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Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

Popular deterministic approximations of posterior distributions from, e.g. the Laplace method, variational Bayes and expectation-propagation, generally rely on symmetric approximating families, often taken to be Gaussian. This choice…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Francesco Pozza , Daniele Durante , Botond Szabo

Many approximate Bayesian inference methods assume a particular parametric form for approximating the posterior distribution. A multivariate Gaussian distribution provides a convenient density for such approaches; examples include the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-20 Jackson Zhou , Clara Grazian , John Ormerod

We consider the problem of learning a Gaussian variational approximation to the posterior distribution for a high-dimensional parameter, where we impose sparsity in the precision matrix to reflect appropriate conditional independence…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-23 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott

We develop flexible methods of deriving variational inference for models with complex latent variable structure. By splitting the variables in these models into "global" parameters and "local" latent variables, we define a class of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-23 Linda S. L. Tan , Aishwarya Bhaskaran , David J. Nott

Variational Bayesian Inference is a popular methodology for approximating posterior distributions over Bayesian neural network weights. Recent work developing this class of methods has explored ever richer parameterizations of the…

Gaussian distributions are widely used in Bayesian variational inference to approximate intractable posterior densities, but the ability to accommodate skewness can improve approximation accuracy significantly, when data or prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-05 Linda S. L. Tan , Aoxiang Chen

Accurate tuning of hyperparameters is crucial to ensure that models can generalise effectively across different settings. In this paper, we present theoretical guarantees for hyperparameter selection using variational Bayes in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-07 Dennis Nieman , Botond Szabó

Sparse variational approximations allow for principled and scalable inference in Gaussian Process (GP) models. In settings where several GPs are part of the generative model, theses GPs are a posteriori coupled. For many applications such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-30 Vincent Adam

Although there is much recent work developing flexible variational methods for Bayesian computation, Gaussian approximations with structured covariance matrices are often preferred computationally in high-dimensional settings. This paper…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-08 Robert Salomone , Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Robert Kohn

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang

Gaussian variational approximation is a popular methodology to approximate posterior distributions in Bayesian inference especially in high dimensional and large data settings. To control the computational cost while being able to capture…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-07 Bingxin Zhou , Junbin Gao , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Richard Gerlach

We propose a family of variational approximations to Bayesian posterior distributions, called $\alpha$-VB, with provable statistical guarantees. The standard variational approximation is a special case of $\alpha$-VB with $\alpha=1$. When…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-09 Yun Yang , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

Variational methods are attractive for computing Bayesian inference for highly parametrized models and large datasets where exact inference is impractical. They approximate a target distribution - either the posterior or an augmented…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-21 Michael Stanley Smith , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , David J. Nott

We consider the problem of estimating complex statistical latent variable models using variational Bayes methods. These methods are used when exact posterior inference is either infeasible or computationally expensive, and they approximate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-28 David Gunawan , David Nott , Robert Kohn

Variational methods are employed in situations where exact Bayesian inference becomes intractable due to the difficulty in performing certain integrals. Typically, variational methods postulate a tractable posterior and formulate a lower…

Ising models originated in statistical physics and are widely used in modeling spatial data and computer vision problems. However, statistical inference of this model remains challenging due to intractable nature of the normalizing constant…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-06 Minwoo Kim , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

Scientists continue to develop increasingly complex mechanistic models to reflect their knowledge more realistically. Statistical inference using these models can be challenging since the corresponding likelihood function is often…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Joshua J Bon , David J Warne , David J Nott , Christopher Drovandi

Bayesian inference has many advantages for complex models, but standard Monte Carlo methods for summarizing the posterior can be computationally demanding, and it is attractive to consider optimization-based variational methods. Our work…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-10-09 Aoxiang Chen , David J. Nott , Linda S. L. Tan

We show how to use a variational approximation to the logistic function to perform approximate inference in Bayesian networks containing discrete nodes with continuous parents. Essentially, we convert the logistic function to a Gaussian,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Kevin Murphy
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