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A novel method for real-time solar generation forecast using weather data, while exploiting both spatial and temporal structural dependencies is proposed. The network observed over time is projected to a lower-dimensional representation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-20 Mohammad Alqudah , Tatjana Dokic , Mladen Kezunovic , Zoran Obradovic

Clouds and haze often occlude optical satellite images, hindering continuous, dense monitoring of the Earth's surface. Although modern deep learning methods can implicitly learn to ignore such occlusions, explicit cloud removal as…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-04-13 Patrick Ebel , Vivien Sainte Fare Garnot , Michael Schmitt , Jan Dirk Wegner , Xiao Xiang Zhu

With increasing concerns of climate change, renewable resources such as photovoltaic (PV) have gained popularity as a means of energy generation. The smooth integration of such resources in power system operations is enabled by accurate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Fatemeh Najibi , Dimitra Apostolopoulou , Eduardo Alonso

Observations of the Sun in the visible spectral range belong to standard measurements obtained by instruments both on the ground and in the space. Nowadays, both nearly continuous full-disc observations with medium resolution and dedicated…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-06-30 Michal Švanda , Jan Jurčák , David Korda , Jana Kašparová

Forecasting the formation and development of clouds is a central element of modern weather forecasting systems. Incorrect clouds forecasts can lead to major uncertainty in the overall accuracy of weather forecasts due to their intrinsic…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-06-17 A. H. Nielsen , A. Iosifidis , H. Karstoft

The solar wind, a stream of charged particles originating from the Sun and transcending interplanetary space, poses risks to technology and astronauts. In this work, we develop a prediction model to forecast the solar wind speed at the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-01-22 Daniel Collin , Yuri Shprits , Stefan J. Hofmeister , Stefano Bianco , Guillermo Gallego

With the recent discoveries of hundreds of extrasolar planets, the search for planets like Earth and life in the universe, is quickly gaining momentum. In the future, large space observatories could directly detect the light scattered from…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 E. Palle , Eric B. Ford , S. Seager , P. Montanes-Rodriguez , M. Vazquez

Geomagnetic storms, disturbances of Earth's magnetosphere caused by masses of charged particles being emitted from the Sun, are an uncontrollable threat to modern technology. Notably, they have the potential to damage satellites and cause…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-13 Kyle Domico , Ryan Sheatsley , Yohan Beugin , Quinn Burke , Patrick McDaniel

The last IPCC assessment states that clouds and aerosols remain a challenge in climate prediction with Global Climate Models. Therefore, NASA's 2017 Decadal Survey has made them, along with convection and precipitation, a priority target…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-10-15 Anthony B. Davis , Quentin Libois , Nicolas Ferlay , Alexander Marshak

Various methods (or recipes) have been proposed to predict future solar activity levels - with mixed success. Among these, some precursor methods based upon quantities determined around or a few years before solar minimum have provided…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-06-25 Manfred Schuessler

Accurate day-ahead solar irradiance forecasting is essential for integrating solar energy into the power grid. However, it remains challenging due to the pronounced diurnal cycle and inherently complex cloud dynamics. Current methods either…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-30 Ziqing Ma , Kai Ying , Xinyue Gu , Tian Zhou , Tianyu Zhu , Haifan Zhang , Peisong Niu , Zheng Wang , Cong Bai , Liang Sun

Power systems engineers are actively developing larger power plants out of photovoltaics imposing some major challenges which include its intermittent power generation and its poor dispatchability. The issue is that PV is a variable…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-17 Hugo Riggs , Shahid Tufail , Mohd Tariq , Arif Sarwat

The intensity and energy spectrum of galactic cosmic rays in the heliosphere are significantly influenced by the 11-year solar cycle, a phenomenon known as solar modulation. Understanding this effect and its underlying physical mechanisms…

Is the Sun likely to have a more opaque interior than previously thought? The solar oxygen (or abundance) problem can be solved with higher interior opacities, reconciling abundance analyses based on 3D convective atmospheres with the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-04-12 Regner Trampedach

Emanating from the base of the Sun's corona, the solar wind fills the interplanetary medium with a magnetized stream of charged particles whose interaction with the Earth's magnetosphere has space-weather consequences such as geomagnetic…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-06-11 Vishal Upendran , M. C. M Cheung , Shravan Hanasoge , Ganapathi Krishnamurthi

We assume a distribution of clouds optically thick for electron scattering (OTCM) which are moderately optically thin for absorption and we consider them as a model of the mean quasar spectrum of Laor et al. (1997). We show that the model…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 B. Czerny , A. -M. Dumont

The integration of solar power has been increasing as the green energy transition rolls out. The penetration of solar power challenges the grid stability and energy scheduling, due to its intermittent energy generation. Accurate and near…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Jinbao Wang , Jun Liu , Shiliang Zhang , Xuehui Ma

In order to enable the transition towards renewable energy sources, probabilistic energy forecasting is of critical importance for incorporating volatile power sources such as solar energy into the electrical grid. Solar energy forecasting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-03 Benedikt Schulz , Mehrez El Ayari , Sebastian Lerch , Sándor Baran

The estimation of total solar irradiance falling on the earth's surface is important in the field of solar energy generation and forecasting. Several clear-sky solar radiation models have been developed over the last few decades. Most of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-08-30 Soumyabrata Dev , Shilpa Manandhar , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

Regional solar power forecasting, which involves predicting the total power generation from all rooftop photovoltaic systems in a region holds significant importance for various stakeholders in the energy sector. However, the vast amount of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Maneesha Perera , Julian De Hoog , Kasun Bandara , Damith Senanayake , Saman Halgamuge