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In this paper we study estimation of and inference for average treatment effects in a setting with panel data. We focus on the setting where units, e.g., individuals, firms, or states, adopt the policy or treatment of interest at a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-09-05 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens

This article proposes different tests for treatment effect heterogeneity when the outcome of interest, typically a duration variable, may be right-censored. The proposed tests study whether a policy 1) has zero distributional (average)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-19 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

A diagnostic policy specifies what test to perform next, based on the results of previous tests, and when to stop and make a diagnosis. Cost-sensitive diagnostic policies perform tradeoffs between (a) the cost of tests and (b) the cost of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-19 Valentina Bayer-Zubek

We consider the problem of learning a policy for a Markov decision process consistent with data captured on the state-actions pairs followed by the policy. We assume that the policy belongs to a class of parameterized policies which are…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-01-24 Manjesh K. Hanawal , Hao Liu , Henghui Zhu , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

From incorporating LLMs in education, to identifying new drugs and improving ways to charge batteries, innovators constantly try new strategies in search of better long-term outcomes for students, patients and consumers. One major…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-11 Hyunji Alex Nam , Yash Chandak , Emma Brunskill

The aim of this paper is to establish a causal link between the policies implemented by technology companies and the outcomes they yield within intricate temporal and/or spatial dependent experiments. We propose a novel…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-05 Shikai Luo , Ying Yang , Chengchun Shi , Fang Yao , Jieping Ye , Hongtu Zhu

This article proposes a fundamental methodological shift in the modelling of policy interventions for sustainability transitions in order to account for complexity (e.g. self-reinforcing mechanism arising from multi-agent interactions) and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-03-23 J. -F. Mercure , H. Pollitt , A. M. Bassi , J. E Viñuales , N. R. Edwards

Off-policy policy evaluation methods for sequential decision making can be used to help identify if a proposed decision policy is better than a current baseline policy. However, a new decision policy may be better than a baseline policy for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-30 Ramtin Keramati , Omer Gottesman , Leo Anthony Celi , Finale Doshi-Velez , Emma Brunskill

Large observational data are increasingly available in disciplines such as health, economic and social sciences, where researchers are interested in causal questions rather than prediction. In this paper, we examine the problem of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-24 Alberto Caron , Gianluca Baio , Ioanna Manolopoulou

Policymakers and researchers often seek to understand how a policy differentially affects a population and the pathways driving this heterogeneity. For example, when studying an excise tax on sweetened beverages, researchers might assess…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-06 Gary Hettinger , Youjin Lee , Nandita Mitra

Selecting a suitable development method for a specific project context is one of the most challenging activities in process design. Every project is unique and, thus, many context factors have to be considered. Recent research took some…

In this paper, we propose a theoretical framework for evaluating psychiatric research strategies. The strategies to be evaluated include a conventional diagnostic category-based approach and dimensional approach that have been encouraged by…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-09-02 Kentaro Katahira , Yuichi Yamashita

This paper considers the identification of dynamic treatment effects with panel data, in complex designs where the treatment may not be binary and may not be absorbing. We first show that under no-anticipation and parallel-trends…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-23 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

Can stated preferences help in counterfactual analyses of actual choice? This research proposes a novel approach to researchers who have access to both stated choices in hypothetical scenarios and actual choices. The key idea is to use…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-07-27 Romuald Meango

This paper studies the evaluation of methods for targeting the allocation of limited resources to a high-risk subpopulation. We consider a randomized controlled trial to measure the difference in efficiency between two targeting methods and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-04-04 Eric Potash

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is central to data-driven decision-making, yet industrial applications often face a fundamental tension between limited randomized controlled trial (RCT) budgets and abundant but biased…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Jiacan Gao , Xinyan Su , Mingyuan Ma , Yiyan Huang , Xiao Xu , Xinrui Wan , Tianqi Gu , Enyun Yu , Jiecheng Guo , Zhiheng Zhang

In the era of big data, analysts usually explore various statistical models or machine learning methods for observed data in order to facilitate scientific discoveries or gain predictive power. Whatever data and fitting procedures are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-24 Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh , Yuhong Yang

Strategic classification studies the design of a classifier robust to the manipulation of input by strategic individuals. However, the existing literature does not consider the effect of competition among individuals as induced by the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Lydia T. Liu , Nikhil Garg , Christian Borgs

Causal inference methods are widely applied in the fields of medicine, policy, and economics. Central to these applications is the estimation of treatment effects to make decisions. Current methods make binary yes-or-no decisions based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-24 Will Y. Zou , Smitha Shyam , Michael Mui , Mingshi Wang , Jan Pedersen , Zoubin Ghahramani

Active learning is an increasingly important branch of machine learning and a powerful technique for natural language processing. The main advantage of active learning is its potential to reduce the amount of labeled data needed to learn…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-04-05 Luke Kurlandski , Michael Bloodgood