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Survival Analysis (SA) constitutes the default method for time-to-event modeling due to its ability to estimate event probabilities of sparsely occurring events over time. In this work, we show how to improve the training and inference of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Chris Solomou

Survival analysis is a statistical technique used to estimate the time until an event occurs. Although it is applied across a wide range of fields, adjusting for reporting delays under practical constraints remains a significant challenge…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

Due to the skessed distribution, high peak and thick tail and asymmetry of financial return data, it is difficult to describe the traditional distribution. In recent years, generalized autoregressive score (GAS) has been used in many fields…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-10-14 Hong Shaopeng

The abundance of modern health data provides many opportunities for the use of machine learning techniques to build better statistical models to improve clinical decision making. Predicting time-to-event distributions, also known as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Zidi Xiu , Chenyang Tao , Benjamin A. Goldstein , Ricardo Henao

Survival analysis is a hotspot in statistical research for modeling time-to-event information with data censorship handling, which has been widely used in many applications such as clinical research, information system and other fields with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-14 Kan Ren , Jiarui Qin , Lei Zheng , Zhengyu Yang , Weinan Zhang , Lin Qiu , Yong Yu

Survival analysis aims at modeling the relationship between covariates and event occurrence with some untracked (censored) samples. In implementation, existing methods model the survival distribution with strong assumptions or in a discrete…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-25 Yu Ling , Weimin Tan , Bo Yan

The study of survival data often requires taking proper care of the censoring mechanism that prohibits complete observation of the data. Under right censoring, only the first occurring event is observed: either the event of interest, or a…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-25 Myrthe D'Haen , Ingrid Van Keilegom , Anneleen Verhasselt

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Models for predicting the time of a future event are crucial for risk assessment, across a diverse range of applications. Existing time-to-event (survival) models have focused primarily on preserving pairwise ordering of estimated event…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-14 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chenyang Tao , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

This paper studies Cox's regression hazard model with an unobservable random frailty where no specific distribution is postulated for the frailty variable, and the marginal lifetime distribution allows both parametric and non-parametric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-09 Vahed Maroufy , Paul Marriott

Modern health data science applications leverage abundant molecular and electronic health data, providing opportunities for machine learning to build statistical models to support clinical practice. Time-to-event analysis, also called…

To make inferences about the shape of a population distribution, the widely popular mean regression model, for example, is inadequate if the distribution is not approximately Gaussian (or symmetric). Compared to conventional mean regression…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-18 Luis E. Benites , Víctor H. Lachos , Filidor E. Vilca

Survival analysis aims to estimate a time-to-event distribution from data with censored observations. Many existing methods either impose structural assumptions on the hazard function or discretize the time axis, which may limit flexibility…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Stanislav R. Kirpichenko , Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

This paper introduces constrained mixtures for continuous distributions, characterized by a mixture of distributions where each distribution has a shape similar to the base distribution and disjoint domains. This new concept is used to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-29 Conrado S. Miranda , Fernando J. Von Zuben

Recently developed survival analysis methods improve upon existing approaches by predicting the probability of event occurrence in each of a number pre-specified (discrete) time intervals. By avoiding placing strong parametric assumptions…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-25 Jimmy Hickey , Ricardo Henao , Daniel Wojdyla , Michael Pencina , Matthew M. Engelhard

Survival analysis, or time-to-event modelling, is a classical statistical problem that has garnered a lot of interest for its practical use in epidemiology, demographics or actuarial sciences. Recent advances on the subject from the point…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-28 Guillaume Ausset , Tom Ciffreo , Francois Portier , Stephan Clémençon , Timothée Papin

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

Survival regression aims to predict the time when an event of interest will take place, typically a death or a failure. A fully parametric method [18] is proposed to estimate the survival function as a mixture of individual parametric…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-25 Qinxin Wang , Jiayuan Huang , Junhui Li , Jiaming Liu

This article analyzes the problem of estimating the time until an event occurs, also known as survival modeling. We observe through substantial experiments on large real-world datasets and use-cases that populations are largely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-13 David Hubbard , Benoit Rostykus , Yves Raimond , Tony Jebara

Typically, case-control studies to estimate odds-ratios associating risk factors with disease incidence from logistic regression only include cases with newly diagnosed disease. Recently proposed methods allow incorporating information on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-19 Soutrik Mandal , Jing Qin , Ruth M. Pfeiffer
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