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Short-term forecasting of residential electricity demand is an important task for utilities. Yet, many small and medium-sized utilities still use simple forecasting approaches such as Synthesized Load Profiles, which treat residential…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-03-10 Daniel R. Bayer , Felix Haag , Marco Pruckner , Konstantin Hopf

The increasing global demand for clean and environmentally friendly energy resources has caused increased interest in harnessing solar power through photovoltaic (PV) systems for smart grids and homes. However, the inherent unpredictability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-24 Saman Soleymani , Shima Mohammadzadeh

Since the depletion of fossil fuels, the world has started to rely heavily on renewable sources of energy. With every passing year, our dependency on the renewable sources of energy is increasing exponentially. As a result, complex and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-27 Yasir Saleem Afridi , Kashif Ahmad , Laiq Hassan

In this work, we demonstrate the viability of using federated learning to successfully predict energy consumption as well as solar production for all households within a certain network using low-power and low-space consuming embedded…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-24 Meghana Bharadwaj , Sanjana Sarda

Unpredictability of renewable energy sources coupled with the complexity of those methods used for various purposes in this area calls for the development of robust methods such as DL models within the renewable energy domain. Given the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-07 Lutfu Sua , Haibo Wang , Jun Huang

Data-driven pricing strategies are becoming increasingly common, where customers are offered a personalized price based on features that are predictive of their valuation of a product. It is desirable for this pricing policy to be simple…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-11 Max Biggs , Wei Sun , Markus Ettl

With the rapid growth of renewable energy, lots of small photovoltaic (PV) prosumers emerge. Due to the uncertainty of solar power generation, there is a need for aggregated prosumers to predict solar power generation and whether solar…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-23 Yucun Lu , Ilgiz Murzakhanov , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis

While deep learning gradually penetrates operational planning, its inherent prediction errors may significantly affect electricity prices. This letter examines how prediction errors propagate into electricity prices, revealing notable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-14 Vladimir Dvorkin , Ferdinando Fioretto

There has been a large number of contributions on privacy-preserving smart metering with Differential Privacy, addressing questions from actual enforcement at the smart meter to billing at the energy provider. However, exploitation is…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2018-07-09 Günther Eibl , Kaibin Bao , Philip-William Grassal , Daniel Bernau , Hartmut Schmeck

Many sectors nowadays require accurate and coherent predictions across their organization to effectively operate. Otherwise, decision-makers would be planning using disparate views of the future, resulting in inconsistent decisions across…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-09 Julien Leprince , Waqas Khan , Henrik Madsen , Jan Kloppenborg Møller , Wim Zeiler

Seasonal climate variations affect electricity demand, which in turn affects month-to-month electricity planning and operations. Electricity system planning at the monthly timescale can be improved by adapting climate forecasts to estimate…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-11-12 A. R. de Queiroz , D. Mulcahy , A. Sankarasubramanian , J. P. Deane , G. Mahinthakumar , N. Lu , J. F. DeCarolis

It is crucial today that economies harness renewable energies and integrate them into the existing grid. Conventionally, energy has been generated based on forecasts of peak and low demands. Renewable energy can neither be produced on…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-02 Alexey Györi , Mathis Niederau , Violett Zeller , Volker Stich

Recent advancements in the fields of artificial intelligence and machine learning methods resulted in a significant increase of their popularity in the literature, including electricity price forecasting. Said methods cover a very broad…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-19 Grzegorz Marcjasz , Jesus Lago , Rafał Weron

Many proposed methods for explaining machine learning predictions are in fact challenging to understand for nontechnical consumers. This paper builds upon an alternative consumer-driven approach called TED that asks for explanations to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-17 Michael Hind , Dennis Wei , Yunfeng Zhang

Using Machine Learning systems in the real world can often be problematic, with inexplicable black-box models, the assumed certainty of imperfect measurements, or providing a single classification instead of a probability distribution. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-11 Jonathan S. Kent , David H. Menager

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

Decision tree learning is a widely used approach in machine learning, favoured in applications that require concise and interpretable models. Heuristic methods are traditionally used to quickly produce models with reasonably high accuracy.…

We tackle the problem of building explainable recommendation systems that are based on a per-user decision tree, with decision rules that are based on single attribute values. We build the trees by applying learned regression functions to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-20 Eyal Shulman , Lior Wolf

In classification and forecasting with tabular data, one often utilizes tree-based models. Those can be competitive with deep neural networks on tabular data and, under some conditions, explainable. The explainability depends on the depth…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Jiri Nemecek , Tomas Pevny , Jakub Marecek

Efficient load forecasting is needed to ensure better observability in the distribution networks, whereas such forecasting is made possible by an increasing number of smart meter installations. Because distribution networks include a large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-04 Miha Grabner , Yi Wang , Qingsong Wen , Boštjan Blažič , Vitomir Štruc