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Bayesian methods are useful for statistical inference. However, real-world problems can be challenging using Bayesian methods when the data analyst has only limited prior knowledge. In this paper we consider a class of problems, called…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-20 Yixuan Qiu , Lingsong Zhang , Chuanhai Liu

We propose an online learning framework for forecasting nonlinear spatio-temporal signals (fields). The method integrates (i) dimensionality reduction, here, a simple proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) projection; (ii) a generalized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-29 Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri

In this paper we introduce a novel online time series forecasting model we refer to as the pM-GP filter. We show that our model is equivalent to Gaussian process regression, with the advantage that both online forecasting and online…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-13 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen J. Roberts

This paper investigates the problem of online prediction learning, where learning proceeds continuously as the agent interacts with an environment. The predictions made by the agent are contingent on a particular way of behaving,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-08 Sina Ghiassian , Andrew Patterson , Martha White , Richard S. Sutton , Adam White

Continual Learning (CL) aims to learn from a non-stationary data stream where the underlying distribution changes over time. While recent advances have produced efficient memory-free methods in the offline CL (offCL) setting, where tasks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Nicolas Michel , Maorong Wang , Jiangpeng He , Toshihiko Yamasaki

In this paper, we present a learning-based control for a class of nonlinear systems that guarantees exponential stability as well as bounded output errors. The control is based on the Gaussian Process Submodel Online Learning (GPSOL)…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-20 Ricus Husmann , Sven Weishaupt , Malin Lotta Husmann , Harald Aschemann

Sequential decision-making agents struggle with long horizon tasks, since solving them requires multi-step reasoning. Most reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms address this challenge by improved credit assignment, introducing memory…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-04 Bogdan Mazoure , Jake Bruce , Doina Precup , Rob Fergus , Ankit Anand

Gaussian processes are Bayesian non-parametric models used in many areas. In this work, we propose a Non-stationary Heteroscedastic Gaussian process model which can be learned with gradient-based techniques. We demonstrate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-26 Zeel B Patel , Nipun Batra , Kevin Murphy

The Gaussian process latent variable model (GP-LVM) provides a flexible approach for non-linear dimensionality reduction that has been widely applied. However, the current approach for training GP-LVMs is based on maximum likelihood, where…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-09-09 Andreas C. Damianou , Michalis K. Titsias , Neil D. Lawrence

In this paper, we explore an efficient online algorithm for quantum state estimation based on a matrix-exponentiated gradient method previously used in the context of machine learning. The state update is governed by a learning rate that…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-03-28 Akram Youssry , Christopher Ferrie , Marco Tomamichel

We introduce and analyze a method of learning-informed parameter identification for partial differential equations (PDEs) in an all-at-once framework. The underlying PDE model is formulated in a rather general setting with three unknowns:…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-08-25 Christian Aarset , Martin Holler , Tram Thi Ngoc Nguyen

This paper formalizes a demand response task as an optimization problem featuring a known time-varying engineering cost and an unknown (dis)comfort function. Based on this model, this paper develops a feedback-based projected gradient…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-06-15 Ana M. Ospina , Andrea Simonetto , Emiliano Dall'Anese

In this paper, we propose an online learning-based predictive control (LPC) approach designed for nonlinear systems that lack explicit system dynamics. Unlike traditional model predictive control (MPC) algorithms that rely on known system…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-03-17 Yuanqing Zhang , Huanshui Zhang

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

We establish a general form of explicit, input-dependent, measure-valued warpings for learning nonstationary kernels. While stationary kernels are ubiquitous and simple to use, they struggle to adapt to functions that vary in smoothness…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-12 Anthony Tompkins , Rafael Oliveira , Fabio Ramos

Bayesian active learning relies on the precise quantification of predictive uncertainty to explore unknown function landscapes. While Gaussian process surrogates are the standard for such tasks, an underappreciated fact is that their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Sanna Jarl , Maria Bånkestad , Jonathan J. S. Scragg , Jens Sjölund

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) offer a principled framework for learning and inference in nonlinear dynamical systems with uncertainty quantification. However, existing GPSSMs are limited by the use of multiple independent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-11 Zhidi Lin , Ying Li , Feng Yin , Juan Maroñas , Alexandre H. Thiéry

An ever increasing volume of data is nowadays becoming available in a streaming manner in many application areas, such as, in critical infrastructure systems, finance and banking, security and crime and web analytics. To meet this new…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-06 Kleanthis Malialis , Christos G. Panayiotou , Marios M. Polycarpou

Online learning is a familiar problem setting within Machine-Learning in which data is presented serially in time to a learning agent, requiring it to progressively adapt within the constraints of the learning algorithm. More sophisticated…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-03-10 David Windridge

Sample efficiency and exploration remain major challenges in online reinforcement learning (RL). A powerful approach that can be applied to address these issues is the inclusion of offline data, such as prior trajectories from a human…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Philip J. Ball , Laura Smith , Ilya Kostrikov , Sergey Levine