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Recent years have seen a substantial development of quantitative methods, mostly led by the computer science community with the goal of developing better machine learning applications, mainly focused on predictive modeling. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-02 Daniel Hain , Roman Jurowetzki

This paper presents a framework for predicting rare, high-impact outcomes by integrating large language models (LLMs) with a multi-model machine learning (ML) architecture. The approach combines the predictive strength of black-box models…

Rare event prediction involves identifying and forecasting events with a low probability using machine learning (ML) and data analysis. Due to the imbalanced data distributions, where the frequency of common events vastly outweighs that of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-10-08 Chathurangi Shyalika , Ruwan Wickramarachchi , Amit Sheth

Detecting rare events, those defined to give rise to high impact but have a low probability of occurring, is a challenge in a number of domains including meteorological, environmental, financial and economic. The use of machine learning to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Santhosh Narayanan , Carsten Maple , Mark Hooper

We introduce a machine-learning (ML) framework for high-throughput benchmarking of diverse representations of chemical systems against datasets of materials and molecules. The guiding principle underlying the benchmarking approach is to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Carl Poelking , Felix A. Faber , Bingqing Cheng

Our planet is facing increasingly frequent extreme events, which pose major risks to human lives and ecosystems. Recent advances in machine learning (ML), especially with foundation models (FMs) trained on extensive datasets, excel in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-14 Shan Zhao , Zhitong Xiong , Jie Zhao , Xiao Xiang Zhu

The classification of seismic events has been crucial for monitoring underground nuclear explosions and unnatural seismic events as well as natural earthquakes. This research is an attempt to apply different machine learning (ML) algorithms…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-02-11 Alemayehu Belay Kassa , Mulugeta Tuji Dugda

Machine learning (ML) models are used in many safety- and security-critical applications nowadays. It is therefore important to measure the security of a system that uses ML as a component. This paper focuses on the field of ML,…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Jan Schröder , Jakub Breier

Detection of anomalous situations for complex mission-critical systems hold paramount importance when their service continuity needs to be ensured. A major challenge in detecting anomalies from the operational data arises due to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Shanay Mehta , Shlok Mehendale , Nicole Fernandes , Jyotirmoy Sarkar , Santonu Sarkar , Snehanshu Saha

Anomaly detection in process mining focuses on identifying anomalous cases or events in process executions. The resulting diagnostics are used to provide measures to prevent fraudulent behavior, as well as to derive recommendations for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-21 Suhwan Lee , Xixi Lu , Hajo A. Reijers

Multiple studies have now demonstrated that machine learning (ML) can give improved skill for predicting or simulating fairly typical weather events, for tasks such as short-term and seasonal weather forecasting, downscaling simulations to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-08-30 Peter AG Watson

Molecular motors and other complex nonequilibrium systems are controlled by large sets of design parameters, and optimizing those parameters requires computing sensitivities -- derivatives of dynamical observables with respect to the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-05-12 John Strahan , Todd R. Gingrich

Machine learning models play a vital role in the prediction task in several fields of study. In this work, we utilize the ability of machine learning algorithms to predict the occurrence of extreme events in a nonlinear mechanical system.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-03 J. Meiyazhagan , S. Sudharsan , A. Venkatasen , M. Senthilvelan

Forecasts of future events are essential inputs into informed decision-making. Machine learning (ML) systems have the potential to deliver forecasts at scale, but there is no framework for evaluating the accuracy of ML systems on a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-03 Ezra Karger , Houtan Bastani , Chen Yueh-Han , Zachary Jacobs , Danny Halawi , Fred Zhang , Philip E. Tetlock

Advanced Encryption Standard (AES) is a widely adopted cryptographic algorithm, yet its practical implementations remain susceptible to side-channel and fault injection attacks. In this work, we propose a comprehensive framework that…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Nishant Chinnasami , Rye Stahle-Smith , Rasha Karakchi

Many high-stakes AI applications target low-prevalence events, where apparent accuracy can conceal limited real-world value. Relevant AI models range from expert-defined rules and traditional machine learning to generative LLMs constrained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 G. Niklas Noren , Eva-Lisa Meldau , Johan Ellenius

To predict the future movements of stock markets, numerous studies concentrate on daily data and employ various machine learning (ML) models as benchmarks that often vary and lack standardization across different research works. This paper…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-16 Han Gui

Evaluating rare-event forecasts is challenging because standard metrics collapse as event prevalence declines. Measures such as F1-score, AUPRC, MCC, and accuracy induce degenerate thresholds -- converging to zero or one -- and their values…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 Sotirios D. Nikolopoulos

Reactive anomaly detection methods, which are commonly deployed to identify anomalies after they occur based on observed deviations, often fall short in applications that demand timely intervention, such as industrial monitoring, finance,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Luis Olmos , Rashida Hasan

Large language model (LLM) evaluation is increasingly costly, prompting interest in methods that speed up evaluation by shrinking benchmark datasets. Benchmark prediction (also called efficient LLM evaluation) aims to select a small subset…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Guanhua Zhang , Florian E. Dorner , Moritz Hardt
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