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Uncertainty quantification in a neural network is one of the most discussed topics for safety-critical applications. Though Neural Networks (NNs) have achieved state-of-the-art performance for many applications, they still provide…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-09 Mehedi Hasan , Abbas Khosravi , Ibrahim Hossain , Ashikur Rahman , Saeid Nahavandi

Recently, there has been a significant amount of interest in satellite telemetry anomaly detection (AD) using neural networks (NN). For AD purposes, the current approaches focus on either forecasting or reconstruction of the time series,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-29 Mohammad Amin Maleki Sadr , Yeying Zhu , Peng Hu

Monte Carlo dropout may effectively capture model uncertainty in deep learning, where a measure of uncertainty is obtained by using multiple instances of dropout at test time. However, Monte Carlo dropout is applied across the whole network…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-02-03 Liangping Ma , John Kaewell

Reliable uncertainty estimation is crucial for machine learning models, especially in safety-critical domains. While exact Bayesian inference offers a principled approach, it is often computationally infeasible for deep neural networks.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-18 Aslak Djupskås , Alexander Johannes Stasik , Signe Riemer-Sørensen

Knowing the uncertainty associated with the output of a deep neural network is of paramount importance in making trustworthy decisions, particularly in high-stakes fields like medical diagnosis and autonomous systems. Monte Carlo Dropout…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Hamzeh Asgharnezhad , Afshar Shamsi , Roohallah Alizadehsani , Arash Mohammadi , Hamid Alinejad-Rokny

Soil moisture is an important variable that determines floods, vegetation health, agriculture productivity, and land surface feedbacks to the atmosphere, etc. Accurately modeling soil moisture has important implications in both weather and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-30 Kuai Fang , Chaopeng Shen , Daniel Kifer

The Monte Carlo dropout method has proved to be a scalable and easy-to-use approach for estimating the uncertainty of deep neural network predictions. This approach was recently applied to Fault Detection and Di-agnosis (FDD) applications…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-11 Baihong Jin , Yingshui Tan , Yuxin Chen , Alberto Sangiovanni-Vincentelli

Among the various options to estimate uncertainty in deep neural networks, Monte-Carlo dropout is widely popular for its simplicity and effectiveness. However the quality of the uncertainty estimated through this method varies and choices…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-14 Francesco Verdoja , Ville Kyrki

Monte-Carlo (MC) Dropout provides a practical solution for estimating predictive distributions in deterministic neural networks. Traditional dropout, applied within the signal space, may fail to account for frequency-related noise common in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-01-22 Tal Zeevi , Lawrence H. Staib , John A. Onofrey

Accurately predicting customer Lifetime Value (LTV) is crucial for companies to optimize their revenue strategies. Traditional deep learning models for LTV prediction are effective but typically provide only point estimates and fail to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-26 Xinzhe Cao , Yadong Xu , Xiaofeng Yang

In this report, we present qualitative analysis of Monte Carlo (MC) dropout method for measuring model uncertainty in neural network (NN) models. We first consider the sources of uncertainty in NNs, and briefly review Bayesian Neural…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-06 Ronald Seoh

Traditional neural networks provide deterministic predictions without inherent uncertainty estimates. While Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer a principled approach to uncertainty quantification, their computational complexity limits…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Rouaa Hoblos , Noura Dridi , Noureddine Zerhouni , Zeina Al Masry

Research on Knowledge Tracing (KT) models traditionally focuses on improving predictive accuracy. However, responsible real-world deployment requires models to know when to defer uncertain predictions to a human teacher. We introduce an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-04 Joshua Mitton , Prarthana Bhattacharyya , Ralph Abboud , Simon Woodhead

Accurate uncertainty estimation is crucial for deploying neural networks in risk-sensitive applications such as medical diagnosis. Monte Carlo Dropout is a widely used technique for approximating predictive uncertainty by performing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-05 Tal Zeevi , Ravid Shwartz-Ziv , Yann LeCun , Lawrence H. Staib , John A. Onofrey

Dropout is conventionally used during the training phase as regularization method and for quantifying uncertainty in deep learning. We propose to use dropout during training as well as inference steps, and average multiple predictions to…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-07 Mehmet Yigit Avci , Ziyu Li , Qiuyun Fan , Susie Huang , Berkin Bilgic , Qiyuan Tian

Spatially referenced datasets have become increasingly prevalent across many fields, largely driven by advances in data collection methods such as satellite remote sensing. In many applications, predictions at unobserved locations are…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Isaac Amouzou , Ben Seiyon Lee

With the advancements made in deep learning, computer vision problems like object detection and segmentation have seen a great improvement in performance. However, in many real-world applications such as autonomous driving vehicles, the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-08-10 Kumari Deepshikha , Sai Harsha Yelleni , P. K. Srijith , C Krishna Mohan

Uncertainty estimation in deep learning becomes more important recently. A deep learning model can't be applied in real applications if we don't know whether the model is certain about the decision or not. Some literature proposes the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-07-31 Po-Yu Huang , Wan-Ting Hsu , Chun-Yueh Chiu , Ting-Fan Wu , Min Sun

Among Bayesian methods, Monte-Carlo dropout provides principled tools for evaluating the epistemic uncertainty of neural networks. Its popularity recently led to seminal works that proposed activating the dropout layers only during…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-07 Emanuele Ledda , Giorgio Fumera , Fabio Roli

Multi-sensor ML models for EO aim to enhance prediction accuracy by integrating data from various sources. However, the presence of missing data poses a significant challenge, particularly in non-persistent sensors that can be affected by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Francisco Mena , Diego Arenas , Andreas Dengel
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