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What role should assumptions play in inference? We present a small theoretical case study of a simple, clean case, namely the nonparametric comparison of two continuous distributions using (essentially) information about quartiles, that is,…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Dylan S. Small , Joseph L. Gastwirth , Abba M. Krieger , Paul R. Rosenbaum

The paper studies numerical methods that preserve a Lyapunov function of a dynamical system, i.e. numerical approximations whose energy decreases, just like in the original differential equation. With this aim, a discrete gradient method is…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-04-26 Yadira Hernández-Solano , Miguel Atencia

We present a model-free data-driven inference method that enables inferences on system outcomes to be derived directly from empirical data without the need for intervening modeling of any type, be it modeling of a material law or modeling…

泛函分析 · 数学 2021-06-08 Sergio Conti , Franca Hoffmann , Michael Ortiz

We propose a technique for reformulation of state and parameter estimation problems as that of matching explicitly computable definite integrals with known kernels to data. The technique applies for a class of systems of nonlinear ordinary…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-09-11 I. Yu. Tyukin , A. N. Gorban

The paper introduces a new estimation method for the standard linear regression model. The procedure is not driven by the optimisation of any objective function rather, it is a simple weighted average of slopes from observation pairs. The…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-27 Felix Chan , Laszlo Matyas

This paper proposes approaches for the analysis of multiple changepoint models when dependency in the data is modelled through a hierarchical Gaussian Markov random field. Integrated nested Laplace approximations are used to approximate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-17 Jason Wyse , Nial Friel , Håvard Rue

Despite the risk of misspecification they are tied to, parametric models continue to be used in statistical practice because they are accessible to all. In particular, efficient estimation procedures in parametric models are simple to…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-01 Marco Carone , Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

This paper presents a simple yet efficient method for statistical inference of tensor linear forms using incomplete and noisy observations. Under the Tucker low-rank tensor model and the missing-at-random assumption, we utilize an…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-04 Wanteng Ma , Dong Xia

The semivarying coefficient models are widely used in the application of finance, economics, medical science and many other areas. The functional coefficients are commonly estimated by local smoothing methods, e.g. local linear estimator.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-01 Heng Peng , Chuanlong Xie , Jingxin Zhao

For many stochastic models of interest in systems biology, such as those describing biochemical reaction networks, exact quantification of parameter uncertainty through statistical inference is intractable. Likelihood-free computational…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2021-05-10 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Identifying dependency in multivariate data is a common inference task that arises in numerous applications. However, existing nonparametric independence tests typically require computation that scales at least quadratically with the sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-08 Shai Gorsky , Li Ma

The numerical computation of the exponentiation of a real matrix has been intensively studied. The main objective of a good numerical method is to deal with round-off errors and computational cost. The situation is more complicated when…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2009-08-28 Alexandre Goldsztejn

Differential privacy is a strong mathematical notion of privacy. Still, a prominent challenge when using differential privacy in real data collection is understanding and counteracting the accuracy loss that differential privacy imposes. As…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-08-24 Boel Nelson

As artificial intelligence and machine learning tools become more accessible, and scientists face new obstacles to data collection (e.g., rising costs, declining survey response rates), researchers increasingly use predictions from…

This paper presents a simulation free framework for solving reliability analysis problems. The method proposed is rooted in a recently developed deep learning approach, referred to as the physics-informed neural network. The primary idea is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Souvik Chakraborty

Big data analytics has opened new avenues in economic research, but the challenge of analyzing datasets with tens of millions of observations is substantial. Conventional econometric methods based on extreme estimators require large amounts…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-02 Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

Simulation-based inference enables learning the parameters of a model even when its likelihood cannot be computed in practice. One class of methods uses data simulated with different parameters to infer models of the likelihood-to-evidence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-08 Giulio Isacchini , Natanael Spisak , Armita Nourmohammad , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak

Missing values are prevalent across various fields, posing challenges for training and deploying predictive models. In this context, imputation is a common practice, driven by the hope that accurate imputations will enhance predictions.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-21 Marine Le Morvan , Gaël Varoquaux

Inferring the input parameters of simulators from observations is a crucial challenge with applications from epidemiology to molecular dynamics. Here we show a simple approach in the regime of sparse data and approximately correct models,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-06 Rainier Barrett , Mehrad Ansari , Gourab Ghoshal , Andrew D White

Uncertainty quantification for estimation through stochastic optimization solutions in an online setting has gained popularity recently. This paper introduces a novel inference method focused on constructing confidence intervals with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Wanrong Zhu , Zhipeng Lou , Ziyang Wei , Wei Biao Wu