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Recent FDA guidance on adaptive clinical trial designs defines bias as "a systematic tendency for the estimate of treatment effect to deviate from its true value", and states that it is desirable to obtain and report estimates of treatment…

Managers, employers, policymakers, and others often seek to understand whether decisions are biased against certain groups. One popular analytic strategy is to estimate disparities after adjusting for observed covariates, typically with a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-29 Jongbin Jung , Sam Corbett-Davies , Johann D. Gaebler , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel

One central goal of design of observational studies is to embed non-experimental data into an approximate randomized controlled trial using statistical matching. Despite empirical researchers' best intention and effort to create…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Kan Chen , Siyu Heng , Qi Long , Bo Zhang

The case$^2$ study, also referred to as the case-case study design, is a valuable approach for conducting inference for treatment effects. Unlike traditional case-control studies, the case$^2$ design compares treatment in two types of cases…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-03 Kan Chen , Ting Ye , Dylan S. Small

Assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding is an important step in observational studies, which typically estimate effects under the assumption that all confounders are measured. In this paper, we develop a sensitivity analysis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-04 Dan Soriano , Eli Ben-Michael , Peter J. Bickel , Avi Feller , Samuel D. Pimentel

Matching is a widely used causal inference design that aims to approximate a randomized experiment using observational data by forming matched sets of treated and control units based on similarities in their covariates. Ideally, treated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-06 Jianan Zhu , Jeffrey Zhang , Zijian Guo , Siyu Heng

This paper introduces the $f$-sensitivity model, a new sensitivity model that characterizes the violation of unconfoundedness in causal inference. It assumes the selection bias due to unmeasured confounding is bounded "on average"; compared…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren , Zhengyuan Zhou

Conjoint analysis is a popular experimental design used to measure multidimensional preferences. Researchers examine how varying a factor of interest, while controlling for other relevant factors, influences decision-making. Currently,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-20 Dae Woong Ham , Kosuke Imai , Lucas Janson

In dynamic discrete choice models, some parameters, such as the discount factor, are being fixed instead of being estimated. This paper proposes two sensitivity analysis procedures for dynamic discrete choice models with respect to the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-30 Chun Pong Lau

We study the problem of mismatched binary hypothesis testing between i.i.d. distributions. We analyze the tradeoff between the pairwise error probability exponents when the actual distributions generating the observation are different from…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-04-28 Parham Boroumand , Albert Guillén i Fàbregas

The comparison of different medical treatments from observational studies or across different clinical studies is often biased by confounding factors such as systematic differences in patient demographics or in the inclusion criteria for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-15 Ekkehard Glimm , Lillian Yau

In many practical settings one can sequentially and adaptively guide the collection of future data, based on information extracted from data collected previously. These sequential data collection procedures are known by different names,…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-28 Ervin Tánczos , Rui M. Castro

In causal inference, sensitivity models assess how unmeasured confounders could alter causal analyses, but the sensitivity parameter -- which quantifies the degree of unmeasured confounding -- is often difficult to interpret. For this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 Alec McClean , Zach Branson , Edward H. Kennedy

Previous deep learning approaches for survival analysis have primarily relied on ranking losses to improve discrimination performance, which often comes at the expense of calibration performance. To address such an issue, we propose a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-22 Dongjoon Lee , Hyeryn Park , Changhee Lee

Unmeasured confounding remains a critical challenge in causal inference for the social sciences. This paper proposes a sensitivity analysis framework to systematically evaluate how unmeasured confounders influence statistical inference in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-21 Cheng Lin , Jose M. Pena , Adel Daoud

There exist many methods for sensitivity analysis readily available to the practitioner. While each seeks to help the modeler answer the same general question -- How do sources of uncertainty or changes in the model inputs relate to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Devin Francom , Abigael Nachtsheim

The crosswise model is an increasingly popular survey technique to elicit candid answers from respondents on sensitive questions. Recent studies, however, point out that in the presence of inattentive respondents, the conventional estimator…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-21 Yuki Atsusaka , Randolph T. Stevenson

Publication bias is a major concern in conducting systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Various sensitivity analysis or bias-correction methods have been developed based on selection models and they have some advantages over the widely used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-28 Ao Huang , Kosuke Morikawa , Tim Friede , Satoshi Hattori

Multivariate meta-analysis of test accuracy studies when tests are evaluated in terms of sensitivity and specificity at more than one threshold represents an effective way to synthesize results by fully exploiting the data, if compared to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Annamaria Guolo , Duc Khanh To

Weighting methods are popular tools for estimating causal effects; assessing their robustness under unobserved confounding is important in practice. In the following paper, we introduce a new set of sensitivity models called "variance-based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-14 Melody Huang , Samuel D. Pimentel