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A common approach in forecasting problems is to estimate a least-squares regression (or other statistical learning models) from past data, which is then applied to predict future outcomes. An underlying assumption is that the same…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Malte Schierholz

This paper offers a commentary on the use of notions of statistical significance in choice modelling. We review the reasons for uncertainty in parameter estimates, provide a precise discussion on the computation of measures of uncertainty…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-18 Stephane Hess , Andrew Daly , Michiel Bliemer , Angelo Guevara , Ricardo Daziano , Thijs Dekker

We consider a general statistical estimation problem wherein binary labels across different observations are not independent conditioned on their feature vectors, but dependent, capturing settings where e.g. these observations are collected…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-22 Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Surbhi Goel , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

Universal outlier hypothesis testing refers to a hypothesis testing problem where one observes a large number of length-$n$ sequences -- the majority of which are distributed according to the typical distribution $\pi$ and a small number…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-01-05 Bernhard C. Geiger , Tobias Koch , Josipa Mihaljević , Maximilian Toller

In many fields$\unicode{x2013}$including genomics, epidemiology, natural language processing, social and behavioral sciences, and economics$\unicode{x2013}$it is increasingly important to address causal questions in the context of factor…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-30 Jenna M. Landy , Dafne Zorzetto , Roberta De Vito , Giovanni Parmigiani

We study the behavior of linear discriminant functions for binary classification in the infinite-imbalance limit, where the sample size of one class grows without bound while the sample size of the other remains fixed. The coefficients of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-15 Paul Glasserman , Mike Li

Variable importance in regression analyses is of considerable interest in a variety of fields. There is no unique method for assessing variable importance. However, a substantial share of the available literature employs Shapley values,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-05 Sinan Acemoglu , Christian Kleiber , Jörg Urban

Linear quantile regression models aim at providing a detailed and robust picture of the (conditional) response distribution as function of a set of observed covariates. Longitudinal data represent an interesting field of application of such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-30 Maria Francesca Marino , Nikos Tzavidis , Marco Alfo'

When neural networks are employed for high-stakes decision-making, it is desirable that they provide explanations for their prediction in order for us to understand the features that have contributed to the decision. At the same time, it is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-10 Penny Chong , Ngai-Man Cheung , Yuval Elovici , Alexander Binder

The additive genetic effect is arguably the most important quantity inferred in animal and plant breeding analyses. The term effect indicates that it represents causal information, which is different from standard statistical concepts as…

We develop a pivotal test to assess the statistical significance of the feature variables in a single-layer feedforward neural network regression model. We propose a gradient-based test statistic and study its asymptotics using…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-10 Enguerrand Horel , Kay Giesecke

In the classical contamination models, such as the gross-error (Huber and Tukey contamination model or Case-wise Contamination), observations are considered as the units to be identified as outliers or not. This model is very useful when…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-11 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli

We show that, depending on how the impact of omitted variables is measured, it can be substantially easier for omitted variables to flip coefficient signs than to drive them to zero. This behavior occurs with "Oster's delta" (Oster 2019), a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-12 Matthew A. Masten , Alexandre Poirier

Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Yannick Baraud

Zero adjusted regression models are used to fit variables that are discrete at zero and continuous at some interval of the positive real numbers. Diagnostic analysis in these models is usually performed using the randomized quantile…

For the last two decades, high-dimensional data and methods have proliferated throughout the literature. Yet, the classical technique of linear regression has not lost its usefulness in applications. In fact, many high-dimensional…

The purpose of this paper is to explain the interest and importance of (approximate) models and model selection in Statistics. Starting from the very elementary example of histograms we present a general notion of finite dimensional model…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Lucien Birgé

How should researchers analyze randomized experiments in which the main outcome is latent and measured in multiple ways but each measure contains some degree of error? We first identify a critical study-specific noncomparability problem in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-13 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

Complex statistical models such as scalar-on-image regression often require strong assumptions to overcome the issue of non-identifiability. While in theory it is well understood that model assumptions can strongly influence the results,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-04 Clara Happ , Sonja Greven , Volker J. Schmid

Network experiments are powerful tools for studying spillover effects, which avoid endogeneity by randomly assigning treatments to units over networks. However, it is non-trivial to analyze network experiments properly without imposing…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-09 Mengsi Gao , Peng Ding