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相关论文: Generative Intervention Models for Causal Perturba…

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In recent years, there has been a growing interest in using machine learning techniques for the estimation of treatment effects. Most of the best-performing methods rely on representation learning strategies that encourage shared behavior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-19 Roger Pros , Jordi Vitrià

Graphical Transformation Models (GTMs) are introduced as a novel approach to effectively model multivariate data with intricate marginals and complex dependency structures semiparametrically, while maintaining interpretability through the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Matthias Herp , Johannes Brachem , Michael Altenbuchinger , Thomas Kneib

Unobserved confounding is one of the main challenges when estimating causal effects. We propose a causal reduction method that, given a causal model, replaces an arbitrary number of possibly high-dimensional latent confounders with a single…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Maximilian Ilse , Patrick Forré , Max Welling , Joris M. Mooij

Causal effect estimation in networked systems is central to data-driven decision making. In such settings, interventions on one unit can spill over to others, and in complex physical or social systems, the interaction pathways driving these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

We demonstrate that the algorithmic information content of a system is deeply connected to its potential dynamics, thus affording an avenue for moving systems in the information-theoretic space and controlling them in the phase space. To…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2018-04-06 Hector Zenil , Narsis A. Kiani , Francesco Marabita , Yue Deng , Szabolcs Elias , Angelika Schmidt , Gordon Ball , Jesper Tegnér

The instrumental variable (IV) approach is a widely used way to estimate the causal effects of a treatment on an outcome of interest from observational data with latent confounders. A standard IV is expected to be related to the treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-30 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le

Modern data analysis increasingly requires flexible conditional inference P(X_B | X_A) where (X_A, X_B) is an arbitrary partition of observed variable X. Existing approaches are either restricted to a fixed conditioning structure or depend…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-11 Qiao Liu , Wing Hung Wong

Method validation and study design in causal inference rely on synthetic data with known counterfactuals. Existing simulators trade off distributional realism, the ability to capture mixed-type and multimodal tabular data, against causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Qi Zhang , Harsh Parikh , Ashley Naimi , Razieh Nabi , Christopher Kim , Timothy Lash

Interference bias is a major impediment to identifying causal effects in real-world settings. For example, vaccination reduces the transmission of a virus in a population such that everyone benefits -- even those who are not treated. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-25 Michael O'Riordan , Ciarán M. Gilligan-Lee

Existing approaches for analyzing neural network activations, such as PCA and sparse autoencoders, rely on strong structural assumptions. Generative models offer an alternative: they can uncover structure without such assumptions and act as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Grace Luo , Jiahai Feng , Trevor Darrell , Alec Radford , Jacob Steinhardt

Graphical causal models led to the development of complete non-parametric identification theory in arbitrary structured systems, and general approaches to efficient inference. Nevertheless, graphical approaches to causal inference have not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-02 AmirEmad Ghassami , Ilya Shpitser

We discuss the Gaussian graphical model (GGM; an undirected network of partial correlation coefficients) and detail its utility as an exploratory data analysis tool. The GGM shows which variables predict one-another, allows for sparse…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-09 Sacha Epskamp , Lourens J. Waldorp , René Mõttus , Denny Borsboom

Model-based reinforcement learning algorithms make decisions by building and utilizing a model of the environment. However, none of the existing algorithms attempts to infer the dynamics of any state-action pair from known state-action…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-25 Yanchao Sun , Furong Huang

We present Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNNs) to learn functional causal models from observational data. CGNNs leverage conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries to discover bivariate and multivariate causal…

We consider a binary response which is potentially affected by a set of continuous variables. Of special interest is the causal effect on the response due to an intervention on a specific variable. The latter can be meaningfully determined…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-11 Federico Castelletti , Guido Consonni

We consider problems in which a system receives external \emph{perturbations} from time to time. For instance, the system can be a train network in which particular lines are repeatedly disrupted without warning, having an effect on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-21 Nicolo Colombo , Ricardo Silva , Soong M Kang , Arthur Gretton

This paper presents Gem, a model-agnostic approach for providing interpretable explanations for any GNNs on various graph learning tasks. Specifically, we formulate the problem of providing explanations for the decisions of GNNs as a causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Wanyu Lin , Hao Lan , Baochun Li

Identifying causal parameters from observational data is fraught with subtleties due to the issues of selection bias and confounding. In addition, more complex questions of interest, such as effects of treatment on the treated and mediated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-17 Ilya Shpitser , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Causal disentanglement aims to uncover a representation of data using latent variables that are interrelated through a causal model. Such a representation is identifiable if the latent model that explains the data is unique. In this paper,…

Network interference occurs when treatments assigned to some units affect the outcomes of others. Traditional approaches often assume that the observed network correctly specifies the interference structure. However, in practice,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Bar Weinstein , Daniel Nevo