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Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) requires the collection of interventional data, which is sometimes expensive and even unethical in the real world, such as in the autonomous driving and the medical field. Offline reinforcement learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-12 Wenxuan Zhu , Chao Yu , Qiang Zhang

Learning the causes of time-series data is a fundamental task in many applications, spanning from finance to earth sciences or bio-medical applications. Common approaches for this task are based on vector auto-regression, and they do not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Emmanouil Angelis , Francesco Quinzan , Ashkan Soleymani , Patrick Jaillet , Stefan Bauer

Due to concerns about parametric model misspecification, there is interest in using machine learning to adjust for confounding when evaluating the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome. Unfortunately, exposure effect estimators that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-08 Oliver Dukes , Stijn Vansteelandt , David Whitney

We introduce a double/debiased machine learning estimator for the impulse response function in settings where a time series of interest is subjected to multiple discrete treatments, assigned over time, which can have a causal effect on…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-17 Daniele Ballinari , Alexander Wehrli

Recently, Deep Learning (DL) approaches have been applied to solve the Sentiment Classification (SC) problem, which is a core task in reviews mining or Sentiment Analysis (SA). The performances of these approaches are affected by different…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-01-01 Mohamed Kayed , Rebeca P. Díaz-Redondo , Alhassan Mabrouk

In official statistics, dual system estimation (DSE) is a well-known tool to estimate the size of a population. Two sources are linked, and the number of units that are missed by both sources is estimated. Often dual system estimation is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-05 Ceejay Hammond , Paul A. Smith , Peter G. M. van der Heijden

Modern causal inference methods allow machine learning to be used to weaken parametric modeling assumptions. However, the use of machine learning may result in complications for inference. Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-11 Paul N Zivich , Alexander Breskin

Attribution modelling lies at the heart of marketing effectiveness, yet most existing approaches depend on user-level path data, which are increasingly inaccessible due to privacy regulations and platform restrictions. This paper introduces…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-25 Georgios Filippou , Boi Mai Quach , Diana Lenghel , Arthur White , Ashish Kumar Jha

Causal classification models are adopted across a variety of operational business processes to predict the effect of a treatment on a categorical business outcome of interest depending on the process instance characteristics. This allows…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-06 Diego Olaya , Wouter Verbeke , Jente Van Belle , Marie-Anne Guerry

Mendelian randomization (MR) is widely used to uncover causal relationships in the presence of unmeasured confounders. However, most existing MR methods presuppose linear causality, risking bias when the true relationships are nonlinear,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Xinpei Wang , Tao Huang , Jinzhu Jia

Although achieving promising performance, recent analyses show that current generative large language models (LLMs) may still capture dataset biases and utilize them for generation, leading to poor generalizability and harmfulness of LLMs.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-09-02 Li Du , Zhouhao Sun , Xiao Ding , Yixuan Ma , Yang Zhao , Kaitao Qiu , Ting Liu , Bing Qin

Large Language Models (LLMs) often struggle with structural ambiguity in optimization problems, where a single problem admits multiple related but conflicting modeling paradigms, hindering effective solution generation. To address this, we…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Xinyu Zhang , Yuchen Wan , Boxuan Zhang , Zesheng Yang , Lingling Zhang , Bifan Wei , Jun Liu

This paper details the machine learning (ML) journey of a group of people focused on software testing. It tells the story of how this group progressed through a ML workflow (similar to the CRISP-DM process). This workflow consists of the…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-07-31 Michael Cohoon , Debbie Furman

Deferring systems extend supervised Machine Learning (ML) models with the possibility to defer predictions to human experts. However, evaluating the impact of a deferring strategy on system accuracy is still an overlooked area. This paper…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-08 Filippo Palomba , Andrea Pugnana , José Manuel Alvarez , Salvatore Ruggieri

Large language models (LLMs) have been shown to be capable of impressive few-shot generalisation to new tasks. However, they still tend to perform poorly on multi-step logical reasoning problems. Here we carry out a comprehensive evaluation…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-05-20 Antonia Creswell , Murray Shanahan , Irina Higgins

For a number of reasons, computational intelligence and machine learning methods have been largely dismissed by the professional community. The reasons for this are numerous and varied, but inevitably amongst the reasons given is that the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-08-23 E. Hurwitz , T. Marwala

Large language model (LLM) agents-especially smaller, open-source models-often produce causally invalid or incoherent actions in collaborative tasks due to their reliance on surface-level correlations rather than grounded causal reasoning.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-20 Minh Hoang Nguyen , Van Dai Do , Dung Nguyen , Thin Nguyen , Hung Le

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have demonstrated remarkable empirical performance in large-scale supervised learning problems, particularly in scenarios where both the sample size $n$ and the dimension of covariates $p$ are large. This study…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-12 Yuqian Zhang , Jelena Bradic

Recent years have witnessed the rapid growth of machine learning in a wide range of fields such as image recognition, text classification, credit scoring prediction, recommendation system, etc. In spite of their great performance in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-20 Guandong Xu , Tri Dung Duong , Qian Li , Shaowu Liu , Xianzhi Wang

When users can benefit from certain predictive outcomes, they may be prone to act to achieve those outcome, e.g., by strategically modifying their features. The goal in strategic classification is therefore to train predictive models that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-12 Guy Horowitz , Nir Rosenfeld