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To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-02-17 Shuozhe Li , Zachery B Schulwol , Risto Miikkulainen

Time series forecasting is important across various domains for decision-making. In particular, financial time series such as stock prices can be hard to predict as it is difficult to model short-term and long-term temporal dependencies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-12 Zhen Zeng , Rachneet Kaur , Suchetha Siddagangappa , Saba Rahimi , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

In this paper, we tackle the challenge of predicting stock movements in financial markets by introducing Higher Order Transformers, a novel architecture designed for processing multivariate time-series data. We extend the self-attention…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Soroush Omranpour , Guillaume Rabusseau , Reihaneh Rabbany

Time series forecasting is crucial for decision-making across various domains, particularly in financial markets where stock prices exhibit complex and non-linear behaviors. Accurately predicting future price movements is challenging due to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-29 Tiantian Tu

Financial prediction is a complex and challenging task of time series analysis and signal processing, expected to model both short-term fluctuations and long-term temporal dependencies. Transformers have remarkable success mostly in natural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Nguyen Kim Hai Bui , Nguyen Duy Chien , Péter Kovács , Gergő Bognár

Literature highlighted that financial time series data pose significant challenges for accurate stock price prediction, because these data are characterized by noise and susceptibility to news; traditional statistical methodologies made…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-09-27 V. Lanzetta

In modern capital market the price of a stock is often considered to be highly volatile and unpredictable because of various social, financial, political and other dynamic factors. With calculated and thoughtful investment, stock market can…

Accurately predicting the prices of financial time series is essential and challenging for the financial sector. Owing to recent advancements in deep learning techniques, deep learning models are gradually replacing traditional statistical…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-29 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

With the rapid development of artificial intelligence, long short term memory (LSTM), one kind of recurrent neural network (RNN), has been widely applied in time series prediction. Like RNN, Transformer is designed to handle the sequential…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-09-21 Paul Bilokon , Yitao Qiu

Stock price prediction is a rich research topic that has attracted interest from various areas of science. The recent success of machine learning in speech and image recognition has prompted researchers to apply these methods to asset price…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-09-22 Firuz Kamalov

Recurrent Neural Networks were, until recently, one of the best ways to capture the timely dependencies in sequences. However, with the introduction of the Transformer, it has been proven that an architecture with only attention-mechanisms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-19 Radostin Cholakov , Todor Kolev

The Transformer is a highly successful deep learning model that has revolutionised the world of artificial neural networks, first in natural language processing and later in computer vision. This model is based on the attention mechanism…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-09 Riccardo Ughi , Eugenio Lomurno , Matteo Matteucci

Stock trend analysis has been an influential time-series prediction topic due to its lucrative and inherently chaotic nature. Many models looking to accurately predict the trend of stocks have been based on Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs).…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-25 Harsimrat Kaeley , Ye Qiao , Nader Bagherzadeh

Time series forecasting is a crucial challenge with significant applications in areas such as weather prediction, stock market analysis, and scientific simulations. This paper introduces an embedded decomposed transformer, 'EDformer', for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Sanjay Chakraborty , Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Fredrik Heintz

This paper explores the novel deep learning Transformers architectures for high-frequency Bitcoin-USDT log-return forecasting and compares them to the traditional Long Short-Term Memory models. A hybrid Transformer model, called…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-28 Fazl Barez , Paul Bilokon , Arthur Gervais , Nikita Lisitsyn

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

In traditional quantitative trading practice, navigating the complicated and dynamic financial market presents a persistent challenge. Fully capturing various market variables, including long-term information, as well as essential signals…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-24 Zhaofeng Zhang , Banghao Chen , Shengxin Zhu , Nicolas Langrené

It is imperative to discern the relationships between multiple time series for accurate forecasting. In particular, for stock prices, components are often divided into groups with the same characteristics, and a model that extracts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Ryo Umagami , Yu Ono , Yusuke Mukuta , Tatsuya Harada

Recent innovations in transformers have shown their superior performance in natural language processing (NLP) and computer vision (CV). The ability to capture long-range dependencies and interactions in sequential data has also triggered a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-24 Chu Myaet Thwal , Ye Lin Tun , Kitae Kim , Seong-Bae Park , Choong Seon Hong

The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang
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