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相关论文: Estimating the treatment effect over time under ge…

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The choice of making an intervention depends on its potential benefit or harm in comparison to alternatives. Estimating the likely outcome of alternatives from observational data is a challenging problem as all outcomes are never observed,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-18 Yao Zhang , Alexis Bellot , Mihaela van der Schaar

Given a dataset of individuals each described by a covariate vector, a treatment, and an observed outcome on the treatment, the goal of the individual treatment effect (ITE) estimation task is to predict outcome changes resulting from a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-07 Lokesh Nagalapatti , Pranava Singhal , Avishek Ghosh , Sunita Sarawagi

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have become powerful tools for modeling complex data structures through sequentially integrating simple functions in each hidden layer. In survival analysis, recent advances of DNNs primarily focus on enhancing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-26 Changhui Yuan , Shishun Zhao , Shuwei Li , Xinyuan Song , Zhao Chen

In this paper, we present a novel hybrid deep learning model, named ConvLSTMTransNet, designed for time series prediction, with a specific application to internet traffic telemetry. This model integrates the strengths of Convolutional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-23 Sajal Saha , Saikat Das , Glaucio H. S. Carvalho

Online user-generated content platforms allocate billions of dollars of promotional traffic through algorithms in two-sided marketplaces. To evaluate updates to these algorithms, platforms frequently rely on creator-side randomized…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-10 Ruohan Zhan , Shichao Han , Yuchen Hu , Zhenling Jiang

In certain privacy-sensitive scenarios within fields such as clinical trial simulations, federated learning, and distributed learning, researchers often face the challenge of estimating correlations between variables without access to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Longwen Shang , Min Tsao , Xuekui Zhang

In streaming platforms churn is extremely costly, yet A/B tests are typically evaluated using outcomes observed within a limited experimental horizon. Even when both short- and predicted long-term engagement metrics are considered, they may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Dario Simionato , Andrea Tonon , Mingxue Wang , Weiguo Wang , Tong Gui , Xiaoyue Li

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) over time is crucial in many disciplines such as personalized medicine. For example, electronic health records are commonly collected over several time periods and then used to personalize…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-07 Dennis Frauen , Konstantin Hess , Stefan Feuerriegel

Conventional radiotherapy dose calculation algorithms are often computationally slow and non-differentiable, creating bottlenecks for online adaptive radiotherapy (ART) and limiting end-to-end automatic planning. Deep learning provides…

Analyzing data from multiple sources offers valuable opportunities to improve the estimation efficiency of causal estimands. However, this analysis also poses many challenges due to population heterogeneity and data privacy constraints.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-23 Rong Zhao , Jason Falvey , Xu Shi , Vernon M. Chinchilli , Chixiang Chen

We address the practical construction of asymptotic confidence intervals for smooth (i.e., path-wise differentiable), real-valued statistical parameters by targeted learning from independent and identically distributed data in contexts…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-01 Patrice Bertail , Antoine Chambaz , Emilien Joly

Difference-in-differences is based on a parallel trends assumption, which states that changes over time in average potential outcomes are independent of treatment assignment, possibly conditional on covariates. With time-varying treatments,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-25 Nicholas Illenberger , Iván Díaz , Audrey Renson

Across research disciplines, cluster randomized trials (CRTs) are commonly implemented to evaluate interventions delivered to groups of participants, such as communities and clinics. Despite advances in the design and analysis of CRTs,…

In observational studies, confounding variables affect both treatment and outcome. Moreover, instrumental variables also influence the treatment assignment mechanism. This situation sets the study apart from a standard randomized controlled…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Atomsa Gemechu Abdisa , Yingchun Zhou , Yuqi Qiu

Causal inference on populations embedded in social networks poses technical challenges, since the typical no interference assumption frequently does not hold. Existing methods developed in the context of network interference rely upon the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-12 Vanessa McNealis , Erica E. M. Moodie , Nema Dean

We study causal effect estimation under interference from network data. We work under the chain-graph formulation pioneered in Tchetgen Tchetgen et. al (2021). Our first result shows that polynomial time evaluation of treatment effects is…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-10 Sohom Bhattacharya , Subhabrata Sen

Estimating the mean counterfactual outcome under a treatment rule is a central problem in causal inference and policy evaluation. Standard estimators, including inverse probability weighting (IPW), augmented IPW (AIPW), and targeted maximum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Yichen Xu , Mark J. van der Laan

Electronic health records (EHR) data provide a cost and time-effective opportunity to conduct cohort studies of the effects of multiple time-point interventions in the diverse patient population found in real-world clinical settings.…

We develop new algorithms for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, combining recent developments in transfer learning for neural networks with insights from the causal inference literature. By taking advantage of transfer learning,…

Linear Mixed Effects (LME) models have been widely applied in clustered data analysis in many areas including marketing research, clinical trials, and biomedical studies. Inference can be conducted using maximum likelihood approach if…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-10 Hao Chen , Lanshan Han , Alvin Lim