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There is growing interest in estimating and analyzing heterogeneous treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. We describe a number of meta-algorithms that can take advantage of any supervised learning or regression method…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-18 Sören R. Künzel , Jasjeet S. Sekhon , Peter J. Bickel , Bin Yu

Contextual bandit algorithms often estimate reward models to inform decision-making. However, true rewards can contain action-independent redundancies that are not relevant for decision-making. We show it is more data-efficient to estimate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-27 Aldo Gael Carranza , Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy , Susan Athey

This paper studies Difference-in-Differences (DiD) setups with repeated cross-sectional data and potential compositional changes across time periods. We begin our analysis by deriving the efficient influence function and the semiparametric…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-17 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Qi Xu

Motivated by the rising abundance of observational data with continuous treatments, we investigate the problem of estimating the average dose-response curve (ADRF). Available parametric methods are limited in their model space, and previous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-16 Lizhen Nie , Mao Ye , Qiang Liu , Dan Nicolae

This paper studies identification and estimation of the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) in difference-in-difference (DID) designs when the variable that classifies individuals into treatment and control groups (treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-08-05 Akanksha Negi , Digvijay Singh Negi

Triple difference designs have become increasingly popular in empirical economics. The advantage of a triple difference design is that, within a treatment group, it allows for another subgroup of the population -- potentially less impacted…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-04 Laura Caron

We study nonparametric distance-based (isotropic) local polynomial methods for estimating the boundary average treatment effect curve, a causal functional that captures treatment effect heterogeneity in boundary discontinuity designs. We…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-26 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rocio Titiunik , Ruiqi Rae Yu

We consider identification and inference for the average treatment effect and heterogeneous treatment effect conditional on observable covariates in the presence of unmeasured confounding. Since point identification of these treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Kan Chen , Jeffrey Zhang , Bingkai Wang , Dylan S. Small

In network settings, interference between units makes causal inference more challenging as outcomes may depend on the treatments received by others in the network. Typical estimands in network settings focus on treatment effects aggregated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-25 Heejong Bong , Colin B. Fogarty , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

Marginal structural models are a popular tool for investigating the effects of time-varying treatments, but they require an assumption of no unobserved confounders between the treatment and outcome. With observational data, this assumption…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-10 Matthew Blackwell , Soichiro Yamauchi

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference using observational data consisting of outcome, treatment, and a set of confounders. The conditional distribution of the outcome given treatment and confounders is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Yongseok Hur , Joonhyuk Jung , Juhee Lee

The traditional model specification of stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trials assumes a homogeneous treatment effect across time while adjusting for fixed-time effects. However, when treatment effects vary over time, the constant effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-22 Zhe Chen , Wei Wang , Yingying Lu , Scott D. Halpern , Katherine R. Courtright , Fan Li , Michael O. Harhay

This paper addresses the use of neural networks for the estimation of treatment effects from observational data. Generally, estimation proceeds in two stages. First, we fit models for the expected outcome and the probability of treatment…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-21 Claudia Shi , David M. Blei , Victor Veitch

Natural Language Processing (NLP) methods have been broadly applied to clinical tasks. Machine learning and deep learning approaches have been used to improve the performance of clinical NLP. However, these approaches require sufficiently…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-10-05 Xiruo Ding , Zhecheng Sheng , Meliha Yetişgen , Serguei Pakhomov , Trevor Cohen

Recently, there has been great interest in estimating the conditional average treatment effect using flexible machine learning methods. However, in practice, investigators often have working hypotheses about effect heterogeneity across…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-13 Chan Park , Hyunseung Kang

Estimating causal effects under interference, where the stable unit treatment value assumption is violated, is critical in fields such as regional and public economics. Much of the existing research on causal inference under interference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Akihiro Sato , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Causal inference on a population of units connected through a network often presents technical challenges, including how to account for interference. In the presence of local interference, for instance, potential outcomes of a unit depend…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-02 Laura Forastiere , Edoardo M. Airoldi , Fabrizia Mealli

We propose a new control function (CF) method to estimate a binary response model in a triangular system with multiple unobserved heterogeneities The CFs are the expected values of the heterogeneity terms in the reduced form equations…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-01 Amaresh K Tiwari

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity is vital to many scientific fields because the same treatment may affect different individuals differently. Quantile regression provides a natural framework for modeling such heterogeneity. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-12 Alexander Giessing , Jingshen Wang

Epidemiological approaches for examining human health responses to environmental exposures in observational studies often control for confounding by implementing clever matching schemes and using statistical methods based on conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-21 Jacob Englert , Stefanie Ebelt , Howard Chang