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Extracting time-varying latent variables from computational cognitive models is a key step in model-based neural analysis, which aims to understand the neural correlates of cognitive processes. However, existing methods only allow…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-01 Ti-Fen Pan , Jing-Jing Li , Bill Thompson , Anne Collins

Sequential or chained models are increasingly prevalent in machine learning for scientific applications, due to their flexibility and ease of development. Chained models are particularly useful when a task is separable into distinct steps…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2025-02-05 Daniel Douglas , Aashwin Mishra , Daniel Ratner , Felix Petersen , Kazuhiro Terao

Inverse problems are the task of calibrating models to match data. They play a pivotal role in diverse engineering applications by allowing practitioners to align models with reality. In many applications, engineers and scientists do not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Pengyu Zhang , Arnaud Vadeboncoeur , Alex Glyn-Davies , Mark Girolami

We propose a novel denoising diffusion generative model for predicting nonlinear fluid fields named FluidDiff. By performing a diffusion process, the model is able to learn a complex representation of the high-dimensional dynamic system,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Gefan Yang , Stefan Sommer

Modeling uncertainty in heavy-tailed time series remains a critical challenge for deep probabilistic forecasting models, which often struggle to capture abrupt, extreme events. While L\'evy stable distributions offer a natural framework for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Yang Yang , Du Yin , Hao Xue , Flora Salim

Inspired by the ubiquitous use of differential equations to model continuous dynamics across diverse scientific and engineering domains, we propose a novel and intuitive approach to continuous sequence modeling. Our method interprets…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-03 Macheng Shen , Chen Cheng

Discovering governing equations of complex network dynamics is a fundamental challenge in contemporary science with rich data, which can uncover the mysterious patterns and mechanisms of the formation and evolution of complex phenomena in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Jiao Hu , Jiaxu Cui , Bo Yang

Can evolving networks be inferred and modeled without directly observing their nodes and edges? In many applications, the edges of a dynamic network might not be observed, but one can observe the dynamics of stochastic cascading processes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-26 Elahe Ghalebi , Baharan Mirzasoleiman , Radu Grosu , Jure Leskovec

Robust optimization has been established as a leading methodology to approach decision problems under uncertainty. To derive a robust optimization model, a central ingredient is to identify a suitable model for uncertainty, which is called…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-10 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

A wide range of systems exhibit high dimensional incomplete data. Accurate estimation of the missing data is often desired, and is crucial for many downstream analyses. Many state-of-the-art recovery methods involve supervised learning…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-03-15 Adrian V. Dalca , John Guttag , Mert R. Sabuncu

We propose a new Bayesian Neural Net formulation that affords variational inference for which the evidence lower bound is analytically tractable subject to a tight approximation. We achieve this tractability by (i) decomposing ReLU…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-13 Manuel Haussmann , Fred A. Hamprecht , Melih Kandemir

Uncertainty quantification for deep learning is a challenging open problem. Bayesian statistics offer a mathematically grounded framework to reason about uncertainties; however, approximate posteriors for modern neural networks still…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-23 Nicolas Brosse , Carlos Riquelme , Alice Martin , Sylvain Gelly , Éric Moulines

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

Classical problems in computational physics such as data-driven forecasting and signal reconstruction from sparse sensors have recently seen an explosion in deep neural network (DNN) based algorithmic approaches. However, most DNN models do…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-21 Romit Maulik , Romain Egele , Krishnan Raghavan , Prasanna Balaprakash

Generative models and those with computationally intractable likelihoods are widely used to describe complex systems in the natural sciences, social sciences, and engineering. Fitting these models to data requires likelihood-free inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-04 Rui Zhang , Oksana A. Chkrebtii , Dongbin Xiu

The recent success of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) has drastically improved the state of the art for many application domains. While achieving high accuracy performance, deploying state-of-the-art DNNs is a challenge since they typically…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-01-24 Hokchhay Tann , Soheil Hashemi , Sherief Reda

The paper presents a Bayesian framework for the calibration of financial models using neural stochastic differential equations (neural SDEs), for which we also formulate a global universal approximation theorem based on Barron-type…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-05-12 Christa Cuchiero , Eva Flonner , Kevin Kurt

Diffusion (score-based) generative models have been widely used for modeling various types of complex data, including images, audios, and point clouds. Recently, the deep connection between forward-backward stochastic differential equations…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Weitao Du , Tao Yang , He Zhang , Yuanqi Du

Networked datasets can be enriched by different types of information about individual nodes or edges. However, most existing methods for analyzing such datasets struggle to handle the complexity of heterogeneous data, often requiring…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-01-13 Martina Contisciani , Marius Hobbhahn , Eleanor A. Power , Philipp Hennig , Caterina De Bacco