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We present a simple and robust strategy for the selection of sampling points in Uncertainty Quantification. The goal is to achieve the fastest possible convergence in the cumulative distribution function of a stochastic output of interest.…

计算物理 · 物理学 2017-05-08 Enrico Camporeale , Ashutosh Agnihotri , Casper Rutjes

In the context of Monte Carlo (MC) simulation of particle transport Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) addresses the issue of predicting non statistical errors affecting the physical results, i.e. errors deriving mainly from uncertainties in…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-06-18 Paolo Saracco , Maria Grazia Pia

Numerical models of complex real-world phenomena often necessitate High Performance Computing (HPC). Uncertainties increase problem dimensionality further and pose even greater challenges. We present a parallelization strategy for…

数学软件 · 计算机科学 2021-08-02 Linus Seelinger , Anne Reinarz , Leonhard Rannabauer , Michael Bader , Peter Bastian , Robert Scheichl

The weighted essentially non-oscillatory (WENO) schemes are a popular class of high order accurate numerical methods for solving hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs). The computational cost of such schemes increases…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-04-04 Dong Lu , Shanqin Chen , Yong-Tao Zhang

Turbulent flows are of central importance across applications in science and engineering problems. For design and analysis, scientists and engineers use Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations using turbulence models. Turbulent…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-10-18 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

Deep learning models are extensively used in various safety critical applications. Hence these models along with being accurate need to be highly reliable. One way of achieving this is by quantifying uncertainty. Bayesian methods for UQ…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-07-06 Swaroop Bhandary K , Nico Hochgeschwender , Paul Plöger , Frank Kirchner , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

Deep learning is gaining increasing popularity for spatiotemporal forecasting. However, prior works have mostly focused on point estimates without quantifying the uncertainty of the predictions. In high stakes domains, being able to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-06-15 Dongxia Wu , Liyao Gao , Xinyue Xiong , Matteo Chinazzi , Alessandro Vespignani , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is crucial in safety-critical applications such as medical image segmentation. Total uncertainty is typically decomposed into data-related aleatoric uncertainty (AU) and model-related epistemic uncertainty…

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for safe deployment of generative AI models such as large language models (LLMs), especially in high stakes applications. Conformal prediction (CP) offers a principled uncertainty quantification…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-09 Sima Noorani , Shayan Kiyani , George Pappas , Hamed Hassani

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is vital for trustworthy deep learning, yet existing methods are either computationally intensive, such as Bayesian or ensemble methods, or provide only partial, task-specific estimates, such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-18 Zhizhong Zhao , Ke Chen

In this work, we suggest an easy-to-code higher-order finite volume semi-discrete scheme to analyze the nonlinear behavior of the electron-plasma oscillations by solving electron fluid equations numerically. The present method employs a…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2018-02-13 Prabal Singh Verma

With the increased use of data-driven approaches and machine learning-based methods in material science, the importance of reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) of the predicted variables for informed decision-making cannot be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-15 Longze Li , Jiang Chang , Aleksandar Vakanski , Yachun Wang , Tiankai Yao , Min Xian

The weighted essentially non-oscillatory {technique} using a stencil of $2r$ points (WENO-$2r$) is an interpolatory method that consists in obtaining a higher approximation order from the non-linear combination of interpolants of $r+1$…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-04-26 Pep Mulet , Juan Ruiz-Alvarez , Chi-Wang Shu , Dionisio F. Yáñez

Deterministic uncertainty quantification (UQ) in deep learning aims to estimate uncertainty with a single pass through a network by leveraging outputs from the network's feature extractor. Existing methods require that the feature extractor…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-10 Felix Jimenez , Matthias Katzfuss

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in scientific machine learning (SciML) becomes increasingly critical as neural networks (NNs) are being widely adopted in addressing complex problems across various scientific disciplines. Representative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Zongren Zou , Xuhui Meng , George Em Karniadakis

Machine learning methods are increasingly widely used in high-risk settings such as healthcare, transportation, and finance. In these settings, it is important that a model produces calibrated uncertainty to reflect its own confidence and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-09-09 Sophia Sun

The approximation of data is a fundamental challenge encountered in various fields, including computer-aided geometric design, the numerical solution of partial differential equations, or the design of curves and surfaces. Numerous methods…

Deep learning-based numerical schemes for solving high-dimensional backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) have recently raised plenty of scientific interest. While they enable numerical methods to approximate very…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-10-06 Lorenc Kapllani , Long Teng , Matthias Rottmann

Climate models are generally calibrated manually by comparing selected climate statistics, such as the global top-of-atmosphere energy balance, to observations. The manual tuning only targets a limited subset of observational data and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-04-06 Michael F. Howland , Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Tapio Schneider

Robust uncertainty quantification (UQ) remains a critical barrier to the safe deployment of deep learning in real-time virtual sensing, particularly in high-stakes domains where sparse, noisy, or non-collocated sensor data are the norm. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-17 Kazuma Kobayashi , Shailesh Garg , Farid Ahmed , Souvik Chakraborty , Syed Bahauddin Alam