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The paper presents an investigation of estimating treatment effect using different matching methods. The study proposed a new method which is computationally efficient and convenient in implication-'largest caliper matching' and compared…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-06-07 Sharif Mahmood

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate human opinions and survey responses, but their ability to reproduce population responses across cultures remains limited. Existing persona-based prompting methods typically rely…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Axel Abels , Elias Fernandez Domingos , Apurva Shah , Tom Lenaerts

Large language models (LLMs) excel at function calling, but inference scaling has been explored mainly for unstructured generation. We propose an inference-scaling framework for structured outputs that combines fine-grained beam search with…

Despite substantial advances in scaling test-time compute, an ongoing debate in the community is how it should be scaled up to enable continued and efficient improvements with scaling. There are largely two approaches: first, distilling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Amrith Setlur , Nived Rajaraman , Sergey Levine , Aviral Kumar

Test-time scaling via solution sampling and aggregation has become a key paradigm for improving the reasoning performance of Large Language Models (LLMs). While reward model selection is commonly employed in this approach, it often fails to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Zhicheng Yang , Zhijiang Guo , Yinya Huang , Yongxin Wang , Yiwei Wang , Xiaodan Liang , Jing Tang

Quantum mechanics for many-body systems may be reduced to the evaluation of integrals in 3N dimensions using Monte-Carlo, providing the Quantum Monte Carlo ab initio methods. Here we limit ourselves to expectation values for trial…

计算物理 · 物理学 2010-11-22 John Robert Trail , Ryo Maezono

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) has become a prominent method for post-training Large Language Models (LLMs). However, verifiers are rarely error-free; even deterministic checks can be inaccurate, and the growing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-10 Andreas Plesner , Francisco Guzmán , Anish Athalye

Process Reward Models (PRMs) have achieved strong results in complex reasoning, but are bottlenecked by costly process-level supervision. A widely used alternative, Monte Carlo Estimation (MCE), defines process rewards as the probability…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Bin Xie , Bingbing Xu , Xueyun Tian , Yilin Chen , Huawei Shen

Monte Carlo methods are widely used importance sampling techniques for studying complex physical systems. Integrating these methods with deep learning has significantly improved efficiency and accuracy in high-dimensional problems and…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2024-12-24 Yixiong Ren , Jianhui Zhou

Fast and accurate predictions of uncertainties in the computed dose are crucial for the determination of robust treatment plans in radiation therapy. This requires the solution of particle transport problems with uncertain parameters or…

医学物理 · 物理学 2022-11-09 Pia Stammer , Lucas Burigo , Oliver Jäkel , Martin Frank , Niklas Wahl

Accurately and efficiently estimating system performance under uncertainty is paramount in power system planning and operation. Monte Carlo simulation is often used for this purpose, but convergence may be slow, especially when detailed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-23 Simon Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Monte Carlo (MC) techniques are often used to estimate integrals of a multivariate function using randomly generated samples of the function. In light of the increasing interest in uncertainty quantification and robust design applications…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-08-25 Brendan Tracey , David Wolpert , Juan J. Alonso

We present two Monte Carlo sampling algorithms for probabilistic inference that guarantee polynomial-time convergence for a larger class of network than current sampling algorithms provide. These new methods are variants of the known…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-18 Malcolm Pradhan , Paul Dagum

We explain in detail how to estimate mean values and assess statistical errors for arbitrary functions of elementary observables in Monte Carlo simulations. The method is to estimate and sum the relevant autocorrelation functions, which is…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2009-09-29 Ulli Wolff

As the vocabulary size of modern word-based language models becomes ever larger, many sampling-based training criteria are proposed and investigated. The essence of these sampling methods is that the softmax-related traversal over the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-06-18 Yingbo Gao , David Thulke , Alexander Gerstenberger , Khoa Viet Tran , Ralf Schlüter , Hermann Ney

Models implicitly defined through a random simulator of a process have become widely used in scientific and industrial applications in recent years. However, simulation-based inference methods for such implicit models, like approximate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-17 Joonha Park

We present an algorithmic solution to the problem of incremental belief updating in the context of Monte Carlo inference in Bayesian statistical models represented by probabilistic programs. Given a model and a sample-approximated…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-13 David Tolpin

This study evaluates the effectiveness of Vision Language Models (VLMs) in representing and utilizing multimodal content for fact-checking. To be more specific, we investigate whether incorporating multimodal content improves performance…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-12-09 Recep Firat Cekinel , Pinar Karagoz , Cagri Coltekin

Recent advancements in improving the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models have underscored the efficacy of Process Reward Models (PRMs) in addressing intermediate errors through structured feedback mechanisms. This study analyzes…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Zhengyu Chen , Yudong Wang , Teng Xiao , Ruochen Zhou , Xuesheng Yang , Wei Wang , Zhifang Sui , Jingang Wang

Adapting pre-trained models to new tasks can exhibit varying effectiveness across datasets. Visual prompting, a state-of-the-art parameter-efficient transfer learning method, can significantly improve the performance of out-of-distribution…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-05 Hsi-Ai Tsao , Lei Hsiung , Pin-Yu Chen , Tsung-Yi Ho