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Physical contacts result in the spread of various phenomena such as viruses, gossips, ideas, packages and marketing pamphlets across a population. The spread depends on how people move and co-locate with each other, or their mobility…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-12-20 Sepanta Zeighami , Cyrus Shahabi , John Krumm

We initiate an investigation of private sampling from distributions. Given a dataset with $n$ independent observations from an unknown distribution $P$, a sampling algorithm must output a single observation from a distribution that is close…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-16 Sofya Raskhodnikova , Satchit Sivakumar , Adam Smith , Marika Swanberg

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

Imputing missing values is an important preprocessing step in data analysis, but the literature offers little guidance on how to choose between different imputation models. This letter suggests adopting the imputation model that generates a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-13 Moritz Marbach

Sound policy and decision making in developing countries is often limited by the lack of timely and reliable data. Crowdsourced data may provide a valuable alternative for data collection and analysis, e. g. in remote and insecure areas or…

The standard approach to causal modelling especially in social and health sciences is the potential outcomes framework due to Neyman and Rubin. In this framework, observations are thought to be drawn from a distribution over variables of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Benedikt Höltgen , Robert C. Williamson

The rapid emergence of massive datasets in various fields poses a serious challenge to traditional statistical methods. Meanwhile, it provides opportunities for researchers to develop novel algorithms. Inspired by the idea of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-04-14 Yuan Gao , Weidong Liu , Hansheng Wang , Xiaozhou Wang , Yibo Yan , Riquan Zhang

Estimation of the $\phi$-divergence between two unknown probability distributions using empirical data is a fundamental problem in information theory and statistical learning. We consider a multi-variate generalization of the data dependent…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-04 Fengqiao Luo , Sanjay Mehrotra

The increased availability of massive data sets provides a unique opportunity to discover subtle patterns in their distributions, but also imposes overwhelming computational challenges. To fully utilize the information contained in big…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-12 Stanislav Volgushev , Shih-Kang Chao , Guang Cheng

[Abridged] Some cosmological theories propose that the observable universe is a small part of a much larger universe in which parameters describing the low-energy laws of physics vary from region to region. How can we reasonably assess a…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2026-02-04 Feraz Azhar , Alan H. Guth , Mohammad Hossein Namjoo

Statistical matching is a technique for integrating two or more data sets when information available for matching records for individual participants across data sets is incomplete. Statistical matching can be viewed as a missing data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-14 Jae-kwang Kim , Emily Berg , Taesung Park

Epidemiologic screening programs often make use of tests with small, but non-zero probabilities of misdiagnosis. In this article, we assume the target population is finite with a fixed number of true cases, and that we apply an imperfect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-22 Lin Ge , Yuzi Zhang , Lance A. Waller , Robert H. Lyles

For estimating area-specific parameters (quantities) in a finite population, a mixed model prediction approach is attractive. However, this approach strongly depends on the normality assumption of the response values although we often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-12 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Many modern data analysis problems involve inferences from streaming data. However, streaming data is not easily amenable to the standard probabilistic modeling approaches, which assume that we condition on finite data. We develop…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-23 James McInerney , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

Network models are widely used to represent relational information among interacting units and the structural implications of these relations. Recently, social network studies have focused a great deal of attention on random graph models of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-10-06 Mark S. Handcock , Krista J. Gile

Many datasets describing contacts in a population suffer from incompleteness due to population sampling and underreporting of contacts. Data-driven simulations of spreading processes using such incomplete data lead to an underestimation of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-09-07 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat

Many existing approaches for estimating parameters in settings with distributional shifts operate under an invariance assumption. For example, under covariate shift, it is assumed that $p(y|x)$ remains invariant. We refer to such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Yujin Jeong , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Tree-based priors for probability distributions are usually specified using a predetermined, data-independent collection of candidate recursive partitions of the sample space. To characterize an unknown target density in detail over the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Li Ma , Benedetta Bruni

When split conformal prediction operates in batch mode with exchangeable data, we determine the exact distribution of the empirical coverage of prediction sets produced for a finite batch of future observables, as well as the exact…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-23 Paulo C. Marques F

Ranking populations such as institutions based on certain characteristics is often of interest, and these ranks are typically estimated using samples drawn from the populations. Due to sample randomness, it is important to quantify the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-08 Onrina Chandra , Min-ge Xie