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Estimating dynamic treatment effects is a crucial endeavor in causal inference, particularly when confronted with high-dimensional confounders. Doubly robust (DR) approaches have emerged as promising tools for estimating treatment effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-17 Jelena Bradic , Weijie Ji , Yuqian Zhang

Hybrid controlled trials (HCTs), which augment randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with external controls (ECs), are increasingly receiving attention as a way to address limited power, slow accrual, and ethical concerns in clinical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-02 Jiajun Liu , Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Xiaofei Wang

Consider a scenario where we have access to train data with both covariates and outcomes while test data only contains covariates. In this scenario, our primary aim is to predict the missing outcomes of the test data. With this objective in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Masahiro Kato , Kota Matsui , Ryo Inokuchi

This paper constructs a doubly robust estimator for continuous dose-response estimation. An outcome regression model is augmented with a set of inverse generalized propensity score covariates to correct for potential misspecification bias.…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-17 Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy , David A. Stephens

When estimating the treatment effect in an observational study, we use a semiparametric locally efficient dimension reduction approach to assess both the treatment assignment mechanism and the average responses in both treated and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-26 Trinetri Ghosh , Yanyuan Ma , Xavier de Luna

Stabilized dynamic treatment regimes are sequential decision rules for individual patients that not only adaptive throughout the disease progression but also remain consistent over time in format. The estimation of stabilized dynamic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Ying-Qi Zhao , Ruoqing Zhu , Guanhua Chen , Yingye Zheng

This paper develops a new approach to post-selection inference for screening high-dimensional predictors of survival outcomes. Post-selection inference for right-censored outcome data has been investigated in the literature, but much…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-22 Tzu-Jung Huang , Alex Luedtke , Ian W. McKeague

We study safe, data-driven control of (Markov) jump linear systems with unknown transition probabilities, where both the discrete mode and the continuous state are to be inferred from output measurements. To this end, we develop a receding…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-07 Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

External controls from historical trials or observational data can augment randomized controlled trials when large-scale randomization is impractical or unethical, such as in drug evaluation for rare diseases. However, non-randomized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-08 Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Xiaofei Wang

This paper presents a conformal prediction procedure to generate two-sided or one-sided prediction intervals for survival times in the presence of right censoring. Specifically, the method provides two-sided predictive bounds for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-23 Chris Holmes , Ariane Marandon

In the presence of competing events, many investigators are interested in a direct treatment effect on the event of interest that does not capture treatment effects on competing events. Classical survival analysis methods that treat…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Takuya Kawahara , Sean McGrath , Jessica G Young

When drawing causal inferences about the effects of multiple treatments on clustered survival outcomes using observational data, we need to address implications of the multilevel data structure, multiple treatments, censoring and unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-18 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Ronald D. Ennis , Joseph W. Hogan

Typically, case-control studies to estimate odds-ratios associating risk factors with disease incidence from logistic regression only include cases with newly diagnosed disease. Recently proposed methods allow incorporating information on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-19 Soutrik Mandal , Jing Qin , Ruth M. Pfeiffer

Estimating the effect of treatments from natural experiments, where treatments are pre-assigned, is an important and well-studied problem. We introduce a novel natural experiment dataset obtained from an early childhood literacy nonprofit.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-10 R. Teal Witter , Christopher Musco

The restricted mean survival time (RMST) difference offers an interpretable causal contrast to estimate the treatment effect for time-to-event outcomes, yet a wide range of available estimators leaves limited guidance for practice. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-02 Charlotte Voinot , Clément Berenfeld , Imke Mayer , Bernard Sebastien , Julie Josse

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often include subgroup analyses to assess whether treatment effects vary across pre-specified patient populations. However, these analyses frequently suffer from small sample sizes which limit the power…

We recently developed a new method riAFT-BART to draw causal inferences about population treatment effect on patient survival from clustered and censored survival data while accounting for the multilevel data structure. The practical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-14 Liangyuan Hu

Dropout is common in clinical studies, with up to half of patients leaving early due to side effects or other reasons. When dropout is informative (i.e., dependent on survival time), it introduces censoring bias, because of which treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Yuxin Wang , Dennis Frauen , Jonas Schweisthal , Maresa Schröder , Stefan Feuerriegel

In observational studies, adjusting for confounders is required if a treatment comparison is planned. A crude comparison of the primary endpoint without covariate adjustment will suffer from biases, and the addition of regression models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-11 Shiyu Shu , Toshimitsu Hamasaki , Scott Evans , Lauren Komarow , David van Duin , Guoqing Diao

Survival regression aims to predict the time when an event of interest will take place, typically a death or a failure. A fully parametric method [18] is proposed to estimate the survival function as a mixture of individual parametric…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-25 Qinxin Wang , Jiayuan Huang , Junhui Li , Jiaming Liu