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Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) advance generalization and data efficiency in time series forecasting by unified large-scale pretraining. But TSFMs remain lacking when adapting to specific downstream forecasting tasks for two reasons.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-04 Siyang Li , Yize Chen , Zijie Zhu , Yuxin Pan , Yan Guo , Ming Huang , Hui Xiong

Multi-dimensional time series data, such as matrix and tensor-variate time series, are increasingly prevalent in fields such as economics, finance, and climate science. Traditional Transformer models, though adept with sequential data, do…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-29 Linghang Kong , Elynn Chen , Yuzhou Chen , Yuefeng Han

In this paper, we propose ShapTST, a framework that enables time-series transformers to efficiently generate Shapley-value-based explanations alongside predictions in a single forward pass. Shapley values are widely used to evaluate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Qisen Cheng , Jinming Xing , Chang Xue , Xiaoran Yang

Hyperparameter optimization (HPO) is crucial for fine-tuning machine learning models but can be computationally expensive. To reduce costs, Multi-fidelity HPO (MF-HPO) leverages intermediate accuracy levels in the learning process and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-27 Romain Egele , Isabelle Guyon , Yixuan Sun , Prasanna Balaprakash

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting involves modeling temporal dependencies within historical records. Transformers have demonstrated remarkable performance in MTS forecasting due to their capability to capture long-term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-17 Yifan Zhang , Rui Wu , Sergiu M. Dascalu , Frederick C. Harris

Time series forecasting remains a critical challenge across various domains, often complicated by high-dimensional data and long-term dependencies. This paper presents a novel transformer architecture for time series forecasting,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-12 Yanlong Wang , Jian Xu , Fei Ma , Shao-Lun Huang , Danny Dongning Sun , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Multivariate time series (MTS) prediction plays a key role in many fields such as finance, energy and transport, where each individual time series corresponds to the data collected from a certain data source, so-called channel. A typical…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-08-24 Hui Song , A. K. Qin , Flora D. Salim

Device sizing is crucial for meeting performance specifications in operational transconductance amplifiers (OTAs), and this work proposes an automated sizing framework based on a transformer model. The approach first leverages the…

硬件体系结构 · 计算机科学 2025-02-07 Subhadip Ghosh , Endalk Y. Gebru , Chandramouli V. Kashyap , Ramesh Harjani , Sachin S. Sapatnekar

Existing dynamics prediction frameworks for transient stability analysis (TSA) fail to achieve multi-scenario "universality": the inherent ability of a single, pre-trained architecture to generalize across diverse operating conditions,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-22 Chao Shen , Ke Zuo , Mingyang Sun

Spatio-Temporal Multivariate time series Forecast (STMF) uses the time series of $n$ spatially distributed variables in a period of recent past to forecast their values in a period of near future. It has important applications in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-29 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Yupu Zhang , Zhengkun Xiao , Haibo Wang , Shigang Chen

The electricity sector is undergoing substantial transformations due to the rising electrification of demand, enhanced integration of renewable energy resources, and the emergence of new technologies. These changes are rendering the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Ali Menati , Fatemeh Doudi , Dileep Kalathil , Le Xie

Transformers have shown great power in time series forecasting due to their global-range modeling ability. However, their performance can degenerate terribly on non-stationary real-world data in which the joint distribution changes over…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Yong Liu , Haixu Wu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

One of the fundamental problems of using optimization models that use different time series as data input, is the trade-off between model accuracy and computational tractability. To overcome the computational intractability of these full…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-06-08 Sonja Wogrin

Pipeline parallelism enables training models that exceed single-device memory, but practical throughput remains limited by pipeline bubbles. Although parameter freezing can improve training throughput by adaptively skipping backward…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Seonghye Cho , Jaemin Han , Hyunjin Kim , Euisoo Jung , Jae-Gil Lee

Time series forecasting at scale presents significant challenges for modern prediction systems, particularly when dealing with large sets of synchronized series, such as in a global payment network. In such systems, three key challenges…

Recent advances in machine learning, specifically transformer architecture, have led to significant advancements in commercial domains. These powerful models have demonstrated superior capability to learn complex relationships and often…

This paper shows that time series forecasting Transformer (TSFT) suffers from severe over-fitting problem caused by improper initialization method of unknown decoder inputs, esp. when handling non-stationary time series. Based on this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-18 Li Shen , Yuning Wei , Yangzhu Wang

Diffusion models, initially developed for image synthesis, demonstrate remarkable generative capabilities. Recently, their application has expanded to time series forecasting (TSF), yielding promising results. Existing surveys on time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Chen Su , Zhengzhou Cai , Yuanhe Tian , Zhuochao Chang , Zihong Zheng , Yan Song

Mamba has recently emerged as a promising alternative to Transformers, offering near-linear complexity in processing sequential data. However, while channels in time series (TS) data have no specific order in general, recent studies have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-01 Seunghan Lee , Juri Hong , Kibok Lee , Taeyoung Park

Transformers are widely used deep learning architectures. Existing transformers are mostly designed for sequences (texts or time series), images or videos, and graphs. This paper proposes a novel transformer model for massive (up to a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Wenchong He , Zhe Jiang , Tingsong Xiao , Zelin Xu , Shigang Chen , Ronald Fick , Miles Medina , Christine Angelini