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This project aims to predict short-term and long-term upward trends in the S&P 500 index using machine learning models and feature engineering based on the "101 Formulaic Alphas" methodology. The study employed multiple models, including…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-17 Shasha Yu , Qinchen Zhang , Yuwei Zhao

Stock price prediction has been the focus of a large amount of research but an acceptable solution has so far escaped academics. Recent advances in deep learning have motivated researchers to apply neural networks to stock prediction. In…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-29 Firuz Kamalov , Linda Smail , Ikhlaas Gurrib

The research paper empirically investigates several machine learning algorithms to forecast stock prices depending on insider trading information. Insider trading offers special insights into market sentiment, pointing to upcoming changes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Amitabh Chakravorty , Nelly Elsayed

We summarized both common and novel predictive models used for stock price prediction and combined them with technical indices, fundamental characteristics and text-based sentiment data to predict S&P stock prices. A 66.18% accuracy in S&P…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-30 Shan Zhong , David B. Hitchcock

This project investigates the interplay of technical, market, and statistical factors in predicting stock market performance, with a primary focus on S&P 500 companies. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset spanning multiple years, the analysis…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-18 Jiajun Gu , Zichen Yang , Xintong Lin , Sixun Chen , YuTing Lu

To reject the Efficient Market Hypothesis a set of 5 technical indicators and 23 fundamental indicators was identified to establish the possibility of generating excess returns on the stock market. Leveraging these data points and various…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-17 Jaideep Singh , Matloob Khushi

Predicting the stock market trend has always been challenging since its movement is affected by many factors. Here, we approach the future trend prediction problem as a machine learning classification problem by creating tomorrow_trend…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-31 Taylan Kabbani , Fatih Enes Usta

Financial market prediction is a challenging application of machine learning, where even small improvements in directional accuracy can yield substantial value. Most models struggle to exceed 55--57\% accuracy due to high noise,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-19 Abraham Itzhak Weinberg

We propose a unified multi-tasking framework to represent the complex and uncertain causal process of financial market dynamics, and then to predict the movement of any type of index with an application on the monthly direction of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-04-29 Djoumbissie David Romain

The paper focuses on predicting the Nifty 50 Index by using 8 Supervised Machine Learning Models. The techniques used for empirical study are Adaptive Boost (AdaBoost), k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN), Linear Regression (LR), Artificial Neural…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-02-21 Gurjeet Singh

Stock recommendation is vital to investment companies and investors. However, no single stock selection strategy will always win while analysts may not have enough time to check all S&P 500 stocks (the Standard & Poor's 500). In this paper,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-11-18 Hongyang Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu , Qingwei Wu

We present a systematic trading framework that forecasts short-horizon market risk, identifies its underlying drivers, and generates alpha using a hybrid machine learning ensemble built to trade on the resulting signal. The framework…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-28 Aryan Ranjan

Prediction of stock prices plays a significant role in aiding the decision-making of investors. Considering its importance, a growing literature has emerged trying to forecast stock prices with improved accuracy. In this study, we introduce…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-14 Md Sabbirul Haque , Md Shahedul Amin , Jonayet Miah , Duc Minh Cao , Ashiqul Haque Ahmed

The internet has changed the way we live, work and take decisions. As it is the major modern resource for research, detailed data on internet usage exhibits vast amounts of behavioral information. This paper aims to answer the question…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-06-02 Christopher Bockel-Rickermann

An appropriate calibration and forecasting of volatility and market risk are some of the main challenges faced by companies that have to manage the uncertainty inherent to their investments or funding operations such as banks, pension funds…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-08-19 E. Ramos-Pérez , P. J. Alonso-González , J. J. Núñez-Velázquez

In this essay, we have comprehensively evaluated the feasibility and suitability of adopting the Machine Learning Models on the forecast of corporation fundamentals (i.e. the earnings), where the prediction results of our method have been…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-29 Xinyue Cui , Zhaoyu Xu , Yue Zhou

The unpredictability and volatility of the stock market render it challenging to make a substantial profit using any generalised scheme. Many previous studies tried different techniques to build a machine learning model, which can make a…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-08-14 A. K. M. Amanat Ullah , Fahim Imtiaz , Miftah Uddin Md Ihsan , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam , Mahbub Majumdar

Employee's knowledge is an organization asset. Turnover may impose apparent and hidden costs and irreparable damages. To overcome and mitigate this risk, employee's condition should be monitored. Due to high complexity of analyzing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-07 Mahyar Karimi , Kamyar Seyedkazem Viliyani

This study presents a three-step machine learning framework to predict bubbles in the S&P 500 stock market by combining financial news sentiment with macroeconomic indicators. Building on traditional econometric approaches, the proposed…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-21 Abraham Atsiwo

This article aims to propose and apply a machine learning method to analyze the direction of returns from Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) using the historical return data of its components, helping to make investment strategy decisions through…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-06-14 Raphael P. B. Piovezan , Pedro Paulo de Andrade Junior
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