相关论文: Censored Data Forecasting: Applying Tobit Exponent…

ExponenTial Smoothing (ETS) is a widely adopted forecasting technique in both research and practical applications. One critical development in ETS was the establishment of a robust statistical foundation based on state space models with a…

Monitoring microbiological behaviors in water is crucial to manage public health risk from waterborne pathogens, although quantifying the concentrations of microbiological organisms in water is still challenging because concentrations of…

Inferring the true demand for a product or a service from aggregate data is often challenging due to the limited available supply, thus resulting in observations that are censored and correspond to the realized demand, thereby not…

In many fields of study, we only observe lower bounds on the true response value of some experiments. When fitting a regression model to predict the distribution of the outcomes, we cannot simply drop these right-censored observations, but…

Time series forecasting is an active research topic in academia as well as industry. Although we see an increasing amount of adoptions of machine learning methods in solving some of those forecasting challenges, statistical methods remain…

When modelling censored observations, a typical approach in current regression methods is to use a censored-Gaussian (i.e. Tobit) model to describe the conditional output distribution. In this paper, as in the case of missing data, we argue…

To fully exploit the benefits of the fog environment, efficient management of data locality is crucial. Blind or reactive data replication falls short in harnessing the potential of fog computing, necessitating more advanced techniques for…

Censoring occurs when an outcome is unobserved beyond some threshold value. Methods that do not account for censoring produce biased predictions of the unobserved outcome. This paper introduces Type I Tobit Bayesian Additive Regression Tree…

The classic censored regression model (tobit model) has been widely used in the economic literature. This model assumes normality for the error distribution and is not recommended for cases where positive skewness is present. Moreover, in…

The predictive advantage of combining several different predictive models is widely accepted. Particularly in time series forecasting problems, this combination is often dynamic to cope with potential non-stationary sources of variation…

Energy system optimization models are becoming increasingly popular for analyzing energy markets, such as the impact of new policies or interactions between energy carriers. One key challenge of these models is the trade-off between…

Time series analysis is used to understand and predict dynamic processes, including evolving demands in business, weather, markets, and biological rhythms. Exponential smoothing is used in all these domains to obtain simple interpretable…

Contamination of water resources with pathogenic microorganisms excreted in human feces is a worldwide public health concern. Surveillance of fecal contamination is commonly performed by routine monitoring for a single type or a few types…

Many economic applications including optimal pricing and inventory management requires prediction of demand based on sales data and estimation of sales reaction to a price change. There is a wide range of econometric approaches which are…

Censoring from above is a common problem with wage information as the reported wages are typically top-coded for confidentiality reasons. In administrative databases the information is often collected only up to a pre-specified threshold,…

Our objective is to construct well-calibrated prediction sets for a time-to-event outcome subject to right-censoring with guaranteed coverage. Inspired by modern conformal inference, our approach avoids the need for a well-specified…

Time series aggregation (TSA) aims to construct temporally aggregated optimization models that accurately represent the output space of their full-scale counterparts while using a significantly reduced temporal dimensionality. This paper…

Censored response variables--where outcomes are only partially observed due to known bounds--arise in numerous scientific domains and present serious challenges for regression analysis. The Tobit model, a classical solution for handling…

Recently, the issue of adversarial robustness in the time series domain has garnered significant attention. However, the available defense mechanisms remain limited, with adversarial training being the predominant approach, though it does…

We present a continuous time state estimation framework that unifies traditionally individual tasks of smoothing, tracking, and forecasting (STF), for a class of targets subject to smooth motion processes, e.g., the target moves with nearly…