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Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) provides longer insights into future trends and patterns. Over the past few years, deep learning models especially Transformers have achieved advanced performance in LTSF tasks. However, LTSF faces…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-28 Aobo Liang , Xingguo Jiang , Yan Sun , Xiaohou Shi , Ke Li

Long-term time-series forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term dependencies, achieving linear scalability, and maintaining computational efficiency. We introduce TimeMachine, an innovative model that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-26 Md Atik Ahamed , Qiang Cheng

Time series forecasting has made significant advances, including with Transformer-based models. The attention mechanism in Transformer effectively captures temporal dependencies by attending to all past inputs simultaneously. However, its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Xiongxiao Xu , Canyu Chen , Yueqing Liang , Baixiang Huang , Guangji Bai , Liang Zhao , Kai Shu

Time series forecasting requires balancing short-term and long-term dependencies for accurate predictions. Existing methods mainly focus on long-term dependency modeling, neglecting the complexities of short-term dynamics, which may hinder…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-29 Sijia Peng , Yun Xiong , Yangyong Zhu , Zhiqiang Shen

Multivariate Time series forecasting is crucial in domains such as transportation, meteorology, and finance, especially for predicting extreme weather events. State-of-the-art methods predominantly rely on Transformer architectures, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-16 Li Wu , Wenbin Pei , Jiulong Jiao , Qiang Zhang

In the realm of time series forecasting (TSF), it is imperative for models to adeptly discern and distill hidden patterns within historical time series data to forecast future states. Transformer-based models exhibit formidable efficacy in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Zihan Wang , Fanheng Kong , Shi Feng , Ming Wang , Xiaocui Yang , Han Zhao , Daling Wang , Yifei Zhang

Recent advancements in multivariate time series forecasting have been propelled by Linear-based, Transformer-based, and Convolution-based models, with Transformer-based architectures gaining prominence for their efficacy in temporal and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Chaolv Zeng , Zhanyu Liu , Guanjie Zheng , Linghe Kong

In recent years, Transformers have become the de-facto architecture for long-term sequence forecasting (LTSF), but faces challenges such as quadratic complexity and permutation invariant bias. A recent model, Mamba, based on selective state…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Xiuding Cai , Yaoyao Zhu , Xueyao Wang , Yu Yao

Time-series forecasting has seen significant advancements with the introduction of token prediction mechanisms such as multi-head attention. However, these methods often struggle to achieve the same performance as in language modeling,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Panayiotis Christou , Shichu Chen , Xupeng Chen , Parijat Dube

In multivariate time-series forecasting (MTSF), extracting the temporal correlations of the input sequences is crucial. While popular Transformer-based predictive models can perform well, their quadratic computational complexity results in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-23 Shusen Ma , Yu Kang , Peng Bai , Yun-Bo Zhao

Multivariate time series forecasting is fundamental to numerous domains such as energy, finance, and environmental monitoring, where complex temporal dependencies and cross-variable interactions pose enduring challenges. Existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Xingsheng Chen , Xianpei Mu , Deyu Yi , Yilin Yuan , Xingwei He , Bo Gao , Regina Zhang , Pietro Lio , Siu-Ming Yiu

The quadratic complexity of the attention mechanism in Transformer models has motivated the development of alternative architectures with sub-quadratic scaling, such as state-space models. Among these, Mamba has emerged as a leading…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Peng Lu , Jerry Huang , Qiuhao Zeng , Xinyu Wang , Boxing Chen , Philippe Langlais , Yufei Cui

In multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF), existing strategies for processing sequences are typically categorized as channel-independent and channel-mixing. The former treats all temporal information of each variable as a token,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Bing Fan , Shusen Ma , Yun-Bo Zhao , Yu Kang

State Space Models (SSMs), particularly Mamba, have shown potential in long-term time series forecasting. However, existing Mamba-based architectures often struggle with datasets characterized by non-stationary patterns. A key observation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Ruxuan Chen , Fang Sun

Transformers are the current architecture of choice for NLP, but their attention layers do not scale well to long contexts. Recent works propose to replace attention with linear recurrent layers -- this is the case for state space models,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Hugo Pitorro , Pavlo Vasylenko , Marcos Treviso , André F. T. Martins

The problem of Time-series Forecasting is generally addressed by recurrent, Transformer-based and the recently proposed Mamba-based architectures. However, existing architectures generally process their input at a single temporal scale,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-06 Yusuf Meric Karadag , Ismail Talaz , Ipek Gursel Dino , Sinan Kalkan

Accurate traffic prediction plays a vital role in intelligent transportation systems by enabling efficient routing, congestion mitigation, and proactive traffic control. However, forecasting is challenging due to the combined effects of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Mohamed Hamad , Mohamed Mabrok , Nizar Zorba

Accurate and efficient multivariate time series (MTS) analysis is increasingly critical for a wide range of intelligent applications. Within this realm, Transformers have emerged as the predominant architecture due to their strong ability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Rui An , Haohao Qu , Wenqi Fan , Xuequn Shang , Qing Li

Long-term forecasting of chaotic systems remains a fundamental challenge due to the intrinsic sensitivity to initial conditions and the complex geometry of strange attractors. Conventional approaches, such as reservoir computing, typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-29 Chang Liu , Bohao Zhao , Jingtao Ding , Huandong Wang , Yong Li

Deep Learning based Weather Prediction (DLWP) models have been improving rapidly over the last few years, surpassing state of the art numerical weather forecasts by significant margins. While much of the optimization effort is focused on…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-08-15 Haoyu Qin , Yungang Chen , Qianchuan Jiang , Pengchao Sun , Xiancai Ye , Chao Lin
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