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The boundary discontinuity (BD) design is a non-experimental method for identifying causal effects that exploits a thresholding rule based on a bivariate score and a boundary curve. This widely used method generalizes the univariate…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-16 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rocio Titiunik , Ruiqi Rae Yu

Empirical studies using Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs often explore heterogeneous treatment effects based on pretreatment covariates, even though no formal statistical methods exist for such analyses. This has led to the widespread…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-08 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Filippo Palomba , Rocio Titiunik

Traditional nonparametric estimation methods often lead to a slow convergence rate in large dimensions and require unrealistically enormous sizes of datasets for reliable conclusions. We develop an approach based on partial derivatives,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Xiaowu Dai

It is common practice to incorporate additional covariates in empirical economics. In the context of Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs, covariate adjustment plays multiple roles, making it essential to understand its impact on analysis…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-22 Matias D. Cattaneo , Filippo Palomba

Motivated by a recently proposed error estimator for the transfer function of the reduced-order model of a given linear dynamical system, we further develop more theoretical results in this work. Furthermore, we propose several variants of…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-01-16 Lihong Feng , Peter Benner

This paper studies the estimation and inference for the isotonic regression at the boundary point, an object that is particularly interesting and required in the analysis of monotone regression discontinuity designs. We show that the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-22 Andrii Babii , Rohit Kumar

Efficient estimation under bias sampling, censoring or truncation is a difficult question which has been partially answered and the usual estimators are not always consistent. Several biased designs are considered for models with variables…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-10-22 Odile Pons

Modern applications require methods that are computationally feasible on large datasets but also preserve statistical efficiency. Frequently, these two concerns are seen as contradictory: approximation methods that enable computation are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-11 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

In the regression discontinuity design (RDD), it is common practice to assess the credibility of the design by testing the continuity of the density of the running variable at the cut-off, e.g., McCrary (2008). In this paper we propose an…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-02-13 Federico A. Bugni , Ivan A. Canay

State estimation is key to both analyzing physical mechanisms and enabling real-time control of fluid flows. A common estimation approach is to relate sensor measurements to a reduced state governed by a reduced-order model (ROM). (When…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2020-06-10 Nirmal J. Nair , Andres Goza

We develop a new framework for evaluating the total policy effect in regression discontinuity designs (RDD), incorporating both the direct effect of treatment on outcomes and the indirect effect arising from distortions in the running…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-01 Moyu Liao

The doubly robust (DR) estimator, which consists of two nuisance parameters, the conditional mean outcome and the logging policy (the probability of choosing an action), is crucial in causal inference. This paper proposes a DR estimator for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-22 Masahiro Kato , Shota Yasui , Kenichiro McAlinn

This paper introduces BART-RDD, a sum-of-trees regression model built around a novel regression tree prior, which incorporates the special covariate structure of regression discontinuity designs. Specifically, the tree splitting process is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-22 Rafael Alcantara , Meijia Wang , P. Richard Hahn , Hedibert Lopes

There has been a surge of interest in developing robust estimators for models with heavy-tailed and bounded variance data in statistics and machine learning, while few works impose unbounded variance. This paper proposes two type of robust…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Lihu Xu , Fang Yao , Qiuran Yao , Huiming Zhang

This work gives a simultaneous analysis of both the ordinary least squares estimator and the ridge regression estimator in the random design setting under mild assumptions on the covariate/response distributions. In particular, the analysis…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-26 Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Tong Zhang

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT) are the current gold standards to empirically measure the effect of a new drug. However, they may be of limited size and resorting to complementary non-randomized data, referred to as observational, is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-11 Ahmed Boughdiri , Julie Josse , Erwan Scornet

Additive models play an essential role in studying non-linear relationships. Despite many recent advances in estimation, there is a lack of methods and theories for inference in high-dimensional additive models, including confidence…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-18 Zijian Guo , Wei Yuan , Cun-Hui Zhang

The linear coefficient in a partially linear model with confounding variables can be estimated using double machine learning (DML). However, this DML estimator has a two-stage least squares (TSLS) interpretation and may produce overly wide…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-03 Corinne Emmenegger , Peter Bühlmann

Nonparametric estimators of a regression function with circular response and Rd-valued predictor are considered in this work. Local polynomial type estimators are proposed and studied. Expressions for their asymptotic biases and variances…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Andrea Meilán-Vila , Mario Francisco-Fernández , Rosa M. Crujeiras , Agnese Panzera

Estimating causal effects from observational data informs us about which factors are important in an autonomous system, and enables us to take better decisions. This is important because it has applications in selecting a treatment in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-29 Plabon Shaha , Talha Islam Zadid , Ismat Rahman , Md. Mosaddek Khan