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In performing a Bayesian analysis, two difficult problems often emerge. First, in estimating the parameters of some model for the data, the resulting posterior distribution may be multi-modal or exhibit pronounced (curving) degeneracies.…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2013-12-20 F. Feroz , J. Skilling

Bayesian deep learning offers a principled way to address many issues concerning safety of artificial intelligence (AI), such as model uncertainty,model interpretability, and prediction bias. However, due to the lack of efficient Monte…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-22 Sehwan Kim , Qifan Song , Faming Liang

Meta-learning offers a principled framework leveraging \emph{task-invariant} priors from related tasks, with which \emph{task-specific} models can be fine-tuned on downstream tasks, even with limited data records. Gradient-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-16 Yilang Zhang , Abraham Jaeger Mountain , Bingcong Li , Georgios B. Giannakis

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are fundamental to Bayesian computation, but can be computationally intensive, especially in high-dimensional settings. Push-forward generative models, such as generative adversarial networks (GANs),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-25 Jonathan Spence , Tobías I. Liaudat , Konstantinos Zygalakis , Marcelo Pereyra

Bayesian neural learning feature a rigorous approach to estimation and uncertainty quantification via the posterior distribution of weights that represent knowledge of the neural network. This not only provides point estimates of optimal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-13 Rohitash Chandra , Konark Jain , Ratneel V. Deo , Sally Cripps

Bayesian methods hold significant promise for improving the uncertainty quantification ability and robustness of deep neural network models. Recent research has seen the investigation of a number of approximate Bayesian inference methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Meet P. Vadera , Adam D. Cobb , Brian Jalaian , Benjamin M. Marlin

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is a widely recognised as an efficient method for sampling a specified posterior distribution. However, when the posterior is multi-modal, conventional MCMC algorithms either tend to become…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2014-08-19 Yi-Ming Hu , Martin Hendry , Ik Siong Heng

The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling algorithm exploits Hamiltonian dynamics to construct efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), which has become increasingly popular in machine learning and statistics. Since HMC uses the gradient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-04 Minghao Gu , Shiliang Sun

The goal of Bayesian deep learning is to provide uncertainty quantification via the posterior distribution. However, exact inference over the weight space is computationally intractable due to the ultra-high dimensions of the neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 Xiongwen Ke , Yanan Fan

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) allow us to reason about uncertainty in a principled way. Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics (SGLD) enables efficient BNN learning by drawing samples from the BNN posterior using mini-batches. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-06-28 Kuan-Chieh Wang , Paul Vicol , James Lucas , Li Gu , Roger Grosse , Richard Zemel

Graph convolutional networks (GCNs) allow us to learn topologically-aware node embeddings, which can be useful for classification or link prediction. However, they are unable to capture long-range dependencies between nodes without adding…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-17 Reza Namazi , Elahe Ghalebi , Sinead Williamson , Hamidreza Mahyar

Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-25 Steven Winter , Trevor Campbell , Lizhen Lin , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

Bayesian learning in undirected graphical models|computing posterior distributions over parameters and predictive quantities is exceptionally difficult. We conjecture that for general undirected models, there are no tractable MCMC (Markov…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-19 Iain Murray , Zoubin Ghahramani

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

For large model spaces, the potential entrapment of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) based methods with spike-and-slab priors poses significant challenges in posterior computation in regression models. On the other hand, maximum a posteriori…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-25 Shamriddha De , Joyee Ghosh

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are ubiquitous in Bayesian computations. However, they need to access the full data set in order to evaluate the posterior density at every step of the algorithm. This results in a great…

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods offer a principled approach to Bayesian uncertainty quantification but are traditionally limited by the need for full-batch gradient evaluations. We introduce a scalable variant by incorporating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Andrew Millard , Zheng Zhao , Joshua Murphy , Simon Maskell

Functional mixed models are widely useful for regression analysis with dependent functional data, including longitudinal functional data with scalar predictors. However, existing algorithms for Bayesian inference with these models only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-14 Thomas Y. Sun , Daniel R. Kowal

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have not been broadly adopted in Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). This paper initially reviews the main challenges in sampling from the parameter posterior of a neural network via MCMC. Such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Theodore Papamarkou , Jacob Hinkle , M. Todd Young , David Womble

Bayesian inverse problems often involve sampling posterior distributions on infinite-dimensional function spaces. Traditional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are characterized by deteriorating mixing times upon mesh-refinement,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-08 Alexandros Beskos , Mark Girolami , Shiwei Lan , Patrick E. Farrell , Andrew M. Stuart