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相关论文: Timeseries Foundation Models for Mobility: A Bench…

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Accurate forecasting of transportation dynamics is essential for urban mobility and infrastructure planning. Although recent work has achieved strong performance with deep learning models, these methods typically require dataset-specific…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Javier Yanes-Pulido , Filipe Rodrigues

In this paper, we introduce TimeGPT, the first foundation model for time series, capable of generating accurate predictions for diverse datasets not seen during training. We evaluate our pre-trained model against established statistical,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Azul Garza , Cristian Challu , Max Mergenthaler-Canseco

Modeling car-following behavior is essential for traffic simulation, analyzing driving patterns, and understanding complex traffic flows with varying levels of autonomous vehicles. Traditional models like the Safe Distance Model and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Luwei Zeng , Runze Yan

We investigate the effectiveness of time series foundation models (TSFMs) for crowd flow prediction, focusing on Moirai and TimesFM. Evaluated on three real-world mobility datasets-Bike NYC, Taxi Beijing, and Spanish national OD flows-these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-02 Massimiliano Luca , Ciro Beneduce , Bruno Lepri

Time series forecasting is essential for operational intelligence in the hospitality industry, and particularly challenging in large-scale, distributed systems. This study evaluates the performance of statistical, machine learning (ML),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-06 Issar Arab , Rodrigo Benitez

Accurate household electricity short-term load forecasting (STLF) is key to future and sustainable energy systems. While various studies have analyzed statistical, machine learning, or deep learning approaches for household electricity…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Marcel Meyer , David Zapata , Sascha Kaltenpoth , Oliver Müller

Over the past years, foundation models have caused a paradigm shift in machine learning due to their unprecedented capabilities for zero-shot and few-shot generalization. However, despite the success of foundation models in modalities such…

The zero-shot capabilities of foundation models (FMs) for time series forecasting offer promising potentials in conformal prediction, as most of the available data can be allocated to calibration. This study compares the performance of Time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Sami Achour , Yassine Bouher , Duong Nguyen , Nicolas Chesneau

Short-term load prediction (STLP) is critical for modern power distribution system operations, particularly as demand and generation uncertainties grow with the integration of low-carbon technologies, such as electric vehicles and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-12-18 Nan Lin , Dong Yun , Weijie Xia , Peter Palensky , Pedro P. Vergara

Time series forecasting drives operational decisions in areas like finance, transportation, and energy. While supervised learning approaches achieve strong performance, they require domain-specific training, feature engineering, and ongoing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Kavin Soni , Debanshu Das , Vamshi Guduguntla

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) such as Lag-Llama, TimeGPT, Chronos, MOMENT, UniTS, and TimesFM have shown strong generalization and zero-shot capabilities for time series forecasting, anomaly detection, classification, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Dhruv D. Modi , Rong Pan

Foundation models are large-scale machine learning models that are pre-trained on massive amounts of data and can be adapted for various downstream tasks. They have been extensively applied to tasks in Natural Language Processing and…

Accurate forecasting of electric load and renewable generation is essential for reliable and cost effective power system operations. Recent advances in transformer based and foundation machine learning models, driven by large scale…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-27 Muhy Eddin Za'ter , Bri-Mathias Hodge

With the rapid development of mobile communication technologies, future mobile networks will offer vast services and resources for commuting, production, daily life, and entertainment. Accurate and efficient forecasting of mobile data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Xiaoqian Qi , Haoye Chai , Yong Li

While recent advancements in foundation models have significantly impacted machine learning, rigorous tests on the performance of time series foundation models (TSFMs) remain largely underexplored. This paper presents an empirical study…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-09 Syamantak Datta Gupta

Machine learning models have made significant progress in load forecasting, but their forecast accuracy is limited in cases where historical load data is scarce. Inspired by the outstanding performance of large language models (LLMs) in…

Time series foundation models (FMs) have emerged as a popular paradigm for zero-shot multi-domain forecasting. These models are trained on numerous diverse datasets and claim to be effective forecasters across multiple different time series…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-05-19 Anubha Goel , Puneet Pasricha , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen

This study investigates zero-shot forecasting capabilities of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) for macroeconomic indicators. We apply TSFMs to forecasting economic indicators under univariate conditions, bypassing the need for train…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Jittarin Jetwiriyanon , Teo Susnjak , Surangika Ranathunga

Since the past few decades, human trajectory forecasting has been a field of active research owing to its numerous real-world applications: evacuation situation analysis, deployment of intelligent transport systems, traffic operations, to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-01-12 Parth Kothari , Sven Kreiss , Alexandre Alahi

Time series data is being used everywhere, from sales records to patients' health evolution metrics. The ability to deal with this data has become a necessity, and time series analysis and forecasting are used for the same. Every Machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-29 Rameshwar Garg , Shriya Barpanda , Girish Rao Salanke N S , Ramya S
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