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We propose a set of causal estimands that we call the "mediated probabilities of causation." These estimands quantify the probabilities that an observed negative outcome was induced via a mediating pathway versus a direct pathway in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-14 Max Rubinstein , Maria Cuellar , Daniel Malinsky

Instrumental variable methods can identify causal effects even when the treatment and outcome are confounded. We study the problem of imperfect measurements of the binary instrumental variable, treatment or outcome. We first consider…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-06 Zhichao Jiang , Peng Ding

Deployment of deep learning in different fields and industries is growing day by day due to its performance, which relies on the availability of data and compute. Data is often crowd-sourced and contains sensitive information about its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-06 Tom Farrand , Fatemehsadat Mireshghallah , Sahib Singh , Andrew Trask

Estimators that weight observed outcomes to form effect estimates have a long tradition. Their outcome weights are widely used in established procedures, such as checking covariate balance, characterizing target populations, or detecting…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-13 Michael C. Knaus

We study causal effect estimation from a mixture of observational and interventional data in a confounded linear regression model with multivariate treatments. We show that the statistical efficiency in terms of expected squared error can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Klaus-Rudolf Kladny , Julius von Kügelgen , Bernhard Schölkopf , Michael Muehlebach

Evaluating the causal impacts of possible interventions is crucial for informing decision-making, especially towards improving access to opportunity. However, if causal effects are heterogeneous and predictable from covariates, personalized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Ezinne Nwankwo , Michael I. Jordan , Angela Zhou

Since being proposed in 2006, differential privacy has become a standard method for quantifying certain risks in publishing or sharing analyses of sensitive data. At its heart, differential privacy measures risk in terms of the differences…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-11-19 Anand D. Sarwate , Flavio P. Calmon , Oliver Kosut , Lalitha Sankar

We consider the problem of fitting a linear model to data held by individuals who are concerned about their privacy. Incentivizing most players to truthfully report their data to the analyst constrains our design to mechanisms that provide…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-12 Rachel Cummings , Stratis Ioannidis , Katrina Ligett

How do we learn from biased data? Historical datasets often reflect historical prejudices; sensitive or protected attributes may affect the observed treatments and outcomes. Classification algorithms tasked with predicting outcomes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-04 David Madras , Elliot Creager , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Estimating the causal effect of a treatment or health policy with observational data can be challenging due to an imbalance of and a lack of overlap between treated and control covariate distributions. In the presence of limited overlap,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-24 Martha Barnard , Jared D. Huling , Julian Wolfson

Differential privacy guarantees allow the results of a statistical analysis involving sensitive data to be released without compromising the privacy of any individual taking part. Achieving such guarantees generally requires the injection…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-31 Jack Jewson , Sahra Ghalebikesabi , Chris Holmes

A key task in managing distributed, sensitive data is to measure the extent to which a distribution changes. Understanding this drift can effectively support a variety of federated learning and analytics tasks. However, in many practical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Mary Scott , Sayan Biswas , Graham Cormode , Carsten Maple

Differential privacy is a recent notion of privacy for statistical databases that provides rigorous, meaningful confidentiality guarantees, even in the presence of an attacker with access to arbitrary side information. We show that for a…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2008-09-30 Adam Smith

Researchers commonly use difference-in-differences (DiD) designs to evaluate public policy interventions. While methods exist for estimating effects in the context of binary interventions, policies often result in varied exposures across…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Gary Hettinger , Youjin Lee , Nandita Mitra

We provide computationally efficient, differentially private algorithms for the classical regression settings of Least Squares Fitting, Binary Regression and Linear Regression with unbounded covariates. Prior to our work, privacy…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Jason Milionis , Alkis Kalavasis , Dimitris Fotakis , Stratis Ioannidis

Users of a personalised recommendation system face a dilemma: recommendations can be improved by learning from data, but only if the other users are willing to share their private information. Good personalised predictions are vitally…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-12 Antti Honkela , Mrinal Das , Arttu Nieminen , Onur Dikmen , Samuel Kaski

We consider the problem of estimating the effects of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome of interest from observational data in the absence of confounding by unmeasured factors. We provide a new estimator of the population average…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-04 James Robins , Mariela Sued , Quanhong Lei-Gomez , Andrea Rotnitzky

Many causal models of interest in epidemiology involve longitudinal exposures, confounders and mediators. However, repeated measurements are not always available or used in practice, leading analysts to overlook the time-varying nature of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Lola Etievant , Vivian Viallon

Many machine learning applications are based on data collected from people, such as their tastes and behaviour as well as biological traits and genetic data. Regardless of how important the application might be, one has to make sure…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-04-11 Joonas Jälkö , Onur Dikmen , Antti Honkela

Despite the major advances taken in causal modeling, causality is still an unfamiliar topic for many statisticians. In this paper, it is demonstrated from the beginning to the end how causal effects can be estimated from observational data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-03 Juha Karvanen