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The measured time series from complex systems are renowned for their intricate stochastic behavior, characterized by random fluctuations stemming from external influences and nonlinear interactions. These fluctuations take diverse forms,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-03-19 Pyei Phyo Lin , Matthias Wächter , Joachim Peinke , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar

Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki

Learned image reconstruction techniques using deep neural networks have recently gained popularity, and have delivered promising empirical results. However, most approaches focus on one single recovery for each observation, and thus neglect…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-26 Chen Zhang , Riccardo Barbano , Bangti Jin

We study the problem of learning multi-index models in high-dimensions using a two-layer neural network trained with the mean-field Langevin algorithm. Under mild distributional assumptions on the data, we characterize the effective…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-28 Alireza Mousavi-Hosseini , Denny Wu , Murat A. Erdogdu

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

Predictive variability due to data ambiguities has typically been addressed via construction of dedicated models with built-in probabilistic capabilities that are trained to predict uncertainty estimates as variables of interest. These…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-04 Katarína Tóthová , Ľubor Ladický , Daniel Thul , Marc Pollefeys , Ender Konukoglu

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

Recent advances in reconstruction methods for inverse problems leverage powerful data-driven models, e.g., deep neural networks. These techniques have demonstrated state-of-the-art performances for several imaging tasks, but they often do…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-20 Riccardo Barbano , Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

We present a sparse representation of model uncertainty for Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) where the parameter posterior is approximated with an inverse formulation of the Multivariate Normal Distribution (MND), also known as the information…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-23 Jongseok Lee , Matthias Humt , Jianxiang Feng , Rudolph Triebel

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

Uncertainty quantification is a critical aspect of reinforcement learning and deep learning, with numerous applications ranging from efficient exploration and stable offline reinforcement learning to outlier detection in medical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-27 Moritz A. Zanger , Pascal R. Van der Vaart , Wendelin Böhmer , Matthijs T. J. Spaan

Neural networks (NNs) are inherently multidimensional classifiers that learn complex, non-linear relationships among input observables. While their flexibility enables unprecedented performance in high-energy physics (HEP) analyses, it also…

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-09 James Rice

Using the dynamics of information propagation on a network as our illustrative example, we present and discuss a systematic approach to quantifying heterogeneity and its propagation that borrows established tools from Uncertainty…

Recent work has focused on data-driven learning of the evolution of unknown systems via deep neural networks (DNNs), with the goal of conducting long time prediction of the evolution of the unknown system. Training a DNN with low…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-28 Victor Churchill , Steve Manns , Zhen Chen , Dongbin Xiu

Heterogeneity is a dominant factor in the behaviour of many biological processes. Despite this, it is common for mathematical and statistical analyses to ignore biological heterogeneity as a source of variability in experimental data.…

The inverse problem of supervised reconstruction of depth-variable (time-dependent) parameters in a neural ordinary differential equation (NODE) is considered, that means finding the weights of a residual network with time continuous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-14 George Baravdish , Gabriel Eilertsen , Rym Jaroudi , B. Tomas Johansson , Lukáš Malý , Jonas Unger

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

When a missing process depends on the missing values themselves, it needs to be explicitly modelled and taken into account while doing likelihood-based inference. We present an approach for building and fitting deep latent variable models…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-19 Niels Bruun Ipsen , Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Jes Frellsen

Deep directed generative models have attracted much attention recently due to their expressive representation power and the ability of ancestral sampling. One major difficulty of learning directed models with many latent variables is the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-06-16 Siqi Nie , Qiang Ji