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When studying treatment effects in multilevel studies, investigators commonly use (semi-)parametric estimators, which make strong parametric assumptions about the outcome, the treatment, and/or the correlation structure between study units…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-12 Chan Park , Hyunseung Kang

The estimation of individual treatment effects (ITE) focuses on predicting the outcome changes that result from a change in treatment. A fundamental challenge in observational data is that while we need to infer outcome differences under…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Zichuan Lin , Xiaokai Huang , Jiate Liu , Yuxuan Han , Jia Chen , Xiapeng Wu , Deheng Ye

A/B tests are typically analyzed via frequentist p-values and confidence intervals; but these inferences are wholly unreliable if users endogenously choose samples sizes by *continuously monitoring* their tests. We define *always valid*…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-18 Ramesh Johari , Leo Pekelis , David J. Walsh

Many popular methods for building confidence intervals on causal effects under high-dimensional confounding require strong "ultra-sparsity" assumptions that may be difficult to validate in practice. To alleviate this difficulty, we here…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-06 Jelena Bradic , Stefan Wager , Yinchu Zhu

One approach for increasing the efficiency of randomized trials is the use of "external controls" -- individuals who received the control treatment studied in the trial during routine practice or in prior experimental studies. Existing…

Analysis of credibility is a reverse-Bayes technique that has been proposed by Matthews (2001) to overcome some of the shortcomings of significance tests. A significant result is deemed credible if current knowledge about the effect size is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-11 Leonhard Held

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are widely considered the gold standard for evaluating the effectiveness of new treatments or interventions in drug development. Still, they may not be feasible in certain cases, such as with rare diseases…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Di Ran , Fanni Zhang , Sima Shahsavari , Kristine Broglio , Alasdair Henderson , Binbing Yu

There has been a growing interest in covariate adjustment in the analysis of randomized controlled trials in past years. For instance, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration recently issued guidance that emphasizes the importance of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-12 Kelly Van Lancker , Frank Bretz , Oliver Dukes

We consider evaluation methods for payoffs with an inherent financial risk as encountered for instance for portfolios held by pension funds and insurance companies. Pricing such payoffs in a way consistent to market prices typically…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-04-04 Mitja Stadje , Antoon Pelsser

Response-adaptive clinical trial designs allow targeting a given objective by skewing the allocation of participants to treatments based on observed outcomes. Response-adaptive designs face greater regulatory scrutiny due to potential type…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-19 Stef Baas , Peter Jacko , Sofía S. Villar

To improve precision of estimation and power of testing hypothesis for an unconditional treatment effect in randomized clinical trials with binary outcomes, researchers and regulatory agencies recommend using g-computation as a reliable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-29 Ting Ye , Marlena Bannick , Yanyao Yi , Jun Shao

Standard random-effects meta-analysis methods perform poorly when applied to few studies only. Such settings however are commonly encountered in practice. It is unclear, whether or to what extent small-sample-size behaviour can be improved…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-15 Svenja E. Seide , Christian Röver , Tim Friede

Causal inference in completely randomized treatment-control studies with binary outcomes is discussed from Fisherian, Neymanian and Bayesian perspectives, using the potential outcomes framework. A randomization-based justification of…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-13 Peng Ding , Tirthankar Dasgupta

For testing the statistical significance of a treatment effect, we usually compare between two parts of a population, one is exposed to the treatment, and the other is not exposed to it. Standard parametric and nonparametric two-sample…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-02 Bikram Karmakar , Kumaresh Dhara , Kushal Kumar Dey , Analabha Basu , Anil Ghosh

Linear mixed models are widely used to analyze non-independent data, but inference for fixed effects can be unreliable under misspecification of the random-effects distribution, inaccurate Fisher information estimation, or convergence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Angela Andreella , Livio Finos

Evaluating the treatment effects has become an important topic for many applications. However, most existing literature focuses mainly on the average treatment effects. When the individual effects are heavy-tailed or have outlier values,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-11 Yongchang Su , Xinran Li

Two commonly used methods for improving precision and power in clinical trials are stratified randomization and covariate adjustment. However, many trials do not fully capitalize on the combined precision gains from these two methods, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-04 Bingkai Wang , Ryoko Susukida , Ramin Mojtabai , Masoumeh Amin-Esmaeili , Michael Rosenblum

In this paper, we propose a data-adaptive empirical likelihood-based approach for treatment effect estimation and inference, which overcomes the obstacle of the traditional empirical likelihood-based approaches in the high-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Wei Liang , Ying Yan

We use p-values as a discrepancy criterion for identifying the threshold value at which a regression function takes off from its baseline value -- a problem that is motivated by applications in omics experiments, systems engineering,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-08-26 Bodhisattva Sen , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michialidis

Randomized trials are widely considered as the gold standard for evaluating the effects of decision policies. Trial data is, however, drawn from a population which may differ from the intended target population and this raises a problem of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-30 Sofia Ek , Dave Zachariah
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