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Conditional local independence is an asymmetric independence relation among continuous time stochastic processes. It describes whether the evolution of one process is directly influenced by another process given the histories of additional…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-26 Alexander Mangulad Christgau , Lasse Petersen , Niels Richard Hansen

The Model-free Prediction Principle has been successfully applied to general regression problems, as well as problems involving stationary and locally stationary time series. In this paper we demonstrate how Model-Free Prediction can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-07 Srinjoy Das , Yiwen Zhang , Dimitris N. Politis

Testing the significance of a variable or group of variables $X$ for predicting a response $Y$, given additional covariates $Z$, is a ubiquitous task in statistics. A simple but common approach is to specify a linear model, and then test…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-08 Anton Rask Lundborg , Ilmun Kim , Rajen D. Shah , Richard J. Samworth

In randomized clinical trials, adjustments for baseline covariates at both design and analysis stages are highly encouraged by regulatory agencies. A recent trend is to use a model-assisted approach for covariate adjustment to gain…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-14 Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Yanyao Yi , Qingyuan Zhao

Estimating causal effects from nonexperimental data is a fundamental problem in many fields of science. A key component of this task is selecting an appropriate set of covariates for confounding adjustment to avoid bias. Most existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Zheng Li , Xichen Guo , Feng Xie , Yan Zeng , Hao Zhang , Zhi Geng

Estimating causal effects from observational data requires identifying valid adjustment sets. This task is especially challenging in realistic settings where latent confounding and feedback loops are present. Existing approaches typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Ana Leticia Garcez Vicente , Gijs van Seeventer , Saber Salehkaleybar

We consider an independence feature screening technique for identifying explanatory variables that locally contribute to the response variable in high-dimensional regression analysis. Without requiring a specific parametric form of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-31 Jinyuan Chang , Cheng Yong Tang , Yichao Wu

Model merging aims to combine multiple task-specific expert models into a single model while preserving generalization across diverse tasks. However, interference among experts, especially when they are trained on different objectives,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Bo Xu , Haotian Wu , Hehai Lin , Weiquan Huang , Beier Zhu , Yao Shu , Chengwei Qin

Covariate adjustment is a ubiquitous method used to estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) from observational data. Assuming a known graphical structure of the data generating model, recent results give graphical criteria for optimal…

Propensity score methods have been shown to be powerful in obtaining efficient estimators of average treatment effect (ATE) from observational data, especially under the existence of confounding factors. When estimating, deciding which type…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-14 Kangjie Zhou , Jinzhu Jia

In this paper we study covariance estimation with missing data. We consider missing data mechanisms that can be independent of the data, or have a time varying dependency. Additionally, observed variables may have arbitrary (non uniform)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-17 Eduardo Pavez , Antonio Ortega

The study presents an exploratory graphical modeling approach for evaluating local item dependency within cognitively diagnostic classification models (DCMs). Current approaches to modeling local dependence require known item structure and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-29 Hyeon-Ah Kang , Jingchen Liu , Zhiliang Ying

This paper presents an approach to modeling progressive event-history data when the overall objective is prediction based on time-dependent covariates. This approach does not model the hazard function directly. Instead, it models the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-09-07 Song Cai , James V. Zidek , Nathaniel Newlands

We explore fairness from a statistical perspective by selectively utilizing either conditional distance covariance or distance covariance statistics as measures to assess the independence between predictions and sensitive attributes. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-22 Ruifan Huang , Haixia Liu

Conditional independence testing is a fundamental problem underlying causal discovery and a particularly challenging task in the presence of nonlinear and high-dimensional dependencies. Here a fully non-parametric test for continuous data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-06 Jakob Runge

The Model-free Prediction Principle of Politis (2015) has been successfully applied to general regression problems, as well as problems involving stationary time series. However, with long time series, e.g. annual temperature measurements…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-12 Srinjoy Das , Dimitris N. Politis

This chapter covers different approaches to policy evaluation for assessing the causal effect of a treatment or intervention on an outcome of interest. As an introduction to causal inference, the discussion starts with the experimental…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-10-03 Martin Huber

We apply the concept of distance covariance for testing independence of two long-range dependent time series. As test statistic we propose a linear combination of empirical distance cross-covariances. We derive the asymptotic distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-28 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling

In this article, we study tests of independence for data with arbitrary distributions in the non-serial case, i.e., for independent and identically distributed random vectors, as well as in the serial case, i.e., for time series. These…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-13 Bouchra R. Nasri , Bruno N. Remillard

In many real-world scenarios, interested variables are often represented as discretized values due to measurement limitations. Applying Conditional Independence (CI) tests directly to such discretized data, however, can lead to incorrect…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 Boyang Sun , Yu Yao , Xinshuai Dong , Zongfang Liu , Tongliang Liu , Yumou Qiu , Kun Zhang
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