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A common method for assessing validity of Bayesian sampling or approximate inference methods makes use of simulated data replicates for parameters drawn from the prior. Under continuity assumptions, quantiles of functions of the simulated…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-21 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Nadja Klein

We propose a new nonparametric modeling framework for causal inference when outcomes depend on how agents are linked in a social or economic network. Such network interference describes a large literature on treatment spillovers, social…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-25 Eric Auerbach , Hongchang Guo , Max Tabord-Meehan

Network experiments are powerful tools for studying spillover effects, which avoid endogeneity by randomly assigning treatments to units over networks. However, it is non-trivial to analyze network experiments properly without imposing…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-09 Mengsi Gao , Peng Ding

Estimates of individual treatment effects from networked observational data are attracting increasing attention these days. One major challenge in network scenarios is the violation of the stable unit treatment value assumption (SUTVA),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-26 Ziyu Zhao , Yuqi Bai , Kun Kuang , Ruoxuan Xiong , Fei Wu

The network interference model for causal inference places all experimental units at the vertices of an undirected exposure graph, such that treatment assigned to one unit may affect the outcome of another unit if and only if these two…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-18 Shuangning Li , Stefan Wager

We study causal effect estimation from observational data under interference. The interference pattern is captured by an observed network. We adopt the chain graph framework of Tchetgen Tchetgen et. al. (2021), which allows (i) interaction…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-30 Sohom Bhattacharya , Subhabrata Sen

The stable unit treatment value (SUTVA) is a crucial assumption in the Difference-in-Differences (DiD) research design. It rules out hidden versions of treatment and any sort of interference and spillover effects across units. Even if this…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-18 Fabrizia Mealli , Javier Viviens

Under interference, the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. Such interference patterns between units are typically represented by a network. Correctly specifying this network requires identifying which units can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-23 Bar Weinstein , Daniel Nevo

In contrast to problems of interference in (exogenous) treatments, models of interference in unit-specific (endogenous) outcomes do not usually produce a reduced-form representation where outcomes depend on other units' treatment status…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-17 Konrad Menzel

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

Semiparametric efficient estimation of various multi-valued causal effects, including quantile treatment effects, is important in economic, biomedical, and other social sciences. Under the unconfoundedness condition, adjustment for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-20 Xiaohong Chen , Ying Liu , Shujie Ma , Zheng Zhang

We consider statistical inference for network-linked regression problems, where covariates may include network summary statistics computed for each node. In settings involving network data, it is often natural to posit that latent variables…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Wei Li , Nilanjan Chakraborty , Robert Lunde

We consider a causal inference model in which individuals interact in a social network and they may not comply with the assigned treatments. In particular, we suppose that the form of network interference is unknown to researchers. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-24 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi

In the domain of causal inference research, the prevalent potential outcomes framework, notably the Rubin Causal Model (RCM), often overlooks individual interference and assumes independent treatment effects. This assumption, however, is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-21 Hongtao Zhu , Sizhe Zhang , Yang Su , Zhenyu Zhao , Nan Chen

User-facing software services are becoming increasingly reliant on remote servers to host Deep Neural Network (DNN) models, which perform inference tasks for the clients. Such services require the client to send input data to the service…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-04-07 Sanjay Kariyappa , Ousmane Dia , Moinuddin K Qureshi

Network regression models, where the outcome comprises the valued edge in a network and the predictors are actor or dyad-level covariates, are used extensively in the social and biological sciences. Valid inference relies on accurately…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-09 Mengjie Pan , Tyler H. McCormick , Bailey K. Fosdick

Network-linked data, where multivariate observations are interconnected by a network, are becoming increasingly prevalent in fields such as sociology and biology. These data often exhibit inherent noise and complex relational structures,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-11 Jianxiang Wang , Can M. Le , Tianxi Li

Recently, causal inference under interference has gained increasing attention in the literature. In this paper, we focus on randomized designs for estimating the total treatment effect (TTE), defined as the average difference in potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-29 Changhao Shi , Haoyu Yang , Yichen Qin , Yang Li

This paper considers the problem of design-based inference for the average treatment effect in finely stratified experiments. Here, by "design-based'' we mean that the only source of uncertainty stems from the randomness in treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-08 Yuehao Bai , Xun Huang , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh , Max Tabord-Meehan

We give an approach for characterizing interference by lower bounding the number of units whose outcome depends on selected groups of treated individuals, such as depending on the treatment of others, or others who are at least a certain…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-04 David Choi