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Accurate weather forecasts are important for disaster prevention, agricultural planning, etc. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods offer physically interpretable high-accuracy predictions but are computationally expensive…

The increasing frequency of extreme weather events due to global climate change urges accurate weather prediction. Recently, great advances have been made by the \textbf{end-to-end methods}, thanks to deep learning techniques, but they face…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-24 Shaohan Li , Hao Yang , Min Chen , Xiaolin Qin

Accurate marine wind forecasts are essential for safe navigation, ship routing, and energy operations, yet they remain challenging because observations over the ocean are sparse, heterogeneous, and temporally variable. We reformulate wind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Matteo Peduto , Qidong Yang , Jonathan Giezendanner , Devis Tuia , Sherrie Wang

We present a novel approach that redefines the traditional interpretation of explicit and implicit discretization methods for solving a general class of advection-diffusion equations (ADEs) featuring nonlinear advection, diffusion…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-06-10 Amin Jafarimoghaddam , Manuel Soler , Irene Ortiz

Neural differential equations predict the derivative of a stochastic process. This allows irregular forecasting with arbitrary time-steps. However, the expressive temporal flexibility often comes with a high sensitivity to noise. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-07 Stav Belogolovsky , Ido Greenberg , Danny Eitan , Shie Mannor

Diffusion and flow matching models generate high-fidelity data by simulating paths defined by Ordinary or Stochastic Differential Equations (ODEs/SDEs), starting from a tractable prior distribution. The probability flow ODE formulation…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-19 Liangyu Yuan , Ruoyu Wang , Tong Zhao , Dingwen Fu , Mingkun Lei , Beier Zhu , Chi Zhang

Weather forecasting is a crucial task for meteorologic research, with direct social and economic impacts. Recently, data-driven weather forecasting models based on deep learning have shown great potential, achieving superior performance…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-08-26 Lihao Gan , Xin Man , Chenghong Zhang , Jie Shao

Spatial-temporal forecasting has attracted tremendous attention in a wide range of applications, and traffic flow prediction is a canonical and typical example. The complex and long-range spatial-temporal correlations of traffic flow bring…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-25 Zheng Fang , Qingqing Long , Guojie Song , Kunqing Xie

The n body problem, fundamental to astrophysics, simulates the motion of n bodies acting under the effect of their own mutual gravitational interactions. Traditional machine learning models that are used for predicting and forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-25 Suriya R S , Prathamesh Dinesh Joshi , Rajat Dandekar , Raj Dandekar , Sreedath Panat

The neural ordinary differential equation (neural ODE) model has attracted increasing attention in time series analysis for its capability to process irregular time steps, i.e., data are not observed over equally-spaced time intervals. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-23 Mingyuan Bai , S. T. Boris Choy , Junping Zhang , Junbin Gao

Neural networks inspired by differential equations have proliferated for the past several years. Neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) and neural controlled differential equations (NCDEs) are two representative examples of them. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-17 Sheo Yon Jhin , Heejoo Shin , Seoyoung Hong , Solhee Park , Noseong Park

The neural Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) model has shown success in learning complex continuous-time processes from observations on discrete time stamps. In this work, we consider the modeling and forecasting of time series data that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-05 Yixuan Tan , Liyan Xie , Xiuyuan Cheng

Simulating and controlling physical systems described by partial differential equations (PDEs) are crucial tasks across science and engineering. Recently, diffusion generative models have emerged as a competitive class of methods for these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-27 Peiyan Hu , Rui Wang , Xiang Zheng , Tao Zhang , Haodong Feng , Ruiqi Feng , Long Wei , Yue Wang , Zhi-Ming Ma , Tailin Wu

Accurate weather forecasting is critical for science and society. Yet, existing methods have not managed to simultaneously have the properties of high accuracy, low uncertainty, and high computational efficiency. On one hand, to quantify…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Jimeng Shi , Bowen Jin , Jiawei Han , Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan , Giri Narasimhan

World models learn to predict future states of an environment, enabling planning and mental simulation. Current approaches default to Transformer-based predictors operating in learned latent spaces. This comes at a cost: O(N^2) computation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Fabien Polly

Meteorological agencies around the world rely on real-time flood guidance to issue life-saving advisories and warnings. For decades traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models have been state-of-the-art for precipitation…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Levi Harris , Tianlong Chen

Time series alignment methods call for highly expressive, differentiable and invertible warping functions which preserve temporal topology, i.e diffeomorphisms. Diffeomorphic warping functions can be generated from the integration of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-17 Iñigo Martinez , Elisabeth Viles , Igor G. Olaizola

Weather forecasting is usually solved through numerical weather prediction (NWP), which can sometimes lead to unsatisfactory performance due to inappropriate setting of the initial states. In this paper, we design a data-driven method…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-05 Bin Wang , Jie Lu , Zheng Yan , Huaishao Luo , Tianrui Li , Yu Zheng , Guangquan Zhang

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) use a neural network to model the instantaneous rate of change in the state of a system. However, despite their apparent suitability for dynamics-governed time-series, NODEs present a few…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-18 Alexander Norcliffe , Cristian Bodnar , Ben Day , Jacob Moss , Pietro Liò

Long-term traffic flow forecasting plays a crucial role in intelligent transportation as it allows traffic managers to adjust their decisions in advance. However, the problem is challenging due to spatio-temporal correlations and complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-14 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Shigang Chen