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相关论文: Conditional independence testing with a single rea…

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We develop a Hilbert--Schmidt independence criterion (HSIC)-based framework for testing serial independence in strictly stationary time series. The proposed auto Hilbert--Schmidt independence criterion (AutoHSIC) measures dependence between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-22 Muyi Li , Yuqing Xu , Zhou Zhou

We present a test for independence of two strictly stationary time series based on a bootstrap procedure for the distance covariance. Our test detects any kind of dependence between the two time series within an arbitrary maximum lag $L$.…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-06 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling , Marius Kroll

In many real-world scenarios, interested variables are often represented as discretized values due to measurement limitations. Applying Conditional Independence (CI) tests directly to such discretized data, however, can lead to incorrect…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 Boyang Sun , Yu Yao , Xinshuai Dong , Zongfang Liu , Tongliang Liu , Yumou Qiu , Kun Zhang

Conditional independence is a fundamental concept in many areas of statistical research, including, for example, sufficient dimension reduction, causal inference, and statistical graphical models. In many modern applications, data arise in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Yin Tang , Bing Li

This paper presents a general framework for modeling dependence in multivariate time series. Its fundamental approach relies on decomposing each signal in a system into various frequency components and then studying the dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-01 Hernando Ombao , Marco Pinto

An important problem in time series analysis is the discrimination between non-stationarity and longrange dependence. Most of the literature considers the problem of testing specific parametric hypotheses of non-stationarity (such as a…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-19 Philip Preuß , Kemal Sen , Holger Dette

We introduce a performance-driven framework for constructing strictly causal forward-oriented observables in strongly non-stationary time series. The method combines a robustly normalized composite of heterogeneous indicators with a…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-03-17 Lucas A. Souza

We propose a sequential, anytime-valid method to test the conditional independence of a response $Y$ and a predictor $X$ given a random vector $Z$. The proposed test is based on e-statistics and test martingales, which generalize likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Peter Grünwald , Alexander Henzi , Tyron Lardy

In this article, we consider the problem of testing the independence between two random variables. Our primary objective is to develop tests that are highly effective at detecting associations arising from explicit or implicit functional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-21 Seetharaman P , Sagnik Das , Angshuman Roy

This paper introduces the \textit{weighted partial copula} function for testing conditional independence. The proposed test procedure results from these two ingredients: (i) the test statistic is an explicit Cramer-von Mises transformation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-15 Pascal Bianchi , Kevin Elgui , François Portier

This paper proposes some novel one-sided omnibus tests for independence between two multivariate stationary time series. These new tests apply the Hilbert-Schmidt independence criterion (HSIC) to test the independence between the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-27 Guochang Wang , Wai Keung Li , Ke Zhu

The tetrad constraint is widely used to test whether four observed variables are conditionally independent given a latent variable, based on the fact that if four observed variables following a linear model are mutually independent after…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Naiwen Ying , Ping Zhang , Shanshan Luo , Wang Miao

An important issue in functional time series analysis is whether an observed series comes from a purely random process. We extend the BDS test, a widely-used nonlinear independence test, to the functional time series. Like the BDS test in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-05 Xin Huang , Han Lin Shang , Tak Kuen Siu

In this paper an autoregressive time series model with conditional heteroscedasticity is considered, where both conditional mean and conditional variance function are modeled nonparametrically. A test for the model assumption of…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-12 Marie Hušková , Natalie Neumeyer , Tobias Niebuhr , Leonie Selk

The estimation of dependencies between multiple variables is a central problem in the analysis of financial time series. A common approach is to express these dependencies in terms of a copula function. Typically the copula function is…

We develope the framework of transitional conditional independence. For this we introduce transition probability spaces and transitional random variables. These constructions will generalize, strengthen and unify previous notions of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-30 Patrick Forré

Testing conditional independence between two random vectors given a third is a fundamental and challenging problem in statistics, particularly in multivariate nonparametric settings due to the complexity of conditional structures. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-28 Chenxuan He , Yuan Gao , Liping Zhu , Jian Huang

Testing conditional independence has many applications, such as in Bayesian network learning and causal discovery. Different test methods have been proposed. However, existing methods generally can not work when only discretized…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-19 Boyang Sun , Yu Yao , Guang-Yuan Hao , Yumou Qiu , Kun Zhang

Testing for conditional independence is a core aspect of constraint-based causal discovery. Although commonly used tests are perfect in theory, they often fail to reject independence in practice, especially when conditioning on multiple…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-13 Alexander Marx , Jilles Vreeken

Conditional independence testing is an important problem, especially in Bayesian network learning and causal discovery. Due to the curse of dimensionality, testing for conditional independence of continuous variables is particularly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-02-20 Kun Zhang , Jonas Peters , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schoelkopf