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Understanding the sequence of cognitive operations that underlie decision-making is a fundamental challenge in cognitive neuroscience. Traditional approaches often rely on group-level statistics, which obscure trial-by-trial variations in…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2025-04-15 Rick den Otter , Gabriel Weindel , Sjoerd Stuit , Leendert van Maanen

Spiking neural networks (SNNs) are known as a typical kind of brain-inspired models with their unique features of rich neuronal dynamics, diverse coding schemes and low power consumption properties. How to obtain a high-accuracy model has…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2022-03-07 Yihan Lin , Yifan Hu , Shijie Ma , Guoqi Li , Dongjie Yu

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

Obtaining high certainty in predictive models is crucial for making informed and trustworthy decisions in many scientific and engineering domains. However, extensive experimentation required for model accuracy can be both costly and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Giorgio Morales , John Sheppard

The task of quantifying the inherent uncertainty associated with neural network predictions is a key challenge in artificial intelligence. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) and deep ensembles are among the most prominent approaches to tackle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-23 Valentin Villecroze , Yixin Wang , Gabriel Loaiza-Ganem

This paper proposes a multi-step probabilistic forecasting framework using a single neural-network based model to generate simultaneous point and interval forecasts. Our approach ensures non-crossing prediction intervals (PIs) through a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Worachit Amnuaypongsa , Yotsapat Suparanonrat , Pana Wanitchollakit , Jitkomut Songsiri

Mutual Information (MI) is a crucial measure for capturing dependencies between variables, but exact computation is challenging in high dimensions with intractable likelihoods, impacting accuracy and robustness. One idea is to use an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-13 Forough Fazeliasl , Michael Minyi Zhang , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong

Sequential labeling is a task predicting labels for each token in a sequence, such as Named Entity Recognition (NER). NER tasks aim to extract entities and predict their labels given a text, which is important in information extraction.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-06-06 Jianfeng He , Linlin Yu , Shuo Lei , Chang-Tien Lu , Feng Chen

Neural Radiance Fields (NeRF) has become a popular framework for learning implicit 3D representations and addressing different tasks such as novel-view synthesis or depth-map estimation. However, in downstream applications where decisions…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-09-29 Jianxiong Shen , Adria Ruiz , Antonio Agudo , Francesc Moreno-Noguer

Neural Networks (NNs) have been extensively used for a wide spectrum of real-world regression tasks, where the goal is to predict a numerical outcome such as revenue, effectiveness, or a quantitative result. In many such tasks, the point…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-05 Xin Qiu , Elliot Meyerson , Risto Miikkulainen

The problem of machine learning with missing values is common in many areas. A simple approach is to first construct a dataset without missing values simply by discarding instances with missing entries or by imputing a fixed value for each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-02 Hiroyuki Hanada , Toshiyuki Takada , Jun Sakuma , Ichiro Takeuchi

Effective decision making requires understanding the uncertainty inherent in a prediction. In regression, this uncertainty can be estimated by a variety of methods; however, many of these methods are laborious to tune, generate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-02 Tianhui Zhou , Yitong Li , Yuan Wu , David Carlson

Symbolic regression is a nonlinear regression method which is commonly performed by an evolutionary computation method such as genetic programming. Quantification of uncertainty of regression models is important for the interpretation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-15 Fabricio Olivetti de Franca , Gabriel Kronberger

We present Sequential Neural Variational Inference (SNVI), an approach to perform Bayesian inference in models with intractable likelihoods. SNVI combines likelihood-estimation (or likelihood-ratio-estimation) with variational inference to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Manuel Glöckler , Michael Deistler , Jakob H. Macke

Ensembles of neural networks (NNs) have long been used to estimate predictive uncertainty; a small number of NNs are trained from different initialisations and sometimes on differing versions of the dataset. The variance of the ensemble's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-30 Tim Pearce , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

In a world where more decisions are made using artificial intelligence, it is of utmost importance to ensure these decisions are well-grounded. Neural networks are the modern building blocks for artificial intelligence. Modern neural…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Mohamad Al Shaar , Nils Ekström , Gustav Gille , Reza Rezvan , Ivan Wely

A fundamental task in causal inference is estimating the effect of distribution shift in the treatment variable. We refer to this problem as shift-response function (SRF) estimation. Existing neural network methods for causal inference lack…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Mauricio Tec , Kevin Josey , Oladimeji Mudele , Francesca Dominici

Parameter estimation in empirical fields is usually undertaken using parametric models, and such models readily facilitate statistical inference. Unfortunately, they are unlikely to be sufficiently flexible to be able to adequately model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-13 Matthew J. Vowels , Sina Akbari , Necati Cihan Camgoz , Richard Bowden

Named Entity Recognition (NER) serves as a foundational component in many natural language processing (NLP) pipelines. However, current NER models typically output a single predicted label sequence without any accompanying measure of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Matthew Singer , Srijan Sengupta , Karl Pazdernik

Uncertainty estimation is a standard tool to quantify the reliability of modern deep learning models, and crucial for many real-world applications. However, efficient uncertainty estimation methods for spiking neural networks, particularly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Tao Sun , Sander Bohté