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While spatio-temporal Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) excel at modeling recurring traffic patterns, their reliability plummets during non-recurring events like accidents. This failure occurs because GNNs are fundamentally correlational models,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Luyao Niu , Zepu Wang , Shuyi Guan , Yang Liu , Peng Sun

Spatial interference (SI) occurs when the treatment at one location affects the outcomes at other locations. Accounting for spatial interference in spatiotemporal settings poses further challenges as interference violates the stable unit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-02 Sahara Ali , Omar Faruque , Jianwu Wang

In recent years, there has been a rapid development of spatio-temporal prediction techniques in response to the increasing demands of traffic management and travel planning. While advanced end-to-end models have achieved notable success in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Zhonghang Li , Lianghao Xia , Yong Xu , Chao Huang

Causal reasoning is often challenging with spatial data, particularly when handling high-dimensional inputs. To address this, we propose a neural network (NN) based framework integrated with an approximate Gaussian process to manage spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-06 Ziyang Jiang , Zach Calhoun , Yiling Liu , Lei Duan , David Carlson

Recent developments in causal inference allow us to transport a causal effect of a time-fixed treatment from a randomized trial to a target population across space but within the same time frame. In contrast to transportability across…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-11 Laura Forastiere , Fan Li , Michela Baccini

In this paper, we present XST-GCNN (eXplainable Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Neural Network), a novel architecture for processing heterogeneous and irregular Multivariate Time Series (MTS) data. Our approach captures temporal and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Óscar Escudero-Arnanz , Cristina Soguero-Ruiz , Antonio G. Marques

Spatial-temporal causal time series (STC-TS) involve region-specific temporal observations driven by causally relevant covariates and interconnected across geographic or network-based spaces. Existing methods often model spatial and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-13 Yang Yang , Du Yin , Hao Xue , Flora Salim

Counterfactual prediction is a fundamental task in decision-making. G-computation is a method for estimating expected counterfactual outcomes under dynamic time-varying treatment strategies. Existing G-computation implementations have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-25 Rui Li , Zach Shahn , Jun Li , Mingyu Lu , Prithwish Chakraborty , Daby Sow , Mohamed Ghalwash , Li-wei H. Lehman

Spatio-temporal prediction is a crucial research area in data-driven urban computing, with implications for transportation, public safety, and environmental monitoring. However, scalability and generalization challenges remain significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-12 Jiabin Tang , Wei Wei , Lianghao Xia , Chao Huang

Multivariate time series (MTS) classification is foundational to pervasive computing and financial analysis, yet existing multi-scale paradigms are often constrained by suboptimal representation fidelity. We identify two critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Fan Zhang , Yating Cui , Hua Wang

Recent years have witnessed the rapid development of deep-learning-based, graph-neural-network-based forecasting methods for modern intelligent transportation systems. However, most existing work focuses exclusively on capturing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-08 Lixiang Fan , Bohao Li , Tao Zou , Junchen Ye , Bowen Du

Weather forecast plays an essential role in multiple aspects of the daily life of human beings. Currently, physics based numerical weather prediction is used to predict the weather and requires enormous amount of computational resources. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-14 Akshay Punjabi , Pablo Izquierdo Ayala

Scholars from diverse fields increasingly rely on high-frequency spatio-temporal data. Yet, causal inference with these data remains challenging due to spatial spillover and temporal carryover effects. We develop methods to estimate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-03 Lingxiao Zhou , Kosuke Imai , Jason Lyall , Georgia Papadogeorgou

The problem of forecasting spatiotemporal events such as crimes and accidents is crucial to public safety and city management. Besides accuracy, interpretability is also a key requirement for spatiotemporal forecasting models to justify the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Bang An , Xun Zhou , Zirui Zhou , Ronilo Ragodos , Zenglin Xu , Jun Luo

The abundance of fine-grained spatio-temporal data, such as traffic sensor networks, offers vast opportunities for scientific discovery. However, inferring causal relationships from such observational data remains challenging, particularly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Xintong Li , Haoran Zhang , Xiao Zhou

In recent years, spatio-temporal graph neural networks (GNNs) have attracted considerable interest in the field of time series analysis, due to their ability to capture, at once, dependencies among variables and across time points. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Flavio Corradini , Flavio Gerosa , Marco Gori , Carlo Lucheroni , Marco Piangerelli , Martina Zannotti

Traffic forecasting is an important application of spatiotemporal series prediction. Among different methods, graph neural networks have achieved so far the most promising results, learning relations between graph nodes then becomes a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-05 Ting Gao , Rodrigo Kappes Marques , Lei Yu

Spatio-temporal (ST) data, which represent multiple time series data corresponding to different spatial locations, are ubiquitous in real-world dynamic systems, such as air quality readings. Forecasting over ST data is of great importance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-01 Zheyi Pan , Yuxuan Liang , Junbo Zhang , Xiuwen Yi , Yong Yu , Yu Zheng

Causal inference in a nonlinear system of multivariate timeseries is instrumental in disentangling the intricate web of relationships among variables, enabling us to make more accurate predictions and gain deeper insights into real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

Exogenous variables offer valuable supplementary information for predicting future endogenous variables. Forecasting with exogenous variables needs to consider both past-to-future dependencies (i.e., temporal correlations) and the influence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-04 Zhengyu Li , Xiangfei Qiu , Yuhan Zhu , Xingjian Wu , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang
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