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Variational methods for parameter estimation are an active research area, potentially offering computationally tractable heuristics with theoretical performance bounds. We build on recent work that applies such methods to network data, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-10-30 Peter Bickel , David Choi , Xiangyu Chang , Hai Zhang

This paper addresses the key challenge of estimating the asymptotic covariance associated with the Markov chain central limit theorem, which is essential for visualizing and terminating Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations. We focus…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-08-29 James M. Flegal , Rebecca P. Kurtz-Garcia

Stochastic gradient algorithms are more and more studied since they can deal efficiently and online with large samples in high dimensional spaces. In this paper, we first establish a Central Limit Theorem for these estimates as well as for…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-17 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

In this paper, we consider asymptotics of the optimal value and the optimal solutions of parametric minimax estimation problems. Specifically, we consider estimators of the optimal value and the optimal solutions in a sample minimax problem…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-16 Mika Meitz , Alexander Shapiro

We study statistical properties of the optimal value and optimal solutions of the Sample Average Approximation of risk averse stochastic problems. Central Limit Theorem type results are derived for the optimal value and optimal solutions…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-03-25 Vincent Guigues , Volker Krätschmer , Alexander Shapiro

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-28 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Panos Parpas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

We study the problem of parameter estimation using maximum likelihood for fast/slow systems of stochastic differential equations. Our aim is to shed light on the problem of model/data mismatch at small scales. We consider two classes of…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-06-20 A. Papavasiliou , G. A. Pavliotis , A. M. Stuart

In this paper, we aim to study the asymptotic behavior for multi-scale McKean-Vlasov stochastic dynamical systems. Firstly, we obtain a central limit type theorem, i.e, the deviation between the slow component $X^{\varepsilon}$ and the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-02 Wei Hong , Shihu Li , Wei Liu , Xiaobin Sun

We study mixed models with a single grouping factor, where inference about unknown parameters requires optimizing a marginal likelihood defined by an intractable integral. Low-dimensional numerical integration techniques are regularly used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-22 Alex Stringer , Blair Bilodeau , Yanbo Tang

This work is concerned with the estimation of multidimensional regression and the asymptotic behaviour of the test involved in selecting models. The main problem with such models is that we need to know the covariance matrix of the noise to…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-02-20 Joseph Rynkiewicz

In this paper we consider the estimation of unknown parameters in Bayesian inverse problems. In most cases of practical interest, there are several barriers to performing such estimation, This includes a numerical approximation of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

We consider the problem of estimating the asymptotic variance of a function defined on a Markov chain, an important step for statistical inference of the stationary mean. We design a novel recursive estimator that requires $O(1)$…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-24 Shubhada Agrawal , Prashanth L. A. , Siva Theja Maguluri

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile iterative method to estimate the probability of rare events, based on an interacting particle systems. In an other article, in a so-called idealized setting, the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-21 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Ludovic Goudenège , Loic Tudela

The paper studies asymptotic properties of estimators of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions from high-frequency discrete data. Consistency and central limit properties of a class of estimators of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-07 Arnab Ganguly

We analyse the asymptotic properties of a continuous-time, two-timescale stochastic approximation algorithm designed for stochastic bilevel optimisation problems in continuous-time models. We obtain the weak convergence rate of this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-07-08 Louis Sharrock

This paper investigates asymptotic behaviors of gradient descent algorithms (particularly accelerated gradient descent and stochastic gradient descent) in the context of stochastic optimization arising in statistics and machine learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-13 Yazhen Wang

We discuss the problem of parameter estimation in nonlinear stochastic differential equations based on sampled time series. A central message from the theory of integrating stochastic differential equations is that there exists in general…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2015-06-26 J. Timmer

This paper presents a detailed theoretical analysis of the three stochastic approximation proximal gradient algorithms proposed in our companion paper [49] to set regularization parameters by marginal maximum likelihood estimation. We prove…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-14 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Ana F. Vidal , Marcelo Pereyra

For affine stochastic differential equation with uniformly distributed time delay the local asymptotic properties of the likelihood function are studied. Local asymptotic normality, local asymptotic mixed normality, periodic local…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-10 János Marcell Benke , Gyula Pap

We consider the rigorous derivation of asymptotic formulas for initial-boundary value problems using the nonlinear steepest descent method. We give detailed derivations of the asymptotics in the similarity and self-similar sectors for the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2016-04-04 Jonatan Lenells
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