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Precision medicine is of considerable interest in clinical, academic and regulatory parties. The key to precision medicine is the optimal treatment regime. Recently, Zhou et al. (2017) developed residual weighted learning (RWL) to construct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-30 Xin Zhou , Michael R. Kosorok

Individualized treatment regimes (ITRs) aim to improve clinical outcomes by assigning treatment based on patient-specific characteristics. However, existing methods often struggle with high-dimensional covariates, limiting accuracy,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Sungtaek Son , Eardi Lila , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

This research introduces a novel methodology for optimizing Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) by synergistically integrating them with traditional machine learning algorithms such as Random Forests (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB), and Support…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Peiwen Tan

Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDTs) are dominant machine learning algorithms for modeling discrete or tabular data. Unlike neural networks with millions of trainable parameters, GBDTs optimize loss function in an additive manner and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-22 Jean Pachebat , Sergei Ivanov

We propose a prognostic stratum matching framework that addresses the deficiencies of Randomized trial data subgroup analysis and transforms ObservAtional Data to be used as if they were randomized, thus paving the road for precision…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-06 Dimitris Bertsimas , Angelos G. Koulouras , Georgios Antonios Margonis

Dose-finding clinical trials in oncology aim to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of a new drug, generally defined by the proportion of patients with short-term dose-limiting toxicities (DLTs). Model-based approaches for such phase…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-08 Moreno Ursino , Lucie Biard , Sylvie Chevret

Distribution regression, where the goal is to predict a scalar response from a distribution-valued predictor, arises naturally in settings where observations are grouped and outcomes depend on group-level characteristics rather than on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-09 Antonio R. Linero , Soumyabrata Bose , Jared Murray

The Drift-Diffusion Model (DDM) is widely used in neuropsychological studies to understand the decision process by incorporating both reaction times and subjects' responses. Various models have been developed to estimate DDM parameters,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-03 Zekai Jin , Yaakov Stern , Seonjoo Lee

In this paper, we revisit the parameter learning problem, namely the estimation of model parameters for Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs). DBNs are directed graphical models of stochastic processes that encompasses and generalize Hidden…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-14 E. Benhamou , J. Atif , R. Laraki

Reinforcement learning (RL) solves sequential decision-making problems via a trial-and-error process interacting with the environment. While RL achieves outstanding success in playing complex video games that allow huge trial-and-error,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Fan-Ming Luo , Tian Xu , Hang Lai , Xiong-Hui Chen , Weinan Zhang , Yang Yu

Methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effect in observational data have largely focused on continuous or binary outcomes, and have been relatively less vetted with survival outcomes. Using flexible machine learning methods in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-09 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Fan Li

Modern treatment targeting methods often rely on estimating the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) using machine learning tools. While effective in identifying who benefits from treatment on the individual level, these approaches…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-05 Yuchen Hu , Shuangning Li , Stefan Wager

Reinforcement Learning (RL) is a computational approach to reward-driven learning in sequential decision problems. It implements the discovery of optimal actions by learning from an agent interacting with an environment rather than from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-06 Mauricio Tec , Yunshan Duan , Peter Müller

In offline model-based reinforcement learning (offline MBRL), we learn a dynamic model from historically collected data, and subsequently utilize the learned model and fixed datasets for policy learning, without further interacting with the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-13 Shentao Yang , Shujian Zhang , Yihao Feng , Mingyuan Zhou

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) is a non-parametric method to approximate functions. It is a black-box method based on the sum of many trees where priors are used to regularize inference, mainly by restricting trees' learning…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-08-16 Miriana Quiroga , Pablo G Garay , Juan M. Alonso , Juan Martin Loyola , Osvaldo A Martin

Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithms try to optimize an unknown function that is expensive to evaluate using minimum number of evaluations/experiments. Most of the proposed algorithms in BO are sequential, where only one experiment is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2011-10-18 Javad Azimi , Ali Jalali , Xiaoli Fern

Dynamic treatment regimes operationalize the clinical decision process as a sequence of functions, one for each clinical decision, where each function takes as input up-to-date patient information and gives as output a single recommended…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-08-08 Eric B. Laber , Daniel J. Lizotte , Bradley Ferguson

Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) are sequences of decision rules to guide treatment assignments in response to a patient's evolving, time-varying disease status. Sequential multiple assignment randomized trials (SMARTs) are considered the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Xinru Wang , Meghna Bose , Bibhas Chakraborty , Robert Mahar

The development of driverless vehicles has spurred the need to predict human driving behavior to facilitate interaction between driverless and human-driven vehicles. Predicting human driving movements can be challenging, and poor prediction…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-16 Yaoyuan Vincent Tan , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Michael R. Elliott

This paper introduces BART-RDD, a sum-of-trees regression model built around a novel regression tree prior, which incorporates the special covariate structure of regression discontinuity designs. Specifically, the tree splitting process is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-22 Rafael Alcantara , Meijia Wang , P. Richard Hahn , Hedibert Lopes