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There has been considerable interest in estimating heterogeneous causal effects across individuals or subpopulations. Researchers often assess causal effect heterogeneity based on the subjects' covariates using the conditional average…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Yuta Kawakami , Jin Tian

An accurate estimation of the dose-response relationship is important to determine the optimal dose. For this purpose, a dose finding trial in which subjects are randomized to a few fixed dose levels is the most commonly used design. Often,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-07 Jixian Wang , Zhiwei Zhang , Ram Tiwari

Background: The E-value has become widely used for assessing robustness to unmeasured confounding in observational studies, but the original framework was developed for single time-point exposure-outcome settings. This study extends the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-02 Md. Niamul Islam Sium

Estimating the causal effect of a treatment on the entire response distribution is an important yet challenging task. For instance, one might be interested in how a pension plan affects not only the average savings among all individuals but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-07 Lucas Kook , Niklas Pfister

Observational studies can play a useful role in assessing the comparative effectiveness of competing treatments. In a clinical trial the randomization of participants to treatment and control groups generally results in well-balanced groups…

Estimating average causal effect (ACE) is useful whenever we want to know the effect of an intervention on a given outcome. In the absence of a randomized experiment, many methods such as stratification and inverse propensity weighting have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-11 Rathin Desai , Amit Sharma

With the increasing availability of datasets, developing data fusion methods to leverage the strengths of different datasets to draw causal effects is of great practical importance to many scientific fields. In this paper, we consider…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-18 Yijiao Zhang , Zhongyi Zhu

A common concern when a policymaker draws causal inferences from and makes decisions based on observational data is that the measured covariates are insufficiently rich to account for all sources of confounding, i.e., the standard no…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-25 Tao Shen , Yifan Cui

Estimating how a treatment affects different individuals, known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, is an important problem in empirical sciences. In the last few years, there has been a considerable interest in adapting machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 Christopher Tran , Keith Burghardt , Kristina Lerman , Elena Zheleva

We propose an instrumental variable framework for identifying and estimating causal effects of discrete and continuous treatments with binary instruments. The basis of our approach is a local copula representation of the joint distribution…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-17 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Sukjin Han , Kaspar Wüthrich

Conditioning on some set of confounders that causally affect both treatment and outcome variables can be sufficient for eliminating bias introduced by all such confounders when estimating causal effect of the treatment on the outcome from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-24 Priyantha Wijayatunga

Estimating counterfactual outcomes over time has the potential to unlock personalized healthcare by assisting decision-makers to answer ''what-iF'' questions. Existing causal inference approaches typically consider regular, discrete-time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-17 Nabeel Seedat , Fergus Imrie , Alexis Bellot , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

Causal inference relies on the untestable assumption of no unmeasured confounding. Sensitivity analysis can be used to quantify the impact of unmeasured confounding on causal estimates. Among sensitivity analysis methods proposed in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Yushu Zou , Liangyuan Hu , Amanda Ricciuto , Mark Deneau , Kuan Liu

Over the years, there has been growing interest in using Machine Learning techniques for biomedical data processing. When tackling these tasks, one needs to bear in mind that biomedical data depends on a variety of characteristics, such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-05 Elisa Ferrari , Alessandra Retico , Davide Bacciu

We consider learning the possible causal direction of two observed variables in the presence of latent confounding variables. Several existing methods have been shown to consistently estimate causal direction assuming linear or some type of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-05-21 Shohei Shimizu , Kenneth Bollen

Single-cell perturbation prediction aims to infer how cells respond to unseen interventions and to achieve out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization, providing a computational route to understanding how perturbations reshape cellular…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Wenkang Jiang , Yuhang Liu , Erdun Gao , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Lina Yao , Javen Qinfeng Shi

Causal mediation analysis (CMA) is a powerful method to dissect the total effect of a treatment into direct and mediated effects within the potential outcome framework. This is important in many scientific applications to identify the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-14 Ziyang Jiang , Yiling Liu , Michael H. Klein , Ahmed Aloui , Yiman Ren , Keyu Li , Vahid Tarokh , David Carlson

Estimating the effect of intervention from observational data while accounting for confounding variables is a key task in causal inference. Oftentimes, the confounders are unobserved, but we have access to large amounts of additional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-13 Shachi Deshpande , Kaiwen Wang , Dhruv Sreenivas , Zheng Li , Volodymyr Kuleshov

Latent confounders are a fundamental challenge for inferring causal effects from observational data. The instrumental variable (IV) approach is a practical way to address this challenge. Existing IV based estimators need a known IV or other…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-09 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Ziqi Xu , Weijia Zhang , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le

Unmeasured confounding, unethical exposure, and ill-defined interventions pose significant challenges to evaluating policy-relevant mediation estimands in medicine and public health. In observational studies involving harmful exposures, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Yang Bai , Yifan Cui , Baoluo Sun