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Undertaking causal inference with observational data is incredibly useful across a wide range of tasks including the development of medical treatments, advertisements and marketing, and policy making. There are two significant challenges…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-19 Matthew James Vowels , Necati Cihan Camgoz , Richard Bowden

The instrumental-variables (IV) setting is standard for partial identification of causal effects when unobserved confounding makes point identification impossible. Existing approaches face methodological bottlenecks: closed-form bound…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Vahid Balazadeh , Hamidreza Kamkari , Medha Barath , Ricardo Silva , Rahul G. Krishnan

It has been argued for many years that models used to analyze data from crossover designs are not appropriate when simple carryover effects are assumed. Furthermore, a statistical model that could estimate complex carry-over effects in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-22 N. A. Cruz , K. Mylona , O. O. Melo

Outcome-dependent sampling designs are extensively utilized in various scientific disciplines, including epidemiology, ecology, and economics, with retrospective case-control studies being specific examples of such designs. Additionally, if…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-22 Min Zeng , Zeyang Jia , Zijian Sui , Jinfeng Xu , Hong Zhang

Surrogate-modelling techniques including Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is commonly used for statistical estimation (aka. Uncertainty Quantification) of quantities of interests obtained from expensive computational models. PCE is a…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2019-09-05 Alexander Tarakanov , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

Recently, conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation has been attracting much attention due to its importance in various fields such as statistics, social and biomedical sciences. This study proposes a partially linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-31 Shunsuke Horii

Controlling false positives (Type I errors) through statistical hypothesis testing is a foundation of modern scientific data analysis. Existing causal structure discovery algorithms either do not provide Type I error control or cannot scale…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-29 James Leiner , Brian Manzo , Aaditya Ramdas , Wesley Tansey

Penalized likelihood and quasi-likelihood methods dominate inference in high-dimensional linear mixed-effects models. Sampling-based Bayesian inference is less explored due to the computational bottlenecks introduced by the random effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-24 Sreya Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Sanvesh Srivastava

Analysts often use data-driven approaches to supplement their substantive knowledge when selecting covariates for causal effect estimation. Multiple variable selection procedures tailored for causal effect estimation have been devised in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-27 Denis Talbot , Claudia Beaudoin

Within the field of causal inference, we consider the problem of estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from data. We propose and validate a novel approach for learning feature representations to aid the estimation of the conditional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-23 Michael C. Burkhart , Gabriel Ruiz

Data entry systems remain structurally vulnerable to categorical misclassifications, particularly in small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs). When nominal categories exhibit semantic or morphological proximity, human machine interaction…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Ricardo Raúl Palma , Mauro Anibal Benetti , Fabricio Orlando Sanchez Varretti

Knowing the effect of an intervention is critical for human decision-making, but current approaches for causal effect estimation rely on manual data collection and structuring, regardless of the causal assumptions. This increases both the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-29 Nikita Dhawan , Leonardo Cotta , Karen Ullrich , Rahul G. Krishnan , Chris J. Maddison

Learning individual-level causal effects from observational data, such as inferring the most effective medication for a specific patient, is a problem of growing importance for policy makers. The most important aspect of inferring causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Christos Louizos , Uri Shalit , Joris Mooij , David Sontag , Richard Zemel , Max Welling

Active learning selects the most informative samples to exploit limited annotation budgets. Existing work follows a cumbersome pipeline that repeats the time-consuming model training and batch data selection multiple times. In this paper,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-03-22 Yichen Xie , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Wei Zhan

Learning-based signal processing systems increasingly support high-stakes medical decisions using heterogeneous biomedical signals, including medical images, physiological time series, and clinical records. Despite strong predictive…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-02 Surajit Das , Maxine Tan

There are many measures to report so-called treatment or causal effects: absolute difference, ratio, odds ratio, number needed to treat, and so on. The choice of a measure, e.g. absolute versus relative, is often debated because it leads to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Bénédicte Colnet , Julie Josse , Gaël Varoquaux , Erwan Scornet

In modern machine learning, the trend of harnessing self-supervised learning to derive high-quality representations without label dependency has garnered significant attention. However, the absence of label information, coupled with the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Yan Cui , Shuhong Liu , Liuzhuozheng Li , Zhiyuan Yuan

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often suffer from limited inferential efficiency in estimating treatment effects due to their small sample sizes. In recent years, incorporating external controls (ECs) has gained increasing attention as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Qinwei Yang , Jingyi Li , Peng Wu , Shu Yang

The increasing reliance on human preference feedback to judge AI-generated pseudo labels has created a pressing need for principled, budget-conscious data acquisition strategies. We address the crucial question of how to optimally allocate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-13 Zihan Dong , Xiaotian Hou , Ruijia Wu , Linjun Zhang

Causal inference, estimating causal effects from observational data, is a fundamental tool in many disciplines. Of particular importance across a variety of domains is the continuous treatment setting, where the variable of intervention has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Christopher Stith , Medha Barath , Vahid Balazadeh , Jesse C. Cresswell , Rahul G. Krishnan
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