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Inspired from recent insights into the common ground of machine learning, optimization and decision-making, this paper proposes an easy-to-implement, but effective procedure to enhance both the quality of renewable energy forecasts and the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-17 Miguel Á. Muñoz , Juan M. Morales , Salvador Pineda

This paper proposes a regression market for wind agents to monetize data traded among themselves for wind power forecasting. Existing literature on data markets often treats data disclosure as a binary choice or modulates the data quality…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-04 Liyang Han , Pierre Pinson , Jalal Kazempour

Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources is essential for grid stability and price prediction. Regional power supply forecasts are usually indirect through a bottom-up approach of plant-level forecasts, incorporate…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-24 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources (RESs) into modern power systems presents significant opportunities but also notable challenges, primarily due to the inherent variability of RES generation. Accurate forecasting of RES…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-19 Farshid Kamrani , Kristen Schell

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Large penetration of renewable energy sources (RESs) brings huge uncertainty into the electricity markets. The current deterministic clearing approach in the day-ahead (DA) market, where RESs participate based on expected production, has…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-07 Yufan Zhang , Honglin Wen , Yuexin Bian , Yuanyuan Shi

The integration of renewable energy sources (RES) into power grids presents significant challenges due to their intrinsic stochasticity and uncertainty, necessitating the development of new techniques for reliable and efficient forecasting.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-13 Hanyu Zhang , Reza Zandehshahvar , Mathieu Tanneau , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Renewable energy generation is of utmost importance for global decarbonization. Forecasting renewable energies, particularly wind energy, is challenging due to the inherent uncertainty in wind energy generation, which depends on weather…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Lucas English , Mahdi Abolghasemi

Wind power and other forms of renewable energy sources play an ever more important role in the energy supply of today's power grids. Forecasting renewable energy sources has therefore become essential in balancing the power grid. While a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-18 Nina Effenberger , Nicole Ludwig

Wind energy is becoming an increasingly crucial component of a sustainable grid, but its inherent variability and limited predictability present challenges for grid operators. The energy sector needs novel forecasting techniques that can…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-12-05 Zheng Dong , Hanyu Zhang , Shixiang Zhu , Yao Xie , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Wind energy has been increasingly adopted to mitigate climate change. However, the variability of wind energy causes wind curtailment, resulting in considerable economic losses for wind farm owners. Wind curtailment can be reduced using…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-08-29 Jinhao Li , Changlong Wang , Hao Wang

Probabilistic forecasting in combination with stochastic programming is a key tool for handling the growing uncertainties in future energy systems. Derived from a general stochastic programming formulation for the optimal scheduling and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-03-25 Mario Beykirch , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke

Renewable energy sources provide a constantly increasing contribution to the total energy production worldwide. However, the power generation from these sources is highly variable due to their dependence on meteorological conditions.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Anders Løland , Alex Lenkoski

Wind power is playing an increasingly important role in electricity markets. However, it's inherent variability and uncertainty cause operational challenges and costs as more operating reserves are needed to maintain system reliability.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-03-01 Yishen Wang , Zhi Zhou , Cong Liu , Audun Botterud

Energy forecasting has attracted enormous attention over the last few decades, with novel proposals related to the use of heterogeneous data sources, probabilistic forecasting, online learn-ing, etc. A key aspect that emerged is that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-05 Pierre Pinson , Liyang Han , Jalal Kazempour

Electricity generated from renewable energy sources has been established as an efficient remedy for both energy shortages and the environmental pollution stemming from conventional energy production methods. Solar and wind power are two of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-06 Charalampos Symeonidis , Nikos Nikolaidis

Continuous integration of renewable energy sources into power networks is causing a paradigm shift in energy generation and distribution with regards to trading and control; the intermittent nature of renewable sources affects pricing of…

The smart grid vision entails advanced information technology and data analytics to enhance the efficiency, sustainability, and economics of the power grid infrastructure. Aligned to this end, modern statistical learning tools are leveraged…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-17 Vassilis Kekatos , Yu Zhang , Georgios B. Giannakis

In two-stage electricity markets, renewable power producers enter the day-ahead market with a forecast of future power generation and then reconcile any forecast deviation in the real-time market at a penalty. The choice of the forecast…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-15 Vladimir Dvorkin
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