniel Jun Chung Hii

General circulation models (GCMs) are essential tools for climate studies. Such climate models may have varying accuracy across the input domain, but no model is uniformly best. One can improve climate model prediction performance by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-27 John C. Yannotty , Thomas J. Santner , Bo Li , Matthew T. Pratola

Predicting an infectious disease can help reduce its impact by advising public health interventions and personal preventive measures. Novel data streams, such as Internet and social media data, have recently been reported to benefit…

This paper considers the possibility that the daily average Particulate Matter (PM$_{10}$) concentration is a seasonal fractionally integrated process with time-dependent variance (volatility). In this context, one convenient extension is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-06-13 V. A. Reisen , A. J. Q Sarnaglia , N. C. Reis , C. Lévy-Leduc , J. M. Santos

Heat waves are projected to increase in frequency and severity with global warming. Improved warning systems would help reduce the associated loss of lives, wildfires, power disruptions, and reduction in crop yields. In this work, we…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-01-13 Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Amy McGovern , Shreya Agrawal , Jason Hickey