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Identifying covariates that modify treatment effects is a central problem in causal inference. Yet existing data-adaptive procedures do not provide finite-sample control over the expected number of false discoveries, risking spurious…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Omar Melikechi

Given only data generated by a standard confounding graph with unobserved confounder, the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is not identifiable. To estimate the ATE, a practitioner must then either (a) collect deconfounded data;(b) run a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-09 Kyra Gan , Andrew A. Li , Zachary C. Lipton , Sridhar Tayur

Case-control studies are designed towards studying associations between risk factors and a single, primary outcome. Information about additional, secondary outcomes is also collected, but association studies targeting such secondary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-17 Tamar Sofer , Marilyn C. Cornelis , Peter Kraft , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

In this paper, we investigate the identifiability of average controlled direct effects and average natural direct effects in causal systems represented by summary causal graphs, which are abstractions of full causal graphs, often used in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-10 Simon Ferreira , Charles K. Assaad

This paper develops methods for estimating the natural direct and indirect effects in causal mediation analysis. The efficient influence function-based estimator (EIF-based estimator) and the inverse probability weighting estimator (IPW…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-11 Kentaro Kawato

In a recent paper published in the Journal of Causal Inference, Philip Dawid has described a graphical causal model based on decision diagrams. This article describes how single-world intervention graphs (SWIGs) relate to these diagrams. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-11 Thomas S. Richardson , James M. Robins

Estimating the average treatment causal effect in clustered data often involves dealing with unmeasured cluster-specific confounding variables. Such variables may be correlated with the measured unit covariates and outcome. When the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-07 Zhulin He

Causal inference has traditionally focused on interventions at the unit level. In many applications, however, the central question concerns the causal effects of connections between units, such as transportation links, social relationships,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Shuli Chen , Jie Hu , Zhichao Jiang

Bayesian approaches have become increasingly popular in causal inference problems due to their conceptual simplicity, excellent performance and in-built uncertainty quantification ('posterior credible sets'). We investigate Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-27 Kolyan Ray , Botond Szabo

Interventional causal discovery seeks to identify causal relations by leveraging distributional changes introduced by interventions, even in the presence of latent confounders. Beyond the spurious dependencies induced by latent confounders,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Gongxu Luo , Loka Li , Guangyi Chen , Haoyue Dai , Kun Zhang

Propensity score (PS) weighting methods are often used in non-randomized studies to adjust for confounding and assess treatment effects. The most popular among them, the inverse probability weighting (IPW), assigns weights that are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-04 Yunji Zhou , Roland A. Matsouaka , Laine Thomas

This paper presents a weighted optimization framework that unifies the binary,multi-valued, continuous, as well as mixture of discrete and continuous treatment, under the unconfounded treatment assignment. With a general loss function, the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-08-20 Chunrong Ai , Oliver Linton , Kaiji Motegi , Zheng Zhang

A key condition for obtaining reliable estimates of the causal effect of a treatment is overlap (a.k.a. positivity): the distributions of the features used to perform causal adjustment cannot be too different in the treated and control…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-14 Alexander D'Amour , Alexander Franks

Conditioning on some set of confounders that causally affect both treatment and outcome variables can be sufficient for eliminating bias introduced by all such confounders when estimating causal effect of the treatment on the outcome from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-24 Priyantha Wijayatunga

Undirected graphical models are powerful tools for uncovering complex relationships among high-dimensional variables. This paper aims to fully recover the structure of an undirected graphical model when the data naturally take matrix form,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-08 Minsub Shin , Johan Lim , Seongoh Park

We propose an easy-to-use adjustment estimator for the effect of a treatment based on observational data from a single (social) network of units. The approach allows for interactions among units within the network, called interference, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-06 Meta-Lina Spohn , Leonard Henckel , Marloes H. Maathuis

A key methodological challenge in observational studies with interference between units is twofold: (1) each unit's outcome may depend on many others' treatments, and (2) treatment assignments may exhibit complex dependencies across units.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Souhardya Sengupta , Kosuke Imai , Georgia Papadogeorgou

In cluster randomized experiments, individuals are often recruited after the cluster treatment assignment, and data are typically only available for the recruited sample. Post-randomization recruitment can lead to selection bias, inducing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-11 Georgia Papadogeorgou , Bo Liu , Fan Li , Fan Li

In estimating the average treatment effect in observational studies, the influence of confounders should be appropriately addressed. To this end, the propensity score is widely used. If the propensity scores are known for all the subjects,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-08 Chengyao Tang , Yi Zhou , Ao Huang , Satoshi Hattori

Summary statistics of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) teach causal relationship between millions of genetic markers and tens and thousands of phenotypes. However, underlying biological mechanisms are yet to be elucidated. We can…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-25 Yongjin Park , Abhishek Sarkar , Khoi Nguyen , Manolis Kellis