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Current causal discovery approaches require restrictive model assumptions in the absence of interventional data to ensure structure identifiability. These assumptions often do not hold in real-world applications leading to a loss of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-25 Anish Dhir , Ruby Sedgwick , Avinash Kori , Ben Glocker , Mark van der Wilk

Researchers often face choices between multiple data sources that differ in quality, cost, and representativeness. Which sources will most improve predictive performance? We study this data prioritization problem under a random distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Ivy Zhang , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Efficient analysis and simulation of multiscale stochastic systems of chemical kinetics is an ongoing area for research, and is the source of many theoretical and computational challenges. In this paper, we present a significant improvement…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-09-21 Simon Cotter

Research on Poisson regression analysis for dependent data has been developed rapidly in the last decade. One of difficult problems in a multivariate case is how to construct a cross-correlation structure and at the meantime make sure that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-05 A'yunin Sofro , Jian Qing Shi , Chunzheng Cao

In geostatistics, Gaussian random fields are often used to model heterogeneities of soil or subsurface parameters. To give spatial approximations of these random fields, they are discretized. Then, different techniques of geostatistical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-25 Sebastian Reuschen , Fabian Jobst , Wolfgang Nowak

We formulate a novel approach to solve a class of stochastic problems, referred to as data-consistent inverse (DCI) problems, which involve the characterization of a probability measure on the parameters of a computational model whose…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-04-19 Kirana Bergstrom , Troy Butler , Tim Wildey

We focus on analyzing the classical stochastic projected gradient methods under a general dependent data sampling scheme for constrained smooth nonconvex optimization. We show the worst-case rate of convergence $\tilde{O}(t^{-1/4})$ and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-06-26 Ahmet Alacaoglu , Hanbaek Lyu

Structured output representation is a generative task explored in computer vision that often times requires the mapping of low dimensional features to high dimensional structured outputs. Losses in complex spatial information in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Mohamed Debbagh

Many chemical processes exhibit diverse timescale dynamics with a strong coupling between timescale sensitive variables. Model predictive control with a non-uniformly spaced optimisation horizon is an effective approach to multi-timescale…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-11 Ryan McCloy , Lai Wei , Jie Bao

Stokes inversion techniques are very powerful methods for obtaining information on the thermodynamic and magnetic properties of solar and stellar atmospheres. In recent years, very sophisticated inversion codes have been developed that are…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-03-23 C. J. Díaz Baso , A. Asensio Ramos , J. de la Cruz Rodríguez

In recent years dynamical modelling has been provided with a range of breakthrough methods to perform exact Bayesian inference. However it is often computationally unfeasible to apply exact statistical methodologies in the context of large…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-24 Umberto Picchini , Julie Lyng Forman

We propose a way of transforming the problem of conditional density estimation into a single nonparametric regression task via the introduction of auxiliary samples. This allows leveraging regression methods that work well in high…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Alexander G. Reisach , Olivier Collier , Alex Luedtke , Antoine Chambaz

Proximal Markov Chain Monte Carlo is a novel construct that lies at the intersection of Bayesian computation and convex optimization, which helped popularize the use of nondifferentiable priors in Bayesian statistics. Existing formulations…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Qiang Heng , Hua Zhou , Eric C. Chi

We introduce Preconditioned Monte Carlo (PMC), a novel Monte Carlo method for Bayesian inference that facilitates efficient sampling of probability distributions with non-trivial geometry. PMC utilises a Normalising Flow (NF) in order to…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2022-08-24 Minas Karamanis , Florian Beutler , John A. Peacock , David Nabergoj , Uros Seljak

The ability to obtain reliable point estimates of model parameters is of crucial importance in many fields of physics. This is often a difficult task given that the observed data can have a very high number of dimensions. In order to…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2021-12-15 Janis Fluri , Aurelien Lucchi , Tomasz Kacprzak , Alexandre Refregier , Thomas Hofmann

Convolutional sparse coding (CSC) has been popularly used for the learning of shift-invariant dictionaries in image and signal processing. However, existing methods have limited scalability. In this paper, instead of convolving with a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-06-08 Yaqing Wang , Quanming Yao , James T. Kwok , Lionel M. Ni

We use approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) combined with an "improved" Markov chain Monte Carlo (IMCMC) method to estimate posterior distributions of model parameters in subgrid-scale (SGS) closures for large eddy simulations (LES) of…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2020-05-29 Olga A. Doronina , Colin A. Z. Towery , Peter E. Hamlington

We present a conditional diffusion model - ConDiSim, for simulation-based inference of complex systems with intractable likelihoods. ConDiSim leverages denoising diffusion probabilistic models to approximate posterior distributions,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-17 Mayank Nautiyal , Andreas Hellander , Prashant Singh

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

Dynamic Bayesian predictive synthesis is a formal approach to coherently synthesizing multiple predictive distributions into a single distribution. In sequential analysis, the computation of the synthesized predictive distribution has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-31 Riku Masuda , Kaoru Irie