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Interactions among people or objects are often dynamic in nature and can be represented as a sequence of networks, each providing a snapshot of the interactions over a brief period of time. An important task in analyzing such evolving…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

Changepoints are a very common feature of Big Data that arrive in the form of a data stream. In this paper, we study high-dimensional time series in which, at certain time points, the mean structure changes in a sparse subset of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-21 Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

This paper introduces a new biased estimator for the negative binomial regression model that is a generalization of Liu-type estimator proposed for the linear model in [12]. Since the variance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-11 Yasin Asar

We consider the problem of breakpoint detection in a regression modeling framework. To that end, we introduce a novel method, the max-EM algorithm which combines a constrained Hidden Markov Model with the Classification-EM (CEM) algorithm.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-10-14 Modibo Diabaté , Grégory Nuel , Olivier Bouaziz

The Box-Cox transformation is applied to the linear mixed models for analyzing positive and grouped data. The problem in using Box Cox transformation is that the maximum likelihood estimator of the transformation parameter is generally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-07 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes in the distribution of a multi-dimensional time series, with limited computing power and memory. In this paper, we propose a new, simple method for model-free online change-point detection…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-02 Nicolas Keriven , Damien Garreau , Iacopo Poli

Many offline unsupervised change point detection algorithms rely on minimizing a penalized sum of segment-wise costs. We extend this framework by proposing to minimize a sum of discrepancies between segments. In particular, we propose to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-04 Aurélien Serre , Didier Chételat , Andrea Lodi

Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) are widely used methods for estimating the transition probability matrix in Markov chains and identifying significant relationships between transitions, such as equality.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-04 Yining Zhou , Ming Gao , Yiting Chen , Xiaoping Shi

In this paper we consider change-points in multiple sequences with the objective of minimizing the estimation error of a sequence by making use of information from other sequences. This is in contrast to recent interest on change-points in…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-02 Hock Peng Chan

Many traditional methods for identifying changepoints can struggle in the presence of outliers, or when the noise is heavy-tailed. Often they will infer additional changepoints in order to fit the outliers. To overcome this problem, data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-12 Paul Fearnhead , Guillem Rigaill

Data segmentation a.k.a. multiple change point analysis has received considerable attention due to its importance in time series analysis and signal processing, with applications in a variety of fields including natural and social sciences,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-09 Haeran Cho , Claudia Kirch

We develop a mixture procedure to monitor parallel streams of data for a change-point that affects only a subset of them, without assuming a spatial structure relating the data streams to one another. Observations are assumed initially to…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-10 Yao Xie , David Siegmund

Strong consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for parametric Gibbs point process models is established. The setting is very general. It includes pairwise pair potentials, finite and infinite multibody interactions and…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-27 David Dereudre , Frédéric Lavancier

In this paper, we propose a class of monitoring statistics for a mean shift in a sequence of high-dimensional observations. Inspired by the recent U-statistic based retrospective tests developed by Wang et al.(2019) and Zhang et al.(2020),…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-19 Teng Wu , Runmin Wang , Hao Yan , Xiaofeng Shao

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a fundamental computational problem in statistics. In this paper, MLE for statistical models with discrete data is studied from an algebraic statistics viewpoint. A reformulation of the MLE problem in…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-27 Jose Israel Rodriguez

We study the problem of detecting a common change point in large panel data based on a mean shift model, wherein the errors exhibit both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. A least squares based procedure is used to estimate the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-26 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

We study nonparametric change-point estimation from indirect noisy observations. Focusing on the white noise convolution model, we consider two classes of functions that are smooth apart from the change-point. We establish lower bounds on…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 A. Goldenshluger , A. Tsybakov , A. Zeevi

We consider the change-point detection in multivariate continuous and integer valued time series. We propose a Wald-type statistic based on the estimator performed by a general contrast function; which can be constructed from the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-29 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

We give answer to an open problem regarding consistency of the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) involving crossed random effects. The solution to the open problem introduces an interesting,…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-13 Jiming Jiang